Predictions → Germany Oberliga - Hamburg

ETSV Hamburg vs Pinneberg

This page follows the latest fixture between these teams. Previous predictions stay on the record below.

Next match: Sun, 08 Nov 2026 • 13:00 UTC+3 • Hamburg - 15 • ☁️ 2.7°C, 7 km/h overcast

No Best Bet: no eligible value candidate at current conditions.

🎯 PredictLix Predictions

Predictions updated: 02 Nov 2026 07:08 UTC+3

MarketTipOddsProbabilityModel EV
Match Result (1X2) Home Current price not available51.5% —
Double Chance 12 Current price not available78.3% —
BTTS Yes Current price not available72.8% · No 27.2% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 Current price not available74.5% · Under 25.5% —
Correct Score 2-1 Current price not available8.6% —

🧠 Match Preview

Model view

Model 1X2 split: ETSV Hamburg 51.5% · Draw 21.7% · Pinneberg 26.8%. Selected outcome: ETSV Hamburg win.

Goals

Model expected goals: ETSV Hamburg 2.28, Pinneberg 1.63, expected total 3.91.

Price check

No current price is available, so model EV cannot be calculated.

Form / H2H

ETSV Hamburg: W in their last five matches.
Pinneberg: W-D-W-L-L in their last five matches.
Historical form, not a probability for the next match.

Limitations

Lineups, injuries and late team news can change the outlook. Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees.

🔑 What Drives the Prediction

ETSV Hamburg

Form (last 5)
Goals scored (season avg)2.50
Goals conceded (season avg)2.50
Best league winning streak this season6
Elo strength rating1338

Pinneberg

Form (last 5)
Goals scored (season avg)2.20
Goals conceded (season avg)1.70
Best league winning streak this season3
Elo strength rating1346
ETSV HamburgPinneberg
Goals scored (season avg)
2.50
2.20
Goals conceded (season avg)
2.50
1.70
Best league winning streak this season
6
3
Elo strength rating
1338
1346

Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors, each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict — including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.

📈 Team Trends

ETSV Hamburg

BTTS
4/4
Over 2.5
4/4
Scored a goal
4/4
No goals conceded
0/4

Pinneberg

BTTS
5/6
Over 2.5
4/6
Scored a goal
5/6
No goals conceded
0/6

Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.

🏅 League Benchmarks: Oberliga - Hamburg

ETSV Hamburg

Best BTTS rate (100%, last 6) Best Over 2.5 rate (100%, last 6)

Pinneberg

No top-3 or bottom-2 marks in the league right now.

Rank among 18 Oberliga - Hamburg teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets are season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates cover the last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.

🏠 Home vs Away Records

ETSV Hamburg at home · Pinneberg away, the split that matters for this fixture.

ETSV Hamburg (home)

Wins–Draws–Losses2W–0D–5L
W 2
L 5
Played7
Goals scored (avg)2.40
Goals conceded (avg)3.30
Clean sheets0
Failed to score0

Pinneberg (away)

Wins–Draws–Losses2W–2D–3L
W 2
D 2
L 3
Played7
Goals scored (avg)2.00
Goals conceded (avg)2.10
Clean sheets0
Failed to score1
ETSV Hamburg (home)Pinneberg (away)
W 2
L 5
W 2
D 2
L 3
Played
7
7
Goals scored (avg)
2.40
2.00
Goals conceded (avg)
3.30
2.10
Clean sheets
0
0
Failed to score
0
1

Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.

🎯 Most Likely Scores for the Selected 1X2 Outcome

2–1
8.59%
3–1
6.53%
3–2
5.31%
2–0
5.29%
3–0
4.02%

Over/Under and BTTS tips are aligned with the leading scoreline. Alternative scores below may belong to other goal-total or BTTS outcomes. Percentages are estimated probabilities of the exact scores, not probabilities conditional on any scenario.

📈 Recent Form

ETSV Hamburg

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
30/10 Victoria Hamburg Away 3–2 W
23/10 Vorwärts-Wacker 04 Home 4–5 L
17/10 HT16 Away 2–2 D
13/10 Norderstedt II Away 1–2 L

Pinneberg

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
01/11 Concordia Home 2–4 L
23/10 Teutonia Ottensen Away 3–1 W
10/10 Sasel Away 1–1 D
04/10 Süderelbe Home 2–1 W
27/09 HEBC Away 0–1 L
18/09 Victoria Hamburg Away 1–3 L
13/09 Vorwärts-Wacker 04 Home 1–2 L
06/09 HT16 Away 1–5 L
30/08 Niendorfer TSV Home 5–0 W
23/08 Paloma Away 2–2 D

📊 Season Comparison: Oberliga - Hamburg

ETSV Hamburg

Played13
Goals scored (avg)2.50
Goals conceded (avg)2.50
Clean sheets0
Failed to score0
Yellow cards0
Red cards0
Penalties (scored/missed)0/0

Pinneberg

Played12
Goals scored (avg)2.20
Goals conceded (avg)1.70
Clean sheets1
Failed to score1
Yellow cards0
Red cards0
Penalties (scored/missed)0/0
ETSV HamburgPinneberg
Played
13
12
Goals scored (avg)
2.50
2.20
Goals conceded (avg)
2.50
1.70
Clean sheets
0
1
Failed to score
0
1
Yellow cards
0
0
Red cards
0
0
Penalties (scored/missed)
0/0
0/0

⏱️ Goal Timing (season)

ETSV Hamburg

0-15
16-30
31-45
1
46-60
61-75
1
76-90
scored conceded

Pinneberg

0-15
16-30
31-45
46-60
61-75
76-90
scored conceded

Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.

More: Oberliga - Hamburg predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws