Predictions → Germany Oberliga - Hamburg

Sasel vs Concordia

This page follows the latest fixture between these teams. Previous predictions stay on the record below.

Next match: Sun, 15 Nov 2026 • 17:00 UTC+3 • Hamburg - 16 • ☁️ 9°C, 6 km/h overcast

No Best Bet: no eligible value candidate at current conditions.

🎯 PredictLix Predictions

Predictions updated: 02 Nov 2026 07:08 UTC+3

MarketTipOddsProbabilityModel EV
Match Result (1X2) Home Current price not available56.2% —
Double Chance 12 Current price not available80% —
BTTS Yes Current price not available75.6% · No 24.4% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 Current price not available79.3% · Under 20.7% —
Correct Score 2-1 Current price not available8.1% —

🧠 Match Preview

Model view

Model 1X2 split: Sasel 56.2% · Draw 20.0% · Concordia 23.8%. Selected outcome: Sasel win.

Goals

Model expected goals: Sasel 2.58, Concordia 1.67, expected total 4.25.

Price check

No current price is available, so model EV cannot be calculated.

Form / H2H

Sasel: W-W-D-D-L in their last five matches.
Concordia: L-L-L-W-L in their last five matches.
Last meeting: Concordia 1–3 Sasel, 31 Jan 2025.
Historical form, not a probability for the next match.

Limitations

Lineups, injuries and late team news can change the outlook. Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees.

🔑 What Drives the Prediction

Sasel

Form (last 5)
LWWDD
Goals scored (season avg)1.60
Goals conceded (season avg)1.70
Best league winning streak this season4
Elo strength rating1356

Concordia

Form (last 5)
WLLLW
Goals scored (season avg)1.50
Goals conceded (season avg)2.70
Best league winning streak this season2
Elo strength rating1326
SaselConcordia
Goals scored (season avg)
1.60
1.50
Goals conceded (season avg)
1.70
2.70
Best league winning streak this season
4
2
Elo strength rating
1356
1326

Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors, each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict — including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.

📈 Team Trends

Sasel

BTTS
5/6
Over 2.5
4/6
Scored a goal
5/6
No goals conceded
0/6

Concordia

BTTS
4/6
Over 2.5
6/6
Scored a goal
4/6
No goals conceded
0/6

Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.

🏅 League Benchmarks: Oberliga - Hamburg

Sasel

No top-3 or bottom-2 marks in the league right now.

Concordia

Best Over 2.5 rate (100%, last 6)

Rank among 18 Oberliga - Hamburg teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets are season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates cover the last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.

🏠 Home vs Away Records

Sasel at home · Concordia away, the split that matters for this fixture.

Sasel (home)

Wins–Draws–Losses2W–1D–3L
W 2
D 1
L 3
Played6
Goals scored (avg)1.20
Goals conceded (avg)2.00
Clean sheets0
Failed to score3

Concordia (away)

Wins–Draws–Losses2W–2D–2L
W 2
D 2
L 2
Played6
Goals scored (avg)1.70
Goals conceded (avg)2.00
Clean sheets0
Failed to score1
Sasel (home)Concordia (away)
W 2
D 1
L 3
W 2
D 2
L 2
Played
6
6
Goals scored (avg)
1.20
1.70
Goals conceded (avg)
2.00
2.00
Clean sheets
0
0
Failed to score
3
1

Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.

🎯 Most Likely Scores for the Selected 1X2 Outcome

2–1
8.07%
3–1
6.94%
3–2
5.8%
2–0
4.82%
4–1
4.47%

Over/Under and BTTS tips are aligned with the leading scoreline. Alternative scores below may belong to other goal-total or BTTS outcomes. Percentages are estimated probabilities of the exact scores, not probabilities conditional on any scenario.

⚔️ Head-to-Head

Concordia 2 wins · 0 draws · Sasel 6 wins · avg 4.1 goals · BTTS in 5 of 8

2
6
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
31 Jan 2025 Concordia 1–3 Sasel Oberliga - Hamburg
25 Aug 2024 Sasel 4–2 Concordia Oberliga - Hamburg
19 Apr 2024 Concordia 0–4 Sasel Oberliga - Hamburg
22 Oct 2023 Sasel 3–4 Concordia Oberliga - Hamburg
23 Apr 2023 Sasel 3–1 Concordia Oberliga - Hamburg
28 Oct 2022 Concordia 0–1 Sasel Oberliga - Hamburg
29 Oct 2021 Concordia 1–2 Sasel Oberliga - Hamburg
22 Aug 2021 Sasel 0–4 Concordia Oberliga - Hamburg

📈 Recent Form

Sasel

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
01/11 Tus Dassendorf Home 1–3 L
25/10 HEBC Away 3–2 W
16/10 Süderelbe Away 2–1 W
10/10 Pinneberg Home 1–1 D
02/10 Victoria Hamburg Away 2–2 D
27/09 Vorwärts-Wacker 04 Home 0–1 L
20/09 HT16 Away 0–2 L
13/09 Niendorfer TSV Home 0–3 L
06/09 Paloma Away 2–3 L
30/08 Nikola Tesla Home 3–2 W

Concordia

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
01/11 Pinneberg Away 4–2 W
23/10 Victoria Hamburg Home 0–3 L
16/10 Vorwärts-Wacker 04 Away 2–5 L
09/10 HT16 Home 0–5 L
02/10 Niendorfer TSV Away 2–1 W
27/09 Paloma Home 2–3 L
20/09 Nikola Tesla Away 2–2 D
11/09 Norderstedt II Home 4–2 W
04/09 Harksheide Away 3–1 W
28/08 Altona 93 Home 3–4 L

📊 Season Comparison: Oberliga - Hamburg

Sasel

Played13
Goals scored (avg)1.60
Goals conceded (avg)1.70
Clean sheets2
Failed to score4
Yellow cards0
Red cards0
Penalties (scored/missed)0/0

Concordia

Played13
Goals scored (avg)1.50
Goals conceded (avg)2.70
Clean sheets0
Failed to score4
Yellow cards0
Red cards0
Penalties (scored/missed)0/0
SaselConcordia
Played
13
13
Goals scored (avg)
1.60
1.50
Goals conceded (avg)
1.70
2.70
Clean sheets
2
0
Failed to score
4
4
Yellow cards
0
0
Red cards
0
0
Penalties (scored/missed)
0/0
0/0

⏱️ Goal Timing (season)

Sasel

0-15
16-30
1
31-45
46-60
61-75
76-90
scored conceded

Concordia

0-15
16-30
31-45
46-60
61-75
76-90
scored conceded

Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.

More: Oberliga - Hamburg predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws