RB Leipzig vs FC Augsburg
This page follows the latest fixture between these teams. Previous predictions stay on the record below.
Next match: Sat, 07 Nov 2026 • 17:30 UTC+3 • Round 9 • Red Bull Arena • ☁️ 3.2°C, 1 km/h overcast
No Best Bet: no eligible value candidate at current conditions.
🎯 PredictLix Predictions
Predictions updated: 02 Nov 2026 07:08 UTC+3
| Market | Tip | Odds | Probability | Model EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result (1X2) | Home | 1xBet1.50 | 69.1% | +3.6% |
| Double Chance | 1X | Betano1.17 | 85.4% | -0.1% |
| BTTS | Yes | Bet3651.40 | 72.8% · No 27.2% | +1.9% |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | Betano1.29 | 77.8% · Under 22.2% | +0.4% |
| Correct Score | 3-1 | Betano11.25 | 8% | -10% |
| Corners O/U 9.5 (~10.3 exp.) | Over 9.5 | Current price not available | 55.5% · Under 44.5% | — |
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🧠 Match Preview
RB Leipzig · Home
RB Leipzig have scored in all five recent matches, including a 4-0 home win over SV Elversberg, and their recent xG for of 3.02 reflects steady attacking output. The latest H2H was a 2-1 home win over Augsburg, and the model expected goals of 3.17 points to another productive home display.
FC Augsburg · Away
Augsburg have failed to keep a clean sheet in five recent matches, conceding 11 goals across that run, including a 4-2 defeat at Sonnenhof Grossaspach. They did draw 2-2 with Bayern München at home, but their recent xG for of 1.70 is well below Leipzig's figure.
Leipzig's scoring edge at home
The latest H2H, a 2-1 Leipzig home win, sits alongside a 0-6 Leipzig away victory in the previous meeting. Augsburg have conceded in every one of their last five matches, shipping 11 goals, while Leipzig scored 10 across their own five. Leipzig's recent xG for of 3.02 and model expected goals of 3.17 both point to sustained attacking threat, and Augsburg's 1.70 recent xG for suggests a lesser scoring ceiling. The evidence supports RB Leipzig win.
Published 02 Nov 2026 04:49 UTC+3. Analysis and numbers reflect the pre-match data snapshot available at publication.
⚽ Current model expected goals: RB Leipzig 3.17 – 1.41 FC Augsburg · expected total 4.58
🔑 What Drives the Prediction
RB Leipzig
Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors, each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict — including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.
📈 Team Trends
RB Leipzig
FC Augsburg
Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.
🏅 League Benchmarks: Bundesliga
RB Leipzig
FC Augsburg
Rank among 18 Bundesliga teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets are season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates cover the last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.
🏠 Home vs Away Records
RB Leipzig at home · FC Augsburg away, the split that matters for this fixture.
RB Leipzig (home)
FC Augsburg (away)
Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.
🎯 Most Likely Scores for the Selected 1X2 Outcome
Over/Under and BTTS tips are aligned with the leading scoreline. Alternative scores below may belong to other goal-total or BTTS outcomes. Percentages are estimated probabilities of the exact scores, not probabilities conditional on any scenario.
⚔️ Head-to-Head
FC Augsburg 0 wins · 4 draws · RB Leipzig 6 wins · avg 3.7 goals · BTTS in 5 of 10
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar 2026 | RB Leipzig | 2–1 | FC Augsburg | Bundesliga |
| 25 Oct 2025 | FC Augsburg | 0–6 | RB Leipzig | Bundesliga |
| 14 Feb 2025 | FC Augsburg | 0–0 | RB Leipzig | Bundesliga |
| 28 Sep 2024 | RB Leipzig | 4–0 | FC Augsburg | Bundesliga |
| 10 Feb 2024 | FC Augsburg | 2–2 | RB Leipzig | Bundesliga |
| 16 Sep 2023 | RB Leipzig | 3–0 | FC Augsburg | Bundesliga |
| 15 Apr 2023 | RB Leipzig | 3–2 | FC Augsburg | Bundesliga |
| 22 Oct 2022 | FC Augsburg | 3–3 | RB Leipzig | Bundesliga |
| 08 May 2022 | RB Leipzig | 4–0 | FC Augsburg | Bundesliga |
| 15 Dec 2021 | FC Augsburg | 1–1 | RB Leipzig | Bundesliga |
📈 Recent Form
RB Leipzig
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | FC Schalke 04 | Away | 2–0 | W |
| 27/10 | Rot-Weiß Essen | Away | 2–1 | W |
| 24/10 | SV Elversberg | Home | 4–0 | W |
| 21/10 | Real Madrid | Away | 1–4 | L |
| 17/10 | Bayern München | Away | 1–6 | L |
| 13/10 | PSV Eindhoven | Home | 1–0 | W |
| 10/10 | Eintracht Frankfurt | Home | 6–0 | W |
| 20/09 | Bayer Leverkusen | Away | 0–2 | L |
| 13/09 | Hamburger SV | Home | 5–0 | W |
| 10/09 | Como | Away | 1–4 | L |
FC Augsburg
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | SC Freiburg | Home | 1–2 | L |
| 27/10 | SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach | Away | 4–2 | W |
| 24/10 | Union Berlin | Home | 1–1 | D |
| 17/10 | SV Elversberg | Away | 3–4 | L |
| 10/10 | Bayern München | Home | 2–2 | D |
| 02/10 | Hertha BSC | Home | 2–2 | D |
| 19/09 | Werder Bremen | Away | 2–3 | L |
| 12/09 | Bayer Leverkusen | Home | 2–2 | D |
| 06/09 | Eintracht Frankfurt | Away | 4–1 | W |
| 30/08 | FC Schalke 04 | Home | 3–0 | W |
📊 Season Comparison: Bundesliga
RB Leipzig #4 · 15 pts · FC Augsburg #10 · 9 pts
RB Leipzig
FC Augsburg
⏱️ Goal Timing (season)
RB Leipzig
FC Augsburg
Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.
🏥 Injuries & Suspensions
RB Leipzig
- ❌ C. Baumgartner: Thigh Injury
- ❌ O. Nyland: Foot Injury
- ❌ A. Ouedraogo: Shoulder Injury
- ❌ Romulo Cardoso: Knee Injury
- ❌ V. Gebel: Knee Injury
- ❌ B. Gruda: Ankle Injury
- ❌ R. Reitz: Muscle Injury
- ❌ M. Guiu: Hamstring Injury
- ❌ M. Esteve: Knock
- ❌ C. Nkunku: Groin Injury
FC Augsburg
- ❌ T. Breithaupt: Injury
- ❌ S. Mounie: Injury
- ❌ K. Jakic: Injury
- ❌ A. Kade: Calf Injury
- ❌ F. Sakar: Ankle Injury
- ❌ S. Suso: Muscle Injury
- ❌ T. Schnitzer: Injury
- ❌ N. Banks: Knee Injury
- ❌ A. Claude-Maurice: Muscle Injury
- ❌ J. Bah: Suspended (Red Card)
- ❌ C. Brackelmann: Concussion
More: Bundesliga predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws