Predictions → Germany Bundesliga

1899 Hoffenheim vs FC Schalke 04

This page follows the latest fixture between these teams. Previous predictions stay on the record below.

Next match: Sun, 08 Nov 2026 • 21:30 UTC+3 • Round 9 • SNP Arena • 🌦 8.2°C, 9 km/h, 1.9mm showers

No Best Bet: no eligible value candidate at current conditions.

🎯 PredictLix Predictions

Predictions updated: 02 Nov 2026 07:08 UTC+3

MarketTipOddsProbabilityModel EV
Match Result (1X2) Home Betano1.6761.6% +2.9%
Double Chance 1X Betano1.2281.9% -0.1%
BTTS Yes William Hill1.5563.7% · No 36.3% -1.3%
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 Bet3651.5065.6% · Under 34.4% -1.6%
Correct Score 2-1 Betano8.759.7% -15.1%
Corners O/U 9.5 (~10 exp.) Over 9.5 Betano1.7553.7% · Under 46.3% -6%

🧠 Match Preview

1899 Hoffenheim · Home

Hoffenheim have scored three goals in each of their last three home matches, including a 3-0 win over Bayer Leverkusen and a 3-0 win over Lyon. Their recent record shows 9 goals scored across five matches, with only one failure to score.

FC Schalke 04 · Away

Schalke have failed to score in four of their last five matches, managing just 1 goal across that run. Their recent away results include a 0-2 loss at Dynamo Dresden and a 1-2 loss at SC Freiburg.

Hoffenheim's home scoring edge

The latest head-to-head is telling: Hoffenheim beat Schalke 2-0 on 9 Apr 2023, and the two meetings before that finished 5-1 and 0-3, all in Hoffenheim's favour. Schalke's recent record of 1 goal in five matches contrasts with Hoffenheim's 9 goals in five, and Hoffenheim's recent xG for of 1.41 sits above Schalke's 1.18. The model's expected goals of 2.31 for Hoffenheim against 1.20 for Schalke support a home-side advantage. The evidence supports 1899 Hoffenheim win.

Published 02 Nov 2026 04:50 UTC+3. Analysis and numbers reflect the pre-match data snapshot available at publication.

⚽ Current model expected goals: 1899 Hoffenheim 2.31 – 1.20 FC Schalke 04 · expected total 3.51

🔑 What Drives the Prediction

1899 Hoffenheim

Form (last 5)
LDWWW
Goals scored (season avg)1.80
Goals conceded (season avg)2.00
Best league winning streak this season5
xG for (last 5 with stats, weighted)1.41
xG against (last 5 with stats, weighted)2.40
Elo strength rating1544
Players out10

FC Schalke 04

Form (last 5)
LLDLL
Goals scored (season avg)0.50
Goals conceded (season avg)1.10
Best league winning streak this season1
xG for (last 5 with stats, weighted)1.18
xG against (last 5 with stats, weighted)1.46
Elo strength rating1352
Players out12
1899 HoffenheimFC Schalke 04
Goals scored (season avg)
1.80
0.50
Goals conceded (season avg)
2.00
1.10
Best league winning streak this season
5
1
xG for (last 5 with stats, weighted)
1.41
1.18
xG against (last 5 with stats, weighted)
2.40
1.46
Elo strength rating
1544
1352
Players out
10
12

Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors, each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict — including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.

📈 Team Trends

1899 Hoffenheim

BTTS
3/6
Over 2.5
4/6
Scored a goal
5/6
No goals conceded
2/6

FC Schalke 04

Lost 2 in a row Winless 5
BTTS
1/6
Over 2.5
1/6
Scored a goal
2/6
No goals conceded
2/6

Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.

🏅 League Benchmarks: Bundesliga

1899 Hoffenheim

No top-3 or bottom-2 marks in the league right now.

FC Schalke 04

Worst attack (0.50 goals/game, season) 3rd best defence (1.10 conceded/game, season) 2nd worst BTTS rate (17%, last 6) 3rd best clean sheets (3, season)

Rank among 18 Bundesliga teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets are season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates cover the last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.

🏠 Home vs Away Records

1899 Hoffenheim at home · FC Schalke 04 away, the split that matters for this fixture.

1899 Hoffenheim (home)

Wins–Draws–Losses2W–0D–2L
W 2
L 2
Played4
Goals scored (avg)2.30
Goals conceded (avg)1.80
Clean sheets1
Failed to score0

FC Schalke 04 (away)

Wins–Draws–Losses1W–1D–2L
W 1
D 1
L 2
Played4
Goals scored (avg)1.00
Goals conceded (avg)1.50
Clean sheets1
Failed to score2
1899 Hoffenheim (home)FC Schalke 04 (away)
W 2
L 2
W 1
D 1
L 2
Played
4
4
Goals scored (avg)
2.30
1.00
Goals conceded (avg)
1.80
1.50
Clean sheets
1
1
Failed to score
0
2

Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.

🎯 Most Likely Scores for the Selected 1X2 Outcome

2–1
9.67%
2–0
8.05%
3–1
7.44%
3–0
6.2%
1–0
6.13%

Over/Under and BTTS tips are aligned with the leading scoreline. Alternative scores below may belong to other goal-total or BTTS outcomes. Percentages are estimated probabilities of the exact scores, not probabilities conditional on any scenario.

⚔️ Head-to-Head

1899 Hoffenheim 6 wins · 2 draws · FC Schalke 04 2 wins · avg 3.7 goals · BTTS in 6 of 10

6
2
2
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
09 Apr 2023 1899 Hoffenheim 2–0 FC Schalke 04 Bundesliga
18 Oct 2022 1899 Hoffenheim 5–1 FC Schalke 04 DFB Pokal
14 Oct 2022 FC Schalke 04 0–3 1899 Hoffenheim Bundesliga
08 May 2021 1899 Hoffenheim 4–2 FC Schalke 04 Bundesliga
09 Jan 2021 FC Schalke 04 4–0 1899 Hoffenheim Bundesliga
07 Mar 2020 FC Schalke 04 1–1 1899 Hoffenheim Bundesliga
20 Oct 2019 1899 Hoffenheim 2–0 FC Schalke 04 Bundesliga
20 Apr 2019 FC Schalke 04 2–5 1899 Hoffenheim Bundesliga
01 Dec 2018 1899 Hoffenheim 1–1 FC Schalke 04 Bundesliga
17 Feb 2018 FC Schalke 04 2–1 1899 Hoffenheim Bundesliga

📈 Recent Form

1899 Hoffenheim

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
31/10 Werder Bremen Away 0–2 L
28/10 Holstein Kiel Away 1–1 D
25/10 Bayer Leverkusen Home 3–0 W
22/10 Lyon Home 3–0 W
18/10 Borussia Mönchengladbach Away 2–1 W
15/10 Beşiktaş Home 2–3 L
10/10 Hamburger SV Home 2–3 L
20/09 SC Paderborn 07 Away 1–3 L
17/09 OFI Away 0–2 L
12/09 VfB Stuttgart Home 2–1 W

FC Schalke 04

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
31/10 RB Leipzig Home 0–2 L
28/10 Dynamo Dresden Away 0–2 L
24/10 1. FC Köln Away 0–0 D
17/10 FSV Mainz 05 Home 0–1 L
11/10 SC Freiburg Away 1–2 L
03/10 Austria Lustenau Away 1–0 W
24/09 Rot-weiss Oberhausen Away 5–2 W
20/09 SV Elversberg Home 0–0 D
11/09 Union Berlin Away 3–1 W
05/09 Bayern München Home 0–0 D

📊 Season Comparison: Bundesliga

1899 Hoffenheim #12 · 9 pts ·  FC Schalke 04 #17 · 6 pts

1899 Hoffenheim

Wins–Draws–Losses3W–0D–5L
W 3
L 5
Played8
Goals scored (avg)1.80
Goals conceded (avg)2.00
Clean sheets1
Failed to score1
Yellow cards17
Red cards2
xG for (last 5 with stats, weighted)1.41
xG against (last 5 with stats, weighted)2.40
Corners for (avg)6.50
Penalties (scored/missed)1/1

FC Schalke 04

Wins–Draws–Losses1W–3D–4L
W 1
D 3
L 4
Played8
Goals scored (avg)0.50
Goals conceded (avg)1.10
Clean sheets3
Failed to score6
Yellow cards10
Red cards1
xG for (last 5 with stats, weighted)1.18
xG against (last 5 with stats, weighted)1.46
Corners for (avg)3.40
Penalties (scored/missed)0/0
1899 HoffenheimFC Schalke 04
W 3
L 5
W 1
D 3
L 4
Played
8
8
Goals scored (avg)
1.80
0.50
Goals conceded (avg)
2.00
1.10
Clean sheets
1
3
Failed to score
1
6
Yellow cards
17
10
Red cards
2
1
xG for (last 5 with stats, weighted)
1.41
1.18
xG against (last 5 with stats, weighted)
2.40
1.46
Corners for (avg)
6.50
3.40
Penalties (scored/missed)
1/1
0/0

⏱️ Goal Timing (season)

1899 Hoffenheim

1
0-15
2
1
16-30
1
2
31-45
1
4
46-60
4
4
61-75
2
4
76-90
4
scored conceded

FC Schalke 04

1
0-15
2
16-30
2
1
31-45
46-60
1
61-75
5
76-90
1
scored conceded

Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.

🏥 Injuries & Suspensions

1899 Hoffenheim

  • ❌ F. Asllani: Injury
  • ❌ T. Lemperle: Suspended (Red Card)
  • ❌ A. Prass: Muscle Injury
  • ❌ Bernardo: Achilles Tendon Injury
  • ❌ A. Hajdari: Foot Injury
  • ❌ B. Conte: Groin Injury
  • ❌ V. Coufal: Muscle Injury
  • ❌ N. De Cat: Knee Injury
  • ❌ V. Gendrey: Ankle Injury
  • ❌ P. Wimmer: Thigh Injury

FC Schalke 04

  • ❌ E. Hojlund: Heel Injury
  • ❌ K. Karaman: Hip Injury
  • ❌ A. Gantenbein: Ankle Injury
  • ❌ B. Lasme: Calf Injury
  • ❌ R. Schallenberg: Suspended (Red Card)
  • ❌ D. Ljubicic: Knee Injury
  • ❌ M. Sylla: Leg Injury
  • ❌ J. Bachmann: Hip Injury
  • ❌ S. El-Faouzi: Broken nose
  • ❌ R. Gosens: Head Injury
  • ❌ L. Vozar: Illness
  • ❌ M. Wober: Muscle Injury

Squad/transfer status (not counted as absences): T. Kalas (Lacking Match Fitness).

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