SV Darmstadt 98 vs FC St. Pauli
Next match: Fri, 23 Oct 2026 • 16:30 UTC+3 • Round 9 • Merck-Stadion am Bollenfalltor
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🎯 PredictLix Predictions
| Market | Tip | Confidence | Probability | Odds | Bookmaker | Market implied | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result (1X2) | Draw 3.75 → 3.5 ▼7% | 59% | 26.8% | 3.50 | BetVictor | 26.9% | -0.1 pp |
| Double Chance | 1X | 68% | 66.9% | 1.62 | William Hill | 57.8% | +9.1 pp |
| BTTS | Yes | 84% | 55.5% | 1.55 | 1xBet | 60.6% | -5.1 pp |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 78% | 43.7% | 2.18 | 1xBet | 43.8% | -0.1 pp |
| Correct Score | 1-1 | 67% | 9.9% | 7.00 | BetVictor | 6.5% | +3.4 pp |
| Corners O/U 9.5 (~11.6 exp.) | Over 9.5 | 65% | 56.2% | — | — | — | — |
⚽ Model expected goals: SV Darmstadt 98 1.64 – 1.35 FC St. Pauli · expected total 2.99
🔑 What Drives the Prediction
SV Darmstadt 98
FC St. Pauli
Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors — each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict — including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.
📈 Team Trends
SV Darmstadt 98
FC St. Pauli
Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.
🏅 League Benchmarks — 2. Bundesliga
SV Darmstadt 98
FC St. Pauli
Rank among 18 2. Bundesliga teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets — season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates — last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.
🏠 Home vs Away Records
SV Darmstadt 98 at home · FC St. Pauli away — the split that matters for this fixture.
SV Darmstadt 98 (home)
FC St. Pauli (away)
Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.
🎯 Most Likely Scorelines
The five most probable exact scores for THIS fixture — computed from both teams' expected goals (score matrix), not generic league stats.
⚔️ Head-to-Head
FC St. Pauli 3 wins · 2 draws · SV Darmstadt 98 5 wins · avg 3.1 goals · BTTS in 5 of 10
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May 2023 | SV Darmstadt 98 | 0–3 | FC St. Pauli | 2. Bundesliga |
| 29 Oct 2022 | FC St. Pauli | 1–1 | SV Darmstadt 98 | 2. Bundesliga |
| 23 Apr 2022 | FC St. Pauli | 1–2 | SV Darmstadt 98 | 2. Bundesliga |
| 20 Nov 2021 | SV Darmstadt 98 | 4–0 | FC St. Pauli | 2. Bundesliga |
| 20 Feb 2021 | FC St. Pauli | 3–2 | SV Darmstadt 98 | 2. Bundesliga |
| 24 Oct 2020 | SV Darmstadt 98 | 2–2 | FC St. Pauli | 2. Bundesliga |
| 23 May 2020 | SV Darmstadt 98 | 4–0 | FC St. Pauli | 2. Bundesliga |
| 19 Oct 2019 | FC St. Pauli | 0–1 | SV Darmstadt 98 | 2. Bundesliga |
| 29 Jan 2019 | SV Darmstadt 98 | 2–1 | FC St. Pauli | 2. Bundesliga |
| 10 Aug 2018 | FC St. Pauli | 2–0 | SV Darmstadt 98 | 2. Bundesliga |
📈 Recent Form
SV Darmstadt 98
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/10 | Karlsruher SC | Away | 0–4 | L |
| 10/10 | Energie Cottbus | Home | 3–1 | W |
| 30/09 | San Antonio | Away | 7–0 | W |
| 18/09 | VfL Wolfsburg | Away | 1–5 | L |
| 11/09 | Arminia Bielefeld | Home | 2–1 | W |
FC St. Pauli
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/10 | Hannover 96 | Away | 1–1 | D |
| 11/10 | Karlsruher SC | Home | 2–0 | W |
| 03/10 | Borussia Mönchengladbach | Home | 1–1 | D |
| 20/09 | Energie Cottbus | Away | 1–1 | D |
| 12/09 | VfL Wolfsburg | Home | 1–0 | W |
📊 Season Comparison — 2. Bundesliga
SV Darmstadt 98 #17 · 7 pts — FC St. Pauli #7 · 11 pts
SV Darmstadt 98
FC St. Pauli
⏱️ Goal Timing (season)
SV Darmstadt 98
FC St. Pauli
Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.
More: 2. Bundesliga predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws