Hertha BSC vs VfL Wolfsburg
This page follows the latest fixture between these teams. Previous predictions stay on the record below.
Next match: Sat, 07 Nov 2026 • 22:30 UTC+3 • Round 11 • Olympiastadion • ☁️ 4.2°C, 4 km/h overcast
No Best Bet: no eligible value candidate at current conditions.
🎯 PredictLix Predictions
Predictions updated: 02 Nov 2026 07:08 UTC+3
| Market | Tip | Odds | Probability | Model EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result (1X2) | Home 2.24 → 2.28 ▲2% | Pinnacle2.28 | 46.4% | +5.8% |
| Double Chance | 12 | William Hill1.25 | 77.2% | -3.5% |
| BTTS | Yes | William Hill1.35 | 73.1% · No 26.9% | -1.3% |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | Pinnacle1.38 | 71% · Under 29% | -2% |
| Correct Score | 2-1 | Marathonbet9.10 | 8.6% | -21.7% |
| Corners O/U 9.5 (~10.8 exp.) | Over 9.5 | Current price not available | 58.7% · Under 41.3% | — |
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🧠 Match Preview
Hertha BSC · Home
Hertha BSC have won four of their last five with a 1-0 home win over Arminia Bielefeld among them, and their recent xG for of 1.96 underlines that control. The latest H2H is a 0-2 away win at Wolfsburg on 8 Oct 2025, showing they can take this fixture on the road as well as at home.
VfL Wolfsburg · Away
VfL Wolfsburg have scored 12 in five but conceded 9, including a 4-4 draw at 1. FC Nürnberg and a 2-3 loss at SC Freiburg. Their recent xG for of 3.05 signals attacking threat, yet the model expected goals of 1.62 for this match is well below Hertha's 2.39.
Hertha edge despite Wolfsburg threat
The most telling angle is the H2H: Hertha won the latest meeting 0-2 at Wolfsburg on 8 Oct 2025 and also won 1-2 there on 27 May 2023, though Wolfsburg answered with a 0-5 win in Berlin on 24 Jan 2023. Hertha's recent record of 4 wins, 1 draw and 4 clean sheets, with only 1 goal conceded, supports the home case, while Wolfsburg's 12 goals for and 9 against in five show they can score but also leak. The model expected goals of 2.39 for Hertha against 1.62 for Wolfsburg points to a home edge rather than a repeat of the 0-5. The evidence supports Hertha BSC win.
Published 01 Nov 2026 22:47 UTC+3. This preview is preserved from the previous data snapshot. Analysis and numbers reflect that publication; current model predictions are shown in the table above.
⚽ Current model expected goals: Hertha BSC 2.39 – 1.60 VfL Wolfsburg · expected total 3.99
🔑 What Drives the Prediction
Hertha BSC
Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors, each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict — including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.
📈 Team Trends
Hertha BSC
VfL Wolfsburg
Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.
🏅 League Benchmarks: 2. Bundesliga
Hertha BSC
VfL Wolfsburg
Rank among 18 2. Bundesliga teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets are season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates cover the last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.
🏠 Home vs Away Records
Hertha BSC at home · VfL Wolfsburg away, the split that matters for this fixture.
Hertha BSC (home)
VfL Wolfsburg (away)
Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.
🎯 Most Likely Scores for the Selected 1X2 Outcome
Over/Under and BTTS tips are aligned with the leading scoreline. Alternative scores below may belong to other goal-total or BTTS outcomes. Percentages are estimated probabilities of the exact scores, not probabilities conditional on any scenario.
⚔️ Head-to-Head
Hertha BSC 3 wins · 2 draws · VfL Wolfsburg 5 wins · avg 2.4 goals · BTTS in 4 of 10
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct 2025 | VfL Wolfsburg | 0–2 | Hertha BSC | Friendlies Clubs |
| 27 May 2023 | VfL Wolfsburg | 1–2 | Hertha Berlin | Bundesliga |
| 24 Jan 2023 | Hertha Berlin | 0–5 | VfL Wolfsburg | Bundesliga |
| 15 Jan 2022 | VfL Wolfsburg | 0–0 | Hertha Berlin | Bundesliga |
| 21 Aug 2021 | Hertha Berlin | 1–2 | VfL Wolfsburg | Bundesliga |
| 27 Feb 2021 | VfL Wolfsburg | 2–0 | Hertha Berlin | Bundesliga |
| 01 Nov 2020 | Hertha Berlin | 1–1 | VfL Wolfsburg | Bundesliga |
| 25 Jan 2020 | VfL Wolfsburg | 1–2 | Hertha Berlin | Bundesliga |
| 25 Aug 2019 | Hertha Berlin | 0–3 | VfL Wolfsburg | Bundesliga |
| 02 Feb 2019 | Hertha Berlin | 0–1 | VfL Wolfsburg | Bundesliga |
📈 Recent Form
Hertha BSC
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | 1. FC Kaiserslautern | Away | 3–0 | W |
| 28/10 | SSV Jeddeloh | Away | 2–0 | W |
| 24/10 | Arminia Bielefeld | Home | 1–0 | W |
| 16/10 | Holstein Kiel | Away | 0–0 | D |
| 11/10 | SpVgg Greuther Fürth | Home | 2–1 | W |
| 02/10 | FC Augsburg | Away | 2–2 | D |
| 29/09 | Hertha Zehlendorf | Away | 3–1 | W |
| 19/09 | Dynamo Dresden | Away | 2–1 | W |
| 13/09 | VfL Osnabrück | Away | 3–1 | W |
| 06/09 | 1. FC Magdeburg | Home | 2–1 | W |
VfL Wolfsburg
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | VfL Osnabrück | Home | 2–0 | W |
| 28/10 | SC Freiburg | Away | 2–3 | L |
| 23/10 | VfL Bochum | Away | 1–1 | D |
| 17/10 | 1. FC Heidenheim | Home | 3–1 | W |
| 10/10 | 1. FC Nürnberg | Away | 4–4 | D |
| 01/10 | Havelse | Home | 4–1 | W |
| 18/09 | SV Darmstadt 98 | Home | 5–1 | W |
| 12/09 | FC St. Pauli | Away | 0–1 | L |
| 05/09 | Energie Cottbus | Home | 4–4 | D |
| 29/08 | Karlsruher SC | Away | 5–2 | W |
📊 Season Comparison: 2. Bundesliga
Hertha BSC #1 · 28 pts · VfL Wolfsburg #3 · 19 pts
Hertha BSC
VfL Wolfsburg
⏱️ Goal Timing (season)
Hertha BSC
VfL Wolfsburg
Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.
More: 2. Bundesliga predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws