Predictions → Germany 2. Bundesliga

VfL Bochum vs VfL Wolfsburg

Next match: Fri, 23 Oct 2026 • 16:30 UTC+3 • Round 9 • Vonovia Ruhrstadion

🎯 PredictLix Predictions

MarketTipConfidenceProbabilityOddsBookmakerMarket impliedEdge
Match Result (1X2) Away 2.22 → 2.15 ▼3% 80% 46.1% 2.15 William Hill 45.5% +0.6 pp
Double Chance X2 73% 73.7% 1.36 William Hill 70.1% +3.6 pp
BTTS Yes 82% 50.9% 1.46 1xBet 64.9% -14 pp
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 81% 48.4% 1.51 Pinnacle 63.2% -14.8 pp
Correct Score 1-2 64% 7.7% 9.00 William Hill 5.1% +2.6 pp
Corners O/U 9.5 (~11.4 exp.) Over 9.5 65% 55.8% — — — —

⚽ Model expected goals: VfL Bochum 1.17 – 1.82 VfL Wolfsburg · expected total 2.98

🔑 What Drives the Prediction

VfL Bochum

Form (last 5)
L1. FC Kaiserslautern (A) 0–2 · 17/10/2026LArminia Bielefeld (H) 0–1 · 11/10/2026WVfL Osnabrück (H) 4–1 · 02/10/2026LHannover 96 (A) 1–2 · 20/09/2026DSpVgg Greuther Fürth (H) 1–1 · 12/09/2026
Goals scored (season avg)0.60
Goals conceded (season avg)1.10
Win streak (best this season)1
xG for (recent avg)0.98
xG against (recent avg)1.35
Elo strength rating1451

VfL Wolfsburg

Form (last 5)
W1. FC Heidenheim (H) 3–1 · 17/10/2026D1. FC Nürnberg (A) 4–4 · 10/10/2026WHavelse (H) 4–1 · 01/10/2026WSV Darmstadt 98 (H) 5–1 · 18/09/2026LFC St. Pauli (A) 0–1 · 12/09/2026
Goals scored (season avg)2.80
Goals conceded (season avg)1.60
Win streak (best this season)2
xG for (recent avg)2.39
xG against (recent avg)1.67
Elo strength rating1448
VfL BochumVfL Wolfsburg
Goals scored (season avg)
0.60
2.80
Goals conceded (season avg)
1.10
1.60
Win streak (best this season)
1
2
xG for (recent avg)
0.98
2.39
xG against (recent avg)
1.35
1.67
Elo strength rating
1451
1448

Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors — each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict — including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.

📈 Team Trends

VfL Bochum

Lost 2 in a row
BTTS
4/6
Over 2.5
3/6
Scored
4/6
Clean sheets
0/6

VfL Wolfsburg

Unbeaten 4
BTTS
5/6
Over 2.5
5/6
Scored
5/6
Clean sheets
0/6

Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.

🏅 League Benchmarks — 2. Bundesliga

VfL Bochum

Worst attack (0.60 goals/game) 3rd best defence (1.10 conceded/game)

VfL Wolfsburg

Best attack (2.80 goals/game) Best BTTS rate (83%) 2nd best Over 2.5 rate (83%)

Rank among 18 2. Bundesliga teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets — season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates — last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.

🏠 Home vs Away Records

VfL Bochum at home · VfL Wolfsburg away — the split that matters for this fixture.

VfL Bochum (home)

Wins–Draws–Losses0W–1D–3L
D 1
L 3
Played4
Goals scored (avg)0.30
Goals conceded (avg)1.00
Clean sheets0
Failed to score3

VfL Wolfsburg (away)

Wins–Draws–Losses2W–1D–1L
W 2
D 1
L 1
Played4
Goals scored (avg)2.50
Goals conceded (avg)1.80
Clean sheets1
Failed to score1
VfL Bochum (home)VfL Wolfsburg (away)
D 1
L 3
W 2
D 1
L 1
Played
4
4
Goals scored (avg)
0.30
2.50
Goals conceded (avg)
1.00
1.80
Clean sheets
0
1
Failed to score
3
1

Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.

🎯 Most Likely Scorelines

1–2
7.7%
0–2
6.6%
0–1
6.4%
1–3
4.7%
0–3
4%

The five most probable exact scores for THIS fixture — computed from both teams' expected goals (score matrix), not generic league stats.

⚔️ Head-to-Head

VfL Bochum 2 wins · 1 draw · VfL Wolfsburg 5 wins · avg 2.9 goals · BTTS in 4 of 8

2
1
5
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
22 Feb 2025 VfL Wolfsburg 1–1 VfL Bochum Bundesliga
05 Oct 2024 VfL Bochum 1–3 VfL Wolfsburg Bundesliga
20 Apr 2024 VfL Wolfsburg 1–0 Vfl Bochum Bundesliga
02 Dec 2023 Vfl Bochum 3–1 VfL Wolfsburg Bundesliga
22 Apr 2023 Vfl Bochum 1–5 VfL Wolfsburg Bundesliga
29 Oct 2022 VfL Wolfsburg 4–0 Vfl Bochum Bundesliga
09 Jan 2022 Vfl Bochum 1–0 VfL Wolfsburg Bundesliga
14 Aug 2021 VfL Wolfsburg 1–0 Vfl Bochum Bundesliga

📈 Recent Form

VfL Bochum

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
17/10 1. FC Kaiserslautern Away 0–2 L
11/10 Arminia Bielefeld Home 0–1 L
02/10 VfL Osnabrück Home 4–1 W
20/09 Hannover 96 Away 1–2 L
12/09 SpVgg Greuther Fürth Home 1–1 D

VfL Wolfsburg

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
17/10 1. FC Heidenheim Home 3–1 W
10/10 1. FC Nürnberg Away 4–4 D
01/10 Havelse Home 4–1 W
18/09 SV Darmstadt 98 Home 5–1 W
12/09 FC St. Pauli Away 0–1 L

📊 Season Comparison — 2. Bundesliga

VfL Bochum #16 · 7 pts —  VfL Wolfsburg #3 · 15 pts

VfL Bochum

Wins–Draws–Losses2W–1D–5L
W 2
D 1
L 5
Played8
Goals scored (avg)0.60
Goals conceded (avg)1.10
Clean sheets1
Failed to score4
Yellow cards25
Red cards1
xG for (avg)0.98
xG against (avg)1.35
Corners for (avg)6.60
Penalties (scored/missed)0/0

VfL Wolfsburg

Wins–Draws–Losses4W–3D–1L
W 4
D 3
L 1
Played8
Goals scored (avg)2.80
Goals conceded (avg)1.60
Clean sheets2
Failed to score2
Yellow cards18
Red cards1
xG for (avg)2.39
xG against (avg)1.67
Corners for (avg)5.80
Penalties (scored/missed)2/0
VfL BochumVfL Wolfsburg
W 2
D 1
L 5
W 4
D 3
L 1
Played
8
8
Goals scored (avg)
0.60
2.80
Goals conceded (avg)
1.10
1.60
Clean sheets
1
2
Failed to score
4
2
Yellow cards
25
18
Red cards
1
1
xG for (avg)
0.98
2.39
xG against (avg)
1.35
1.67
Corners for (avg)
6.60
5.80
Penalties (scored/missed)
0/0
2/0

⏱️ Goal Timing (season)

VfL Bochum

1
0-15
1
1
16-30
3
4
31-45
46-60
2
61-75
1
76-90
1
scored conceded

VfL Wolfsburg

2
0-15
5
2
16-30
3
1
31-45
3
3
46-60
1
2
61-75
3
3
76-90
7
scored conceded

Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.

More: 2. Bundesliga predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws