Borussia Dortmund vs SV Elversberg
This page follows the latest fixture between these teams. Previous predictions stay on the record below.
Next match: Sat, 07 Nov 2026 • 17:30 UTC+3 • Round 9 • Signal Iduna Park • ☁️ 8.3°C, 5 km/h overcast
No Best Bet: no eligible value candidate at current conditions.
🎯 PredictLix Predictions
Predictions updated: 02 Nov 2026 07:08 UTC+3
| Market | Tip | Odds | Probability | Model EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result (1X2) | Home | 1xBet1.32 | 72.7% | -4% |
| Double Chance | 1X | Betano1.09 | 88.6% | -3.4% |
| BTTS | Yes | Bet3651.62 | 59.8% · No 40.2% | -3.1% |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | Bet3651.33 | 70% · Under 30% | -6.9% |
| Correct Score | 2-1 | Betano10.00 | 9.9% | -1% |
| Corners O/U 9.5 (~11.3 exp.) | Over 9.5 | Betano1.60 | 61.9% · Under 38.1% | -1% |
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🧠 Match Preview
Model view
Model 1X2 split: Borussia Dortmund 72.7% · Draw 15.9% · SV Elversberg 11.4%. Selected outcome: Borussia Dortmund win.
Goals
Model expected goals: Borussia Dortmund 2.17, SV Elversberg 1.10, expected total 3.26.
Price check
The model favours Borussia Dortmund win, but the displayed price does not offer positive model EV.
Form / H2H
Borussia Dortmund: D-W-W-W-D in their last five matches.
SV Elversberg: W-L-L-W-L in their last five matches.
Historical form, not a probability for the next match.
Limitations
Lineups, injuries and late team news can change the outlook. Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees.
🔑 What Drives the Prediction
Borussia Dortmund
Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors, each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict — including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.
📈 Team Trends
Borussia Dortmund
SV Elversberg
Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.
🏅 League Benchmarks: Bundesliga
Borussia Dortmund
SV Elversberg
No top-3 or bottom-2 marks in the league right now.
Rank among 18 Bundesliga teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets are season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates cover the last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.
🏠 Home vs Away Records
Borussia Dortmund at home · SV Elversberg away, the split that matters for this fixture.
Borussia Dortmund (home)
SV Elversberg (away)
Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.
🎯 Most Likely Scores for the Selected 1X2 Outcome
Over/Under and BTTS tips are aligned with the leading scoreline. Alternative scores below may belong to other goal-total or BTTS outcomes. Percentages are estimated probabilities of the exact scores, not probabilities conditional on any scenario.
📈 Recent Form
Borussia Dortmund
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | Bayern München | Away | 2–2 | D |
| 27/10 | Werder Bremen | Home | 3–2 | W |
| 24/10 | Eintracht Frankfurt | Home | 1–0 | W |
| 20/10 | Sabah FA | Away | 2–1 | W |
| 17/10 | Union Berlin | Away | 0–0 | D |
| 14/10 | Bodo/Glimt | Away | 0–1 | L |
| 09/10 | Werder Bremen | Home | 2–2 | D |
| 19/09 | VfB Stuttgart | Away | 1–0 | W |
| 12/09 | SC Paderborn 07 | Home | 3–0 | W |
| 08/09 | Villarreal | Home | 3–2 | W |
SV Elversberg
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/10 | FSV Mainz 05 | Home | 4–1 | W |
| 27/10 | SV Darmstadt 98 | Home | 0–2 | L |
| 24/10 | RB Leipzig | Away | 0–4 | L |
| 17/10 | FC Augsburg | Home | 4–3 | W |
| 10/10 | Union Berlin | Away | 0–1 | L |
| 24/09 | Waldhof Mannheim | Away | 1–2 | L |
| 20/09 | FC Schalke 04 | Away | 0–0 | D |
| 13/09 | Bayern München | Home | 1–2 | L |
| 05/09 | Borussia Mönchengladbach | Away | 4–3 | W |
| 29/08 | Bayer Leverkusen | Home | 3–2 | W |
📊 Season Comparison: Bundesliga
Borussia Dortmund #2 · 18 pts · SV Elversberg #7 · 13 pts
Borussia Dortmund
SV Elversberg
⏱️ Goal Timing (season)
Borussia Dortmund
SV Elversberg
Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.
🏥 Injuries & Suspensions
Borussia Dortmund
- ❌ R. Bensebaini: Ribs Injury
- ❌ E. Can: Knee Injury
- ❌ M. Kaba: Injury
- ❌ N. Schlotterbeck: Ankle Injury
- ❌ S. Inacio: Suspended (Red Card)
- ❌ G. Konstantelias: Knee Injury
- ❌ J. Lerma: Muscle Injury
- ❌ K. Karetsas: Health problems
- ❌ F. Mane: Muscle Injury
- ❌ C. Chukwuemeka: Muscle Injury
- ❌ J. Ryerson: Ribs Injury
- ❌ K. Prates: Muscle Injury
SV Elversberg
- ❌ L. Seifert: Ankle Injury
- ❌ T. Zimmerschied: Back Injury
- ❌ F. Onyeka: Foot Injury
- ❌ C. Campbell: Ankle Injury
- ❌ N. Darvich: Hamstring Injury
- ❌ J. Gyamerah: Thigh Injury
More: Bundesliga predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws