Predictions β†’ Germany Bundesliga

Borussia Dortmund vs Eintracht Frankfurt

Next match: Sat, 24 Oct 2026 β€’ 16:30 UTC+3 β€’ Round 7 β€’ Signal Iduna Park β€’ ☁️ 10.8Β°C, 11 km/h overcast

🎯 PredictLix Predictions

MarketTipConfidenceProbabilityOddsBookmakerMarket impliedEdge
Match Result (1X2) Home 89% 70.3% β€” β€” β€” β€”
Double Chance 1X 78% 81.4% β€” β€” β€” β€”
BTTS Yes 83% 53.1% β€” β€” β€” β€”
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 88% 61.6% β€” β€” β€” β€”
Correct Score 2-1 63% 7.6% β€” β€” β€” β€”
Corners O/U 9.5 (~10.7 exp.) Over 9.5 63% 54.5% β€” β€” β€” β€”

⚽ Model expected goals: Borussia Dortmund 2.42 – 1.13 Eintracht Frankfurt Β· expected total 3.55

🧠 Match Preview

Borussia Dortmund host Eintracht Frankfurt at Signal Iduna Park on Saturday, and the stakes are lopsided. Dortmund sit 2nd on 13 points from 5 matches, while Frankfurt are down in 14th with just 5 points. The model leans heavily home: a 70.3 percent win probability at 89 confidence, with the double chance 1X at 81.4 percent.

The attacking numbers back that up. Dortmund's expected goals come in at 2.4193 against Frankfurt's 1.1327, and recent form supports the gap β€” 2.18 xG for the hosts, 1.95 for the visitors. Dortmund's last five read LDWWW; Frankfurt's LWDWL. Both squads are badly hit by injuries, with eleven Dortmund names out and eight for Frankfurt, so depth will matter.

For bettors, the headline tips are a home win, Over 2.5 goals at 61.6 percent, and BTTS Yes at 53.1 percent. The correct-score model favours 2-1 at 7.6 percent, with 2-0, 3-1, 3-0 and 1-0 close behind. Corners point Over 9.5 at 54.5 percent, with 10.7 expected. The recent head-to-head is wild β€” 3-2, 3-3, 2-0, 2-0, 3-1 β€” so goals have flowed regardless of venue.

The honest caveat: Frankfurt have shown they can score here, and that 3-3 and 3-2 history warns against treating the home win as a formality. If you want value, the goal markets look safer than a straight result.

Updated 15 Oct 2026, 10:09 UTC+3 β€” refreshed when the underlying data changes.

πŸ”‘ What Drives the Prediction

Borussia Dortmund

Form (last 5)
LBodo/Glimt (A) 0–1 Β· 14/10/2026DWerder Bremen (H) 2–2 Β· 09/10/2026WVfB Stuttgart (A) 1–0 Β· 19/09/2026WSC Paderborn 07 (H) 3–0 Β· 12/09/2026WVillarreal (H) 3–2 Β· 08/09/2026
Goals scored (season avg)2.20
Goals conceded (season avg)0.80
Win streak (best this season)4
xG for (recent avg)1.27
xG against (recent avg)0.55
Elo strength rating1713
Players out11

Eintracht Frankfurt

Form (last 5)
LRB Leipzig (A) 0–6 Β· 10/10/2026WEintracht Braunschweig (H) 4–0 Β· 02/10/2026DSC Freiburg (H) 2–2 Β· 19/09/2026WFSV Mainz 05 (A) 3–1 Β· 12/09/2026LFC Augsburg (H) 1–4 Β· 06/09/2026
Goals scored (season avg)1.80
Goals conceded (season avg)3.20
Win streak (best this season)1
xG for (recent avg)1.29
xG against (recent avg)1.14
Elo strength rating1506
Players out8
Borussia DortmundEintracht Frankfurt
Goals scored (season avg)
2.20
1.80
Goals conceded (season avg)
0.80
3.20
Win streak (best this season)
4
1
xG for (recent avg)
1.27
1.29
xG against (recent avg)
0.55
1.14
Elo strength rating
1713
1506
Players out
11
8

Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors β€” each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict β€” including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.

πŸ“ˆ Team Trends

Borussia Dortmund

BTTS
3/6
Over 2.5
4/6
Scored
5/6
Clean sheets
2/6

Eintracht Frankfurt

BTTS
4/6
Over 2.5
6/6
Scored
5/6
Clean sheets
1/6

Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.

πŸ… League Benchmarks β€” Bundesliga

Borussia Dortmund

Best defence (0.80 conceded/game) Best clean sheets (3)

Eintracht Frankfurt

Best Over 2.5 rate (100%)

Rank among 18 Bundesliga teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets β€” season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates β€” last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.

🏠 Home vs Away Records

Borussia Dortmund at home Β· Eintracht Frankfurt away β€” the split that matters for this fixture.

Borussia Dortmund (home)

Wins–Draws–Losses2W–1D–0L
W 2
D 1
Played3
Goals scored (avg)2.30
Goals conceded (avg)0.70
Clean sheets2
Failed to score0

Eintracht Frankfurt (away)

Wins–Draws–Losses1W–1D–1L
W 1
D 1
L 1
Played3
Goals scored (avg)2.00
Goals conceded (avg)3.30
Clean sheets0
Failed to score1
Borussia Dortmund (home)Eintracht Frankfurt (away)
W 2
D 1
W 1
D 1
L 1
Played
3
3
Goals scored (avg)
2.30
2.00
Goals conceded (avg)
0.70
3.30
Clean sheets
2
0
Failed to score
0
1

Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.

🎯 Most Likely Scorelines

2–1
7.6%
2–0
6.7%
3–1
6.1%
3–0
5.4%
1–0
4.9%

The five most probable exact scores for THIS fixture β€” computed from both teams' expected goals (score matrix), not generic league stats.

βš”οΈ Head-to-Head

Borussia Dortmund 6 wins Β· 2 draws Β· Eintracht Frankfurt 1 win Β· avg 4.1 goals Β· BTTS in 6 of 9

6
2
1
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
08 May 2026 Borussia Dortmund 3–2 Eintracht Frankfurt Bundesliga
09 Jan 2026 Eintracht Frankfurt 3–3 Borussia Dortmund Bundesliga
17 Jan 2025 Eintracht Frankfurt 2–0 Borussia Dortmund Bundesliga
24 Aug 2024 Borussia Dortmund 2–0 Eintracht Frankfurt Bundesliga
17 Mar 2024 Borussia Dortmund 3–1 Eintracht Frankfurt Bundesliga
29 Oct 2023 Eintracht Frankfurt 3–3 Borussia Dortmund Bundesliga
22 Apr 2023 Borussia Dortmund 4–0 Eintracht Frankfurt Bundesliga
29 Oct 2022 Eintracht Frankfurt 1–2 Borussia Dortmund Bundesliga
08 Jan 2022 Eintracht Frankfurt 2–3 Borussia Dortmund Bundesliga

πŸ“ˆ Recent Form

Borussia Dortmund

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
14/10 Bodo/Glimt Away 0–1 L
09/10 Werder Bremen Home 2–2 D
19/09 VfB Stuttgart Away 1–0 W
12/09 SC Paderborn 07 Home 3–0 W
08/09 Villarreal Home 3–2 W

Eintracht Frankfurt

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
10/10 RB Leipzig Away 0–6 L
02/10 Eintracht Braunschweig Home 4–0 W
19/09 SC Freiburg Home 2–2 D
12/09 FSV Mainz 05 Away 3–1 W
06/09 FC Augsburg Home 1–4 L

πŸ“Š Season Comparison β€” Bundesliga

Borussia Dortmund #2 Β· 13 pts β€”  Eintracht Frankfurt #14 Β· 5 pts

Borussia Dortmund

Wins–Draws–Losses4W–1D–0L
W 4
D 1
Played5
Goals scored (avg)2.20
Goals conceded (avg)0.80
Clean sheets3
Failed to score0
Yellow cards12
Red cards1
xG for (avg)1.27
xG against (avg)0.55
Corners for (avg)6.50
Penalties (scored/missed)0/0

Eintracht Frankfurt

Wins–Draws–Losses1W–2D–2L
W 1
D 2
L 2
Played5
Goals scored (avg)1.80
Goals conceded (avg)3.20
Clean sheets0
Failed to score1
Yellow cards12
Red cards0
xG for (avg)1.29
xG against (avg)1.14
Corners for (avg)4.70
Penalties (scored/missed)0/0
Borussia DortmundEintracht Frankfurt
W 4
D 1
W 1
D 2
L 2
Played
5
5
Goals scored (avg)
2.20
1.80
Goals conceded (avg)
0.80
3.20
Clean sheets
3
0
Failed to score
0
1
Yellow cards
12
12
Red cards
1
0
xG for (avg)
1.27
1.29
xG against (avg)
0.55
1.14
Corners for (avg)
6.50
4.70
Penalties (scored/missed)
0/0
0/0

⏱️ Goal Timing (season)

Borussia Dortmund

0-15
2
16-30
1
31-45
1
1
46-60
61-75
3
3
76-90
4
scored conceded

Eintracht Frankfurt

3
0-15
5
16-30
3
31-45
2
3
46-60
2
1
61-75
1
5
76-90
scored conceded

Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.

πŸ₯ Injuries & Suspensions

Borussia Dortmund

  • ❌ R. Bensebaini β€” Ribs Injury
  • ❌ E. Can β€” Knee Injury
  • ❌ M. Kaba β€” Injury
  • ❌ N. Schlotterbeck β€” Ankle Injury
  • ❌ S. Inacio β€” Red Card
  • ❌ G. Konstantelias β€” Knee Injury
  • ❌ J. Lerma β€” Muscle Injury
  • ❌ K. Karetsas β€” Health problems
  • ❌ F. Mane β€” Muscle Injury
  • ❌ C. Chukwuemeka β€” Muscle Injury
  • ❌ J. Ryerson β€” Ribs Injury

Eintracht Frankfurt

  • ❌ N. Collins β€” Back Injury
  • ❌ R. Doan β€” Muscle Injury
  • ❌ A. Knauff β€” Muscle Injury
  • ❌ H. Larsson β€” Muscle Injury
  • ❌ J. Ngankam β€” Injury
  • ❌ F. Chaibi β€” Illness
  • ❌ J. Maluze β€” Illness
  • ❌ M. Pimpong β€” Injury

More: Bundesliga predictions Β· BTTS Β· Over/Under Β· Correct Score Β· Draws