Osasuna vs Athletic Club
This page follows the latest fixture between these teams. Previous predictions stay on the record below.
Next match: Sat, 07 Nov 2026 • 20:30 UTC+3 • Round 12 • Estadio El Sadar
No Best Bet: no eligible value candidate at current conditions.
🎯 PredictLix Predictions
Predictions updated: 02 Nov 2026 07:08 UTC+3
| Market | Tip | Odds | Probability | Model EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result (1X2) | Away | Pinnacle2.24 | 43.6% | -2.3% |
| Double Chance | 12 | 1xBet1.35 | 71.8% | -3.1% |
| BTTS | No | William Hill2.00 | 49.9% · Yes 50.1% | -0.2% |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 1xBet1.88 | 54% · Over 46% | +1.5% |
| Correct Score | 0-1 | William Hill7.50 | 10.4% | -22% |
| Corners O/U 9.5 (~8.8 exp.) | Under 9.5 | Betano1.65 | 55.4% · Over 44.6% | -8.6% |
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🧠 Match Preview
Osasuna · Home
Osasuna have lost three of their last five, including a 0-2 defeat at Sevilla and a 0-4 loss at Atletico Madrid, and failed to score in two of those matches. Their recent xG for of 1.15 sits close to a model expected goals figure of 1.11, suggesting a modest attacking output here.
Athletic Club · Away
Athletic Club have won three of their last five, with clean sheets in three, and their recent xG for of 1.77 is well above the model expected goals of 1.31. The latest head-to-head was a 1-0 Athletic Club win, following a 1-1 draw at Osasuna and a 0-0.
Athletic edge in low-scoring H2H
The three supplied head-to-heads produced just four goals combined, with the two most recent ending 1-0 and 1-1. Athletic Club's recent record of eight goals for and four against across five matches fits a tight contest rather than an open one. Osasuna's two failed-to-score matches in their last five further support a low-scoring read. The evidence supports Athletic Club win.
Published 02 Nov 2026 04:49 UTC+3. Analysis and numbers reflect the pre-match data snapshot available at publication.
⚽ Current model expected goals: Osasuna 1.11 – 1.31 Athletic Club · expected total 2.42
🔑 What Drives the Prediction
Osasuna
Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors, each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict — including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.
📈 Team Trends
Osasuna
Athletic Club
Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.
🏅 League Benchmarks: La Liga
Osasuna
Athletic Club
Rank among 20 La Liga teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets are season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates cover the last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.
🏠 Home vs Away Records
Osasuna at home · Athletic Club away, the split that matters for this fixture.
Osasuna (home)
Athletic Club (away)
Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.
🎯 Most Likely Scores for the Selected 1X2 Outcome
Over/Under and BTTS tips are aligned with the leading scoreline. Alternative scores below may belong to other goal-total or BTTS outcomes. Percentages are estimated probabilities of the exact scores, not probabilities conditional on any scenario.
⚔️ Head-to-Head
Athletic Club 4 wins · 3 draws · Osasuna 2 wins · avg 2.4 goals · BTTS in 5 of 9
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr 2026 | Athletic Club | 1–0 | Osasuna | La Liga |
| 03 Jan 2026 | Osasuna | 1–1 | Athletic Club | La Liga |
| 30 Mar 2025 | Athletic Club | 0–0 | Osasuna | La Liga |
| 16 Jan 2025 | Athletic Club | 2–3 | Osasuna | Copa del Rey |
| 21 Dec 2024 | Osasuna | 1–2 | Athletic Club | La Liga |
| 03 Aug 2024 | Athletic Club | 2–1 | Osasuna | Friendlies Clubs |
| 11 May 2024 | Athletic Club | 2–2 | Osasuna | La Liga |
| 19 Aug 2023 | Osasuna | 0–2 | Athletic Club | La Liga |
| 25 May 2023 | Osasuna | 2–0 | Athletic Club | La Liga |
📈 Recent Form
Osasuna
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/10 | Sevilla | Away | 0–2 | L |
| 18/10 | Racing Santander | Home | 2–0 | W |
| 11/10 | Real Betis | Away | 2–5 | L |
| 19/09 | Rayo Vallecano | Home | 1–1 | D |
| 16/09 | Atletico Madrid | Away | 0–4 | L |
| 12/09 | Espanyol | Home | 0–2 | L |
| 06/09 | Alaves | Away | 2–5 | L |
| 31/08 | Getafe | Home | 1–0 | W |
| 27/08 | Celta Vigo | Away | 2–1 | W |
| 24/08 | Levante | Home | 0–0 | D |
Athletic Club
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11 | Real Sociedad | Home | 2–1 | W |
| 25/10 | Getafe | Home | 4–0 | W |
| 21/10 | Levante | Away | 1–3 | L |
| 17/10 | Valencia | Away | 0–0 | D |
| 02/10 | Real Sociedad | Away | 1–0 | W |
| 19/09 | Alaves | Home | 0–0 | D |
| 12/09 | Elche | Home | 1–1 | D |
| 05/09 | Atletico Madrid | Home | 3–0 | W |
| 30/08 | Celta Vigo | Away | 2–0 | W |
| 27/08 | Barcelona | Away | 0–2 | L |
📊 Season Comparison: La Liga
Osasuna #15 · 11 pts · Athletic Club #7 · 15 pts
Osasuna
Athletic Club
⏱️ Goal Timing (season)
Osasuna
Athletic Club
Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.
🏥 Injuries & Suspensions
Osasuna
- ❌ V. Rosier: Hamstring Injury
- ❌ J. Herrando: Muscle Injury
- ❌ A. Oroz: Muscle Injury
- ❌ M. Gomez: Hamstring Injury
- ❌ K. Barja: Muscle Injury
- ❌ R. Del Castillo: Muscle Injury
- ❌ R. Moro: Muscle Injury
⚠️ Status unconfirmed (listed inactive): A. Bonel; not counted as confirmed absences.
Athletic Club
- ❌ U. Egiluz: Knee Injury
- ❌ A. Gorosabel: Muscle Injury
- ❌ B. Prados Diaz: Thigh Injury
- ❌ D. Vivian: Hamstring Injury
- ❌ P. Canales: Muscle Injury
- ❌ G. Guruzeta: Hamstring Injury
- ❌ O. Sancet: Muscle Injury
- ❌ N. Williams: Thigh Injury
- ❌ A. Laporte: Suspended (Red Card)
- ❌ I. Ruiz de Galarreta: Hamstring Injury
Squad/transfer status (not counted as absences): N. Serrano (Coach's decision), A. Djalo (Coach's decision).
⚠️ Status unconfirmed (listed inactive): U. Vencedor; not counted as confirmed absences.
More: La Liga predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws