Cambuur vs PSV Eindhoven
This page follows the latest fixture between these teams. Previous predictions stay on the record below.
Next match: Sun, 08 Nov 2026 • 18:45 UTC+3 • Round 12 • Kooi Stadion • 🌦 7.3°C, 12 km/h, 0.1mm drizzle
Snapshotted at publish: Under 9.5 at 2.35 (54.4%, Model EV +27.8%). Prices move constantly, confirm at the bookmaker.
Best Bet selection: highest current Model EV among eligible candidates from 1X2, Double Chance, BTTS, Over/Under 2.5, Corners O/U 9.5 and Correct Score.
🎯 PredictLix Predictions
Predictions updated: 02 Nov 2026 07:08 UTC+3
| Market | Tip | Odds | Probability | Model EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result (1X2) | Away | Betano1.39 | 64% | -11% |
| Double Chance | 12 | Bet3651.17 | 83.8% | -2% |
| BTTS | Yes | Bet3651.44 | 84.9% · No 15.1% | +22.3% |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | Betano1.27 | 79.4% · Under 20.6% | +0.8% |
| Correct Score | 2-3 | Bet36517.00 | 5.8% | -1.4% |
| Corners O/U 9.5 (~8.9 exp.) | Under 9.5 | Betano2.35 | 54.4% · Over 45.6% | +27.8% |
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🧠 Match Preview
Cambuur · Home
Cambuur are unbeaten across their last five with 14 goals scored, including a 4-0 home win over GO Ahead Eagles and a 6-1 away win at Willem II. Their recent xG for those matches with recorded statistics is 1.19, well below the 2.48 model expected goals for this fixture.
PSV Eindhoven · Away
PSV Eindhoven have scored 10 goals in their last five, headed by a 7-0 home win over Willem II, though they also lost 1-2 at ADO Den Haag. Their recent xG across matches with recorded statistics is 2.33, against a model expected goals of 2.59 here.
Cambuur's Home Record Against PSV
The latest head-to-head is the telling angle: PSV won 5-2 in Eindhoven in March 2023, but Cambuur had beaten them 3-0 at home in October 2022 and lost only 1-2 at home in April 2022. Cambuur's five-match unbeaten run includes 14 goals scored and just 4 conceded, so this is no routine away day. PSV's 7-0 win over Willem II shows the scoring ceiling, yet the 1-2 loss at ADO Den Haag shows the risk. The evidence supports PSV Eindhoven win.
Published 02 Nov 2026 04:50 UTC+3. This preview is preserved from the previous data snapshot. Analysis and numbers reflect that publication; current model predictions are shown in the table above.
⚽ Current model expected goals: Cambuur 2.48 – 2.59 PSV Eindhoven · expected total 5.07
🔑 What Drives the Prediction
Cambuur
Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors, each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict — including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.
📈 Team Trends
Cambuur
PSV Eindhoven
Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.
🏅 League Benchmarks: Eredivisie
Cambuur
No top-3 or bottom-2 marks in the league right now.
PSV Eindhoven
Rank among 18 Eredivisie teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets are season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates cover the last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.
🏠 Home vs Away Records
Cambuur at home · PSV Eindhoven away, the split that matters for this fixture.
Cambuur (home)
PSV Eindhoven (away)
Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.
🎯 Most Likely Scores for the Selected 1X2 Outcome
Over/Under and BTTS tips are aligned with the leading scoreline. Alternative scores below may belong to other goal-total or BTTS outcomes. Percentages are estimated probabilities of the exact scores, not probabilities conditional on any scenario.
⚔️ Head-to-Head
Cambuur 1 win · 1 draw · PSV Eindhoven 8 wins · avg 4.2 goals · BTTS in 6 of 10
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar 2023 | PSV Eindhoven | 5–2 | Cambuur | Eredivisie |
| 01 Oct 2022 | Cambuur | 3–0 | PSV Eindhoven | Eredivisie |
| 23 Apr 2022 | Cambuur | 1–2 | PSV Eindhoven | Eredivisie |
| 21 Aug 2021 | PSV Eindhoven | 4–1 | Cambuur | Eredivisie |
| 01 May 2016 | PSV Eindhoven | 6–2 | Cambuur | Eredivisie |
| 12 Sep 2015 | Cambuur | 0–6 | PSV Eindhoven | Eredivisie |
| 24 Jan 2015 | Cambuur | 1–2 | PSV Eindhoven | Eredivisie |
| 21 Sep 2014 | PSV Eindhoven | 4–0 | Cambuur | Eredivisie |
| 05 Feb 2014 | Cambuur | 1–2 | PSV Eindhoven | Eredivisie |
| 31 Aug 2013 | PSV Eindhoven | 0–0 | Cambuur | Eredivisie |
📈 Recent Form
Cambuur
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | GO Ahead Eagles | Home | 4–0 | W |
| 24/10 | Willem II | Away | 6–1 | W |
| 18/10 | AZ Alkmaar | Home | 2–2 | D |
| 11/10 | PEC Zwolle | Away | 1–0 | W |
| 19/09 | ADO Den Haag | Away | 1–1 | D |
| 12/09 | NEC Nijmegen | Home | 3–0 | W |
| 06/09 | Telstar | Away | 2–2 | D |
| 30/08 | Twente | Home | 1–4 | L |
| 23/08 | Feyenoord | Home | 2–5 | L |
| 15/08 | Fortuna Sittard | Away | 1–3 | L |
PSV Eindhoven
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | Willem II | Home | 7–0 | W |
| 25/10 | Feyenoord | Home | 1–1 | D |
| 20/10 | FC Porto | Away | 1–0 | W |
| 17/10 | ADO Den Haag | Away | 1–2 | L |
| 13/10 | RB Leipzig | Away | 0–1 | L |
| 09/10 | Heerenveen | Home | 2–0 | W |
| 20/09 | Twente | Away | 2–3 | L |
| 13/09 | Sparta Rotterdam | Home | 4–1 | W |
| 10/09 | Shakhtar Donetsk | Home | 1–1 | D |
| 05/09 | Ajax | Away | 3–1 | W |
📊 Season Comparison: Eredivisie
Cambuur #9 · 15 pts · PSV Eindhoven #3 · 23 pts
Cambuur
PSV Eindhoven
⏱️ Goal Timing (season)
Cambuur
PSV Eindhoven
Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.
🏥 Injuries & Suspensions
Cambuur
- ❌ W. Kooistra: Injury
- ❌ D. Visser: Knee Injury
- ❌ R. van de Pavert: Personal Reasons
- ❌ N. Binder: Injury
- ❌ J. Amofa: Injury
- ❌ D. Bouah: Suspended (Red Card)
- ❓ B. van Duijl (doubtful): Inactive
⚠️ Status unconfirmed (listed inactive): W. Asselman; not counted as confirmed absences.
PSV Eindhoven
- ❌ S. Dest: Suspended (Yellow Cards)
- ❌ C. Driouech: Knock
- ❌ J. Schouten: Knee Injury
- ❌ J. Veerman: Suspended (Red Card)
- ❌ A. Plea: Injury
- ❌ M. Bro Hansen: Injury
- ❌ S. Ouaissa: Muscle Injury
- ❌ K. Sildillia: Injury
- ❌ A. Nagalo: Injury
- ❌ R. Pepi: Injury
- ❌ P. Wanner: Foot Injury
- ❌ S. Mijnans: Suspended (Red Card)
Squad/transfer status (not counted as absences): S. Lammers (Lacking Match Fitness).
⚠️ Status unconfirmed (listed inactive): D. Man; not counted as confirmed absences.
More: Eredivisie predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws