Netherlands Eredivisie Over 2.5 Goals Football Predictions

Upcoming Matches β€’ Next 20 Days β€’ 9 Matches β€’ Round 9 β€’ Updated 22 minutes ago β€’ UTC+3

πŸ“Œ Prediction Type
πŸ† Match Tips (1x2) ⚽ BTTS πŸ“ˆ Over/Under 2.5 🎯 Correct Score πŸ”€ Double Chance 🚩 Corners O/U 🀝 Draws
πŸ” More Netherlands League Tips
Eerste Divisie
Value bets in Eredivisie: 4 bets Β· 25% win Β· profit $-199.44 (ΒΌ-Kelly stakes) Full portfolio β†’

Regular Season, Round 9

Friday, October 16

Time Home Form Match Away Form Confidence Probability Goals O/U Odds Result
21:00 LWDLD
Heerenveen Heerenveen vs Excelsior Excelsior
DLDWW 80% 47.8% Over 2.5 1.46 β€”

Saturday, October 17

Time Home Form Match Away Form Confidence Probability Goals O/U Odds Result
17:30 DLLDL
ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag vs PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven
WLWDW 84% 55% Over 2.5 1.22 β€”
21:00 LDLDL
Telstar Telstar vs Feyenoord Feyenoord
WWWLW 84% 54.8% Over 2.5 1.33 β€”
22:00 DLLDL
Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam vs Willem II Willem II
LLDLD 81% 49.8% Over 2.5 1.48 β€”

Sunday, October 18

Time Home Form Match Away Form Confidence Probability Goals O/U Odds Result
13:15 LLDLW
PEC Zwolle PEC Zwolle vs GO Ahead Eagles GO Ahead Eagles
DDDDL 81% 48.3% Under 2.5 2.77 β€”
15:30 DWDLL
Cambuur Cambuur vs AZ Alkmaar AZ Alkmaar
LWLDW 80% 47.6% Under 2.5 3.21 β€”
17:45 WDDLL
Groningen Groningen vs Ajax Ajax
DDWWL 86% 59.1% Over 2.5 1.40 β€”
21:00 DDLLD
NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen vs Fortuna Sittard Fortuna Sittard
DWWLW 83% 53% Over 2.5 1.37 β€”
21:00 DWWWW
Twente Twente vs Utrecht Utrecht
LWDLD 81% 49% Over 2.5 1.34 β€”

Top Trends from Eredivisie Teams for Over/Under 2.5 Goals

Excelsior Over 2.5 in 10

Over 2.5 goals in Excelsior's last 10 matches in a row

Heerenveen — Excelsior
PEC Zwolle 2+ conceded in 9/10

PEC Zwolle have conceded 2+ goals in 9 of their last 10 matches

PEC Zwolle — GO Ahead Eagles
Ajax Over 2.5 in 9/10

Over 2.5 goals in 9 of Ajax's last 10 matches

Groningen — Ajax
PSV Eindhoven 2+ scored in 8/10

PSV Eindhoven scored 2+ goals in 8 of their last 10 matches

ADO Den Haag — PSV Eindhoven
Feyenoord 2+ scored in 8/10

Feyenoord scored 2+ goals in 8 of their last 10 matches

Telstar — Feyenoord
Cambuur Over 2.5 in 8/10

Over 2.5 goals in 8 of Cambuur's last 10 matches

Cambuur — AZ Alkmaar
NEC Nijmegen Over 2.5 in 8/10

Over 2.5 goals in 8 of NEC Nijmegen's last 10 matches

NEC Nijmegen — Fortuna Sittard
πŸ“‘

AI Prediction Accuracy β€” Season 2026/27

Live accuracy tracking across all prediction types β€” wins and losses shown, nothing removed. Updated automatically after each matchday.

72 matches analysed Updated Oct 11, 2026 Full record β€” wins and losses β†’ Value bets β†’
🎯 Match Result (1X2)
44.4% 32/72
⚽ Both Teams to Score
52.8% 38/72
πŸ“ˆ Over / Under 2.5
44.4% 32/72
πŸ”’ Correct Score
4.2% 3/72
πŸ›‘οΈ Double Chance
72.2% 52/72
πŸ“ Corners Over/Under
64.8% 35/54
🀝 Draw Predictions
21.1% 4/19

Recent Form β€” Last 30 Days

🎯 Match Result (1X2) 42.3% 11/26
⚽ Both Teams to Score 61.5% 16/26
πŸ“ˆ Over / Under 2.5 50.0% 13/26
πŸ›‘οΈ Double Chance 69.2% 18/26

Probability Calibration β€” Does 70% Really Mean 70%?

Predicted probability vs how often the pick actually landed. Close match = honest probabilities.

MarketPredictedActualSample
Match Result (1X2) Β· <60% 46.8% 50.0% 42
Match Result (1X2) Β· 60-69% 65.0% 33.3% 6
Match Result (1X2) Β· 70-79% 75.2% 60.0% 5
Match Result (1X2) Β· 80+% 80.0% 100.0% 1
Both Teams to Score Β· 60-69% 63.4% 90.0% 10
Both Teams to Score Β· <60% 53.7% 51.2% 43
Both Teams to Score Β· 70-79% 70.3% 100.0% 1
Over / Under 2.5 Β· 70-79% 70.6% 66.7% 3
Over / Under 2.5 Β· <60% 52.9% 41.7% 36
Over / Under 2.5 Β· 60-69% 62.2% 60.0% 15
Correct Score Β· <60% 10.5% 5.6% 54
Double Chance Β· 70-79% 75.1% 70.7% 41
Double Chance Β· 80+% 84.0% 81.8% 11
Double Chance Β· 60-69% 69.3% 50.0% 2
Corners Over/Under Β· 80+% 90.3% 53.8% 13
Corners Over/Under Β· <60% 54.3% 72.7% 22
Corners Over/Under Β· 60-69% 64.9% 60.0% 10
Corners Over/Under Β· 70-79% 76.3% 66.7% 9
Draw Predictions Β· <60% 26.9% 28.6% 7

Live accuracy updates after each confirmed result. Minimum sample sizes may affect early-season figures.

Previous Round Results: Regular Season, Round 8

Date / Time Home Form Match Away Form Confidence Probability Goals O/U Odds Result
09/10 21:00 WLWDW
PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven vs Heerenveen Heerenveen
LWDLD 86% 59.4% Over 2.5 ❌ N/A 2 – 0 FT
10/10 17:30 DDDDL
GO Ahead Eagles GO Ahead Eagles vs Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam
DLLDL 80% 47.1% Over 2.5 βœ… N/A 3 – 3 FT
10/10 19:45 WWWLW
Feyenoord Feyenoord vs AZ Alkmaar AZ Alkmaar
LWLDW 85% 55.9% Over 2.5 ❌ N/A 2 – 0 FT
10/10 21:00 DWWLW
Fortuna Sittard Fortuna Sittard vs Twente Twente
DWWWW 84% 54.5% Over 2.5 ❌ N/A 1 – 1 FT
10/10 22:00 DDWWL
Ajax Ajax vs NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen
DDLLD 85% 56.5% Over 2.5 ❌ @1.26 1 – 1 FT
11/10 13:15 LWDLD
Utrecht Utrecht vs Willem II Willem II
LLDLD 83% 52.5% Over 2.5 βœ… N/A 3 – 1 FT
11/10 15:30 LDLDL
Telstar Telstar vs ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag
DLLDL 82% 51.8% Under 2.5 ❌ @2.38 2 – 2 FT
11/10 15:30 LLDLW
PEC Zwolle PEC Zwolle vs Cambuur Cambuur
DWDLL 82% 50.7% Over 2.5 ❌ @1.52 0 – 1 FT
11/10 17:45 DLDWW
Excelsior Excelsior vs Groningen Groningen
WDDLL 82% 51.4% Over 2.5 βœ… N/A 1 – 5 FT