Predictions → Netherlands Eredivisie

Excelsior vs GO Ahead Eagles

This page follows the latest fixture between these teams. Previous predictions stay on the record below.

Next match: Sat, 07 Nov 2026 • 23:00 UTC+3 • Round 12 • Stadion Woudestein • ☁️ 7.3°C, 8 km/h overcast

No Best Bet: no eligible value candidate at current conditions.

🎯 PredictLix Predictions

Predictions updated: 02 Nov 2026 07:08 UTC+3

MarketTipOddsProbabilityModel EV
Match Result (1X2) Draw 3.92 → 3.76 ▼4% 1xBet3.7625.4% -4.5%
Double Chance X2 Betano1.4765% -4.5%
BTTS Yes Bet3651.4461% · No 39% -12.2%
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Betano2.6538.5% · Over 61.5% +2%
Correct Score 1-1 Betano8.0012.4% -0.8%
Corners O/U 9.5 (~9.7 exp.) Over 9.5 Betano1.8251.3% · Under 48.7% -6.6%

🧠 Match Preview

Model view

Model 1X2 split: Excelsior 35.0% · Draw 25.4% · GO Ahead Eagles 39.6%. Selected outcome: Draw.

Goals

Model expected goals: Excelsior 1.44, GO Ahead Eagles 1.54, expected total 2.98.

Price check

Draw is selected under the published draw rule, but the displayed price does not offer positive model EV.

Form / H2H

Excelsior: W-L-L-L-D in their last five matches.
GO Ahead Eagles: W-L-D-D-D in their last five matches.
Last meeting: Excelsior 0–1 GO Ahead Eagles, 01 Mar 2026.
Historical form, not a probability for the next match.

Limitations

Lineups, injuries and late team news can change the outlook. Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees.

🔑 What Drives the Prediction

Excelsior

Form (last 5)
Goals scored (season avg)1.60
Goals conceded (season avg)1.90
Best league winning streak this season2
xG for (last 5 with stats, weighted)1.10
xG against (last 5 with stats, weighted)2.35
Elo strength rating1376
Players out1

GO Ahead Eagles

Form (last 5)
Goals scored (season avg)2.30
Goals conceded (season avg)2.30
Best league winning streak this season2
xG for (last 5 with stats, weighted)1.83
xG against (last 5 with stats, weighted)1.64
Elo strength rating1392
Players out4
ExcelsiorGO Ahead Eagles
Goals scored (season avg)
1.60
2.30
Goals conceded (season avg)
1.90
2.30
Best league winning streak this season
2
2
xG for (last 5 with stats, weighted)
1.10
1.83
xG against (last 5 with stats, weighted)
2.35
1.64
Elo strength rating
1376
1392
Players out
1
4

Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors, each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict — including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.

📈 Team Trends

Excelsior

BTTS
2/6
Over 2.5
5/6
Scored a goal
3/6
No goals conceded
1/6

GO Ahead Eagles

BTTS
5/6
Over 2.5
4/6
Scored a goal
5/6
No goals conceded
0/6

Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.

🏅 League Benchmarks: Eredivisie

Excelsior

2nd best Over 2.5 rate (83%, last 6)

GO Ahead Eagles

Best BTTS rate (83%, last 6)

Rank among 18 Eredivisie teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets are season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates cover the last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.

🏠 Home vs Away Records

Excelsior at home · GO Ahead Eagles away, the split that matters for this fixture.

Excelsior (home)

Wins–Draws–Losses1W–0D–3L
W 1
L 3
Played4
Goals scored (avg)1.30
Goals conceded (avg)2.50
Clean sheets0
Failed to score0

GO Ahead Eagles (away)

Wins–Draws–Losses0W–3D–2L
D 3
L 2
Played5
Goals scored (avg)1.80
Goals conceded (avg)3.00
Clean sheets0
Failed to score0
Excelsior (home)GO Ahead Eagles (away)
W 1
L 3
D 3
L 2
Played
4
5
Goals scored (avg)
1.30
1.80
Goals conceded (avg)
2.50
3.00
Clean sheets
0
0
Failed to score
0
0

Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.

🎯 Most Likely Scores for the Selected 1X2 Outcome

1–1
12.43%
2–2
6.25%
0–0
6.24%
3–3
1.54%
4–4
0.21%

Over/Under and BTTS tips are aligned with the leading scoreline. Alternative scores below may belong to other goal-total or BTTS outcomes. Percentages are estimated probabilities of the exact scores, not probabilities conditional on any scenario.

⚔️ Head-to-Head

Excelsior 1 win · 3 draws · GO Ahead Eagles 5 wins · avg 2.2 goals · BTTS in 4 of 9

1
3
5
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
01 Mar 2026 Excelsior 0–1 GO Ahead Eagles Eredivisie
26 Oct 2025 GO Ahead Eagles 2–0 Excelsior Eredivisie
30 Mar 2024 GO Ahead Eagles 3–0 Excelsior Eredivisie
16 Dec 2023 Excelsior 1–1 GO Ahead Eagles Eredivisie
14 Apr 2023 Excelsior 2–1 GO Ahead Eagles Eredivisie
29 Oct 2022 GO Ahead Eagles 3–1 Excelsior Eredivisie
12 May 2021 Excelsior 0–1 GO Ahead Eagles Eerste Divisie
31 Oct 2020 GO Ahead Eagles 0–0 Excelsior Eerste Divisie
07 Sep 2019 GO Ahead Eagles 2–2 Excelsior Eerste Divisie

📈 Recent Form

Excelsior

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
01/11 Twente Home 0–9 L
28/10 MVV Away 3–0 W
25/10 Fortuna Sittard Away 0–1 L
16/10 Heerenveen Away 0–4 L
11/10 Groningen Home 1–5 L
19/09 Ajax Away 2–2 D
13/09 Utrecht Home 1–2 L
08/09 NEC Nijmegen Away 2–2 D
05/09 Willem II Away 3–0 W
29/08 Sparta Rotterdam Home 2–1 W

GO Ahead Eagles

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
31/10 Cambuur Away 0–4 L
23/10 Telstar Home 3–2 W
18/10 PEC Zwolle Away 1–4 L
10/10 Sparta Rotterdam Home 3–3 D
20/09 NEC Nijmegen Away 1–1 D
12/09 Groningen Home 1–1 D
08/09 Utrecht Away 3–3 D
29/08 AZ Alkmaar Away 2–5 L
23/08 ADO Den Haag Home 3–1 W
16/08 Feyenoord Away 2–2 D

📊 Season Comparison: Eredivisie

Excelsior #15 · 11 pts ·  GO Ahead Eagles #10 · 14 pts

Excelsior

Wins–Draws–Losses3W–2D–6L
W 3
D 2
L 6
Played11
Goals scored (avg)1.60
Goals conceded (avg)1.90
Clean sheets2
Failed to score2
Yellow cards13
Red cards0
xG for (last 5 with stats, weighted)1.10
xG against (last 5 with stats, weighted)2.35
Corners for (avg)—
Penalties (scored/missed)1/0

GO Ahead Eagles

Wins–Draws–Losses3W–5D–3L
W 3
D 5
L 3
Played11
Goals scored (avg)2.30
Goals conceded (avg)2.30
Clean sheets0
Failed to score0
Yellow cards8
Red cards0
xG for (last 5 with stats, weighted)1.83
xG against (last 5 with stats, weighted)1.64
Corners for (avg)7.30
Penalties (scored/missed)0/0
ExcelsiorGO Ahead Eagles
W 3
D 2
L 6
W 3
D 5
L 3
Played
11
11
Goals scored (avg)
1.60
2.30
Goals conceded (avg)
1.90
2.30
Clean sheets
2
0
Failed to score
2
0
Yellow cards
13
8
Red cards
0
0
xG for (last 5 with stats, weighted)
1.10
1.83
xG against (last 5 with stats, weighted)
2.35
1.64
Corners for (avg)
—
7.30
Penalties (scored/missed)
1/0
0/0

⏱️ Goal Timing (season)

Excelsior

4
0-15
1
16-30
2
2
31-45
7
3
46-60
1
3
61-75
3
6
76-90
3
scored conceded

GO Ahead Eagles

3
0-15
2
1
16-30
4
4
31-45
2
5
46-60
3
4
61-75
7
7
76-90
4
scored conceded

Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.

🏥 Injuries & Suspensions

Excelsior

  • ❌ K. Bos: Shoulder Injury

⚠️ Status unconfirmed (listed inactive): N. Naujoks; not counted as confirmed absences.

GO Ahead Eagles

  • ❌ G. Nauber: Broken Leg
  • ❌ P. Saathof: Knee Injury
  • ❌ R. Weijenberg: Knee Injury
  • ❌ E. Waayers: Injury

⚠️ Status unconfirmed (listed inactive): G. van Zwam, J. Dirksen; not counted as confirmed absences.

More: Eredivisie predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws