Predictions → Netherlands Eredivisie

Excelsior vs Groningen

Excelsior
1:5
Full Time · 11 Oct 2026
Groningen

No upcoming fixture scheduled — showing the last meeting result and the pre-match predictions.

🎯 PredictLix Predictions — pre-match vs actual

MarketTipConfidenceProbabilityOddsBookmakerMarket impliedEdgeResult
Match Result (1X2) Home 80% 45.1% — — — — ❌
Double Chance 1X 70% 70.6% — — — — ❌
BTTS Yes 84% 54.9% — — — — ✅
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 82% 51.4% — — — — ✅
Correct Score 2-1 63% 7.4% — — — — ❌
Corners O/U 9.5 (~? exp.) Under 9.5 62% 53% — — — — ✅

⚽ Model expected goals: Excelsior 1.63 – 1.18 Groningen · expected total 2.80

Predictions made before kick-off, shown against the actual result. Odds are the best price across every bookmaker in our feed — the Bookmaker column says who offers it. Market implied = the bookmaker's probability with margin removed (proportional de-vig across all outcomes — critical on Correct Score, where the book margin is huge; for Double Chance it is derived from the de-vigged 1X2 market instead). Positive edge = the model rates this outcome higher than the market.

📈 Team Trends

Excelsior

Winless 4
BTTS
5/6
Over 2.5
6/6
Scored
6/6
Clean sheets
1/6

Groningen

Won 2 in a row Unbeaten 4
BTTS
5/6
Over 2.5
5/6
Scored
6/6
Clean sheets
1/6

Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.

🏅 League Benchmarks — Eredivisie

Excelsior

2nd best BTTS rate (83%) Best Over 2.5 rate (100%)

Groningen

2nd best BTTS rate (83%)

Rank among 18 Eredivisie teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets — season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates — last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.

🏠 Home vs Away Records

Excelsior at home · Groningen away — the split that matters for this fixture.

Excelsior (home)

Wins–Draws–Losses1W–0D–3L
W 1
L 3
Played4
Goals scored (avg)1.30
Goals conceded (avg)2.50
Clean sheets0
Failed to score0

Groningen (away)

Wins–Draws–Losses2W–1D–1L
W 2
D 1
L 1
Played4
Goals scored (avg)2.80
Goals conceded (avg)2.00
Clean sheets0
Failed to score0
Excelsior (home)Groningen (away)
W 1
L 3
W 2
D 1
L 1
Played
4
4
Goals scored (avg)
1.30
2.80
Goals conceded (avg)
2.50
2.00
Clean sheets
0
0
Failed to score
0
0

Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.

⚔️ Head-to-Head

Excelsior 3 wins · 0 draws · Groningen 6 wins · avg 2.9 goals · BTTS in 2 of 9

3
6
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
02 May 2026 Groningen 2–3 Excelsior Eredivisie
05 Dec 2025 Excelsior 0–2 Groningen Eredivisie
16 Jan 2024 Excelsior 0–2 Groningen KNVB Beker
25 Feb 2023 Groningen 3–0 Excelsior Eredivisie
08 Jan 2023 Excelsior 1–0 Groningen Eredivisie
06 Apr 2019 Groningen 1–0 Excelsior Eredivisie
02 Nov 2018 Excelsior 2–4 Groningen Eredivisie
29 Apr 2018 Groningen 4–0 Excelsior Eredivisie
17 Dec 2017 Excelsior 2–0 Groningen Eredivisie

📈 Recent Form

Excelsior

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
11/10 Groningen Home 1–5 L
19/09 Ajax Away 2–2 D
13/09 Utrecht Home 1–2 L
08/09 NEC Nijmegen Away 2–2 D
05/09 Willem II Away 3–0 W

Groningen

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
11/10 Excelsior Away 5–1 W
18/09 PEC Zwolle Home 3–0 W
12/09 GO Ahead Eagles Away 1–1 D
06/09 Twente Home 2–2 D
28/08 Fortuna Sittard Home 2–3 L

📊 Season Comparison — Eredivisie

Excelsior #9 · 11 pts —  Groningen #6 · 14 pts

Excelsior

Wins–Draws–Losses3W–2D–3L
W 3
D 2
L 3
Played8
Goals scored (avg)2.00
Goals conceded (avg)1.80
Clean sheets2
Failed to score0
Yellow cards11
Red cards0
xG for (avg)1.14
xG against (avg)1.60
Corners for (avg)3.60
Penalties (scored/missed)1/0

Groningen

Wins–Draws–Losses4W–2D–2L
W 4
D 2
L 2
Played8
Goals scored (avg)2.50
Goals conceded (avg)1.80
Clean sheets1
Failed to score0
Yellow cards8
Red cards0
xG for (avg)1.11
xG against (avg)1.77
Corners for (avg)4.60
Penalties (scored/missed)1/0
ExcelsiorGroningen
W 3
D 2
L 3
W 4
D 2
L 2
Played
8
8
Goals scored (avg)
2.00
2.50
Goals conceded (avg)
1.80
1.80
Clean sheets
2
1
Failed to score
0
0
Yellow cards
11
8
Red cards
0
0
xG for (avg)
1.14
1.11
xG against (avg)
1.60
1.77
Corners for (avg)
3.60
4.60
Penalties (scored/missed)
1/0
1/0

⏱️ Goal Timing (season)

Excelsior

3
0-15
1
16-30
2
2
31-45
7
2
46-60
1
3
61-75
3
3
76-90
3
scored conceded

Groningen

2
0-15
5
1
16-30
5
5
31-45
3
3
46-60
1
1
61-75
3
3
76-90
2
scored conceded

Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.

🏥 Injuries & Suspensions

Excelsior

  • ❌ K. Bos — Shoulder Injury
  • ❌ N. Naujoks — Inactive

Groningen

  • ❌ M. Jeng — Leg Injury
  • ❌ S. Resink — Knee Injury
  • ❌ O. Zawada — Knock
  • ❌ T. Mercera — Injury
  • ❌ R. Metu — Injury
  • ❌ M. Rente — Injury
  • ❌ N. Brandis — Injury
  • ❌ T. Hernes — Injury
  • ❌ E. van der Laan — Injury
  • ❌ W. Prins — Inactive

More: Eredivisie predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws