Ajax vs Excelsior
Ajax
No upcoming fixture scheduled — showing the last meeting result and the pre-match predictions.
🎯 PredictLix Predictions — pre-match vs actual
| Market | Tip | Confidence | Probability | Odds | Bookmaker | Market implied | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result (1X2) | Home | 89% | 68.9% | @1.23 | — | 81.1% | -12.2 pp | ❌ |
| Double Chance | 12 | 75% | 77.6% | @1.10 | — | 88.4% | -10.8 pp | ❌ |
| BTTS | Yes | 90% | 66.1% | @1.63 | — | 56.8% | +9.3 pp | ✅ |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 92% | 69.4% | @1.25 | — | 72.4% | -3 pp | ✅ |
| Correct Score | 2-1 | 62% | 6.8% | @8.50 | — | 5.1% | +1.7 pp | ❌ |
| Corners O/U 9.5 (~? exp.) | Under 9.5 | 67% | 57.8% | @2.39 | — | 37.6% | +20.2 pp | ✅ |
⚽ Model expected goals: Ajax 2.28 – 1.58 Excelsior · expected total 3.86
Predictions made before kick-off, shown against the actual result. Odds are the best price across every bookmaker in our feed — the Bookmaker column says who offers it. Market implied = the bookmaker's probability with margin removed (proportional de-vig across all outcomes — critical on Correct Score, where the book margin is huge; for Double Chance it is derived from the de-vigged 1X2 market instead). Positive edge = the model rates this outcome higher than the market.
📈 Team Trends
Ajax
Excelsior
Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.
🏅 League Benchmarks — Eredivisie
Ajax
Excelsior
Rank among 18 Eredivisie teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets — season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates — last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.
🏠 Home vs Away Records
Ajax at home · Excelsior away — the split that matters for this fixture.
Ajax (home)
Excelsior (away)
Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.
⚔️ Head-to-Head
Ajax 5 wins · 4 draws · Excelsior 1 win · avg 5.1 goals · BTTS in 10 of 10
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep 2026 | Ajax | 2–2 | Excelsior | Eredivisie |
| 01 Feb 2026 | Excelsior | 2–2 | Ajax | Eredivisie |
| 22 Nov 2025 | Ajax | 1–2 | Excelsior | Eredivisie |
| 24 Apr 2024 | Ajax | 2–2 | Excelsior | Eredivisie |
| 19 Aug 2023 | Excelsior | 2–2 | Ajax | Eredivisie |
| 29 Jan 2023 | Excelsior | 1–4 | Ajax | Eredivisie |
| 16 Oct 2022 | Ajax | 7–1 | Excelsior | Eredivisie |
| 13 Apr 2019 | Ajax | 6–2 | Excelsior | Eredivisie |
| 11 Nov 2018 | Excelsior | 1–7 | Ajax | Eredivisie |
| 06 May 2018 | Excelsior | 1–2 | Ajax | Eredivisie |
📈 Recent Form
Ajax
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/10 | NEC Nijmegen | Home | 1–1 | D |
| 19/09 | Excelsior | Home | 2–2 | D |
| 15/09 | Willem II | Home | 5–1 | W |
| 12/09 | Fortuna Sittard | Away | 5–1 | W |
| 05/09 | PSV Eindhoven | Home | 1–3 | L |
Excelsior
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/10 | Groningen | Home | 1–5 | L |
| 19/09 | Ajax | Away | 2–2 | D |
| 13/09 | Utrecht | Home | 1–2 | L |
| 08/09 | NEC Nijmegen | Away | 2–2 | D |
| 05/09 | Willem II | Away | 3–0 | W |
📊 Season Comparison — Eredivisie
Ajax #5 · 15 pts — Excelsior #9 · 11 pts
Ajax
Excelsior
⏱️ Goal Timing (season)
Ajax
Excelsior
Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.
🏥 Injuries & Suspensions
Ajax
- ❌ R. Bounida — Injury
- ❌ J. Faberski — Knee Injury
- ❌ A. Kaplan — Knee Injury
- ❌ J. Sutalo — Injury
- ❌ A. van Axel Dongen — Thigh Injury
- ❌ D. Blind — Injury
- ❌ M. Carrizo — Inactive
- ❌ Y. Regeer — Injury
- ❌ P. Reverson — Injury
- ❌ S. Adingra — Foot Injury
- ❌ A. Bouwman — Knock
- ❌ S. Berghuis — Inactive
- ❌ Caio Henrique — Injury
- ❌ K. Dolberg — Knee Injury
- ❌ A. Gaaei — Inactive
Excelsior
- ❌ K. Bos — Shoulder Injury
- ❌ N. Naujoks — Inactive
More: Eredivisie predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws