Predictions → Netherlands Eredivisie

Heerenveen vs AZ Alkmaar

Heerenveen
2:3
Full Time · 06 Sep 2026
AZ Alkmaar

No upcoming fixture scheduled — showing the last meeting result and the pre-match predictions.

🎯 PredictLix Predictions — pre-match vs actual

MarketTipConfidenceProbabilityOddsBookmakerMarket impliedEdgeResult
Match Result (1X2) Away 80% 47.7% @1.79 — 56% -8.3 pp ✅
Double Chance 12 75% 77.1% @1.23 — 78.9% -1.8 pp ❌
BTTS Yes 88% 63% @1.40 — 66.1% -3.1 pp ✅
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 88% 62.6% @1.43 — 67.4% -4.8 pp ✅
Correct Score 1-1 67% 9.7% @8.50 — 5% +4.7 pp ❌
Corners O/U 9.5 (~? exp.) Over 9.5 74% 60.5% @1.59 — 58.7% +1.8 pp ❌

Predictions made before kick-off, shown against the actual result. Odds are the best price across every bookmaker in our feed — the Bookmaker column says who offers it. Market implied = the bookmaker's probability with margin removed (proportional de-vig across all outcomes — critical on Correct Score, where the book margin is huge; for Double Chance it is derived from the de-vigged 1X2 market instead). Positive edge = the model rates this outcome higher than the market.

📈 Team Trends

Heerenveen

BTTS
2/6
Over 2.5
3/6
Scored
3/6
Clean sheets
2/6

AZ Alkmaar

BTTS
3/6
Over 2.5
2/6
Scored
4/6
Clean sheets
1/6

Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.

🏅 League Benchmarks — Eredivisie

Heerenveen

2nd best clean sheets (3)

AZ Alkmaar

2nd best defence (1.00 conceded/game) Worst Over 2.5 rate (33%) 2nd best clean sheets (3)

Rank among 18 Eredivisie teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets — season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates — last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.

🏠 Home vs Away Records

Heerenveen at home · AZ Alkmaar away — the split that matters for this fixture.

Heerenveen (home)

Wins–Draws–Losses1W–1D–2L
W 1
D 1
L 2
Played4
Goals scored (avg)0.80
Goals conceded (avg)1.30
Clean sheets2
Failed to score2

AZ Alkmaar (away)

Wins–Draws–Losses3W–0D–1L
W 3
L 1
Played4
Goals scored (avg)2.30
Goals conceded (avg)1.30
Clean sheets1
Failed to score1
Heerenveen (home)AZ Alkmaar (away)
W 1
D 1
L 2
W 3
L 1
Played
4
4
Goals scored (avg)
0.80
2.30
Goals conceded (avg)
1.30
1.30
Clean sheets
2
1
Failed to score
2
1

Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.

📈 Recent Form

Heerenveen

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
09/10 PSV Eindhoven Away 0–2 L
19/09 Sparta Rotterdam Away 4–0 W
13/09 Telstar Home 0–0 D
06/09 AZ Alkmaar Home 2–3 L
30/08 Willem II Away 2–2 D

AZ Alkmaar

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
10/10 Feyenoord Away 0–2 L
20/09 Telstar Home 1–0 W
16/09 Sunderland Away 0–1 L
11/09 Willem II Home 1–1 D
06/09 Heerenveen Away 3–2 W

📊 Season Comparison — Eredivisie

Heerenveen #10 · 9 pts —  AZ Alkmaar #3 · 19 pts

Heerenveen

Wins–Draws–Losses2W–3D–3L
W 2
D 3
L 3
Played8
Goals scored (avg)1.40
Goals conceded (avg)1.40
Clean sheets3
Failed to score3
Yellow cards9
Red cards0
xG for (avg)1.49
xG against (avg)1.01
Corners for (avg)6.10
Penalties (scored/missed)0/0

AZ Alkmaar

Wins–Draws–Losses6W–1D–1L
W 6
D 1
L 1
Played8
Goals scored (avg)2.30
Goals conceded (avg)1.00
Clean sheets3
Failed to score1
Yellow cards9
Red cards0
xG for (avg)1.97
xG against (avg)1.32
Corners for (avg)6.20
Penalties (scored/missed)0/0
HeerenveenAZ Alkmaar
W 2
D 3
L 3
W 6
D 1
L 1
Played
8
8
Goals scored (avg)
1.40
2.30
Goals conceded (avg)
1.40
1.00
Clean sheets
3
3
Failed to score
3
1
Yellow cards
9
9
Red cards
0
0
xG for (avg)
1.49
1.97
xG against (avg)
1.01
1.32
Corners for (avg)
6.10
6.20
Penalties (scored/missed)
0/0
0/0

⏱️ Goal Timing (season)

Heerenveen

1
0-15
1
1
16-30
3
1
31-45
2
1
46-60
2
3
61-75
3
2
76-90
2
scored conceded

AZ Alkmaar

1
0-15
2
3
16-30
1
31-45
4
1
46-60
4
1
61-75
4
2
76-90
4
scored conceded

Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.

🏥 Injuries & Suspensions

Heerenveen

  • ❌ O. Braude — Injury
  • ❌ M. Egbring — Injury
  • ❌ M. Linday — Inactive
  • ❌ M. Hilgers — Knee Injury
  • ❌ D. Proper — Hamstring Injury

AZ Alkmaar

  • ❌ J. Clasie — Injury
  • ❌ J. Hornkamp — Ankle Injury
  • ❌ D. Kasius — Groin Injury
  • ❌ A. Natali — Inactive
  • ❌ R. Robbemond — Inactive
  • ❌ M. Sin — Injury
  • ❌ T. Parrott — Inactive
  • ❌ S. Resink — Knee Injury
  • ❌ K. Smit — Groin Injury

More: Eredivisie predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws