ADO Den Haag vs Sparta Rotterdam
This page follows the latest fixture between these teams. Previous predictions stay on the record below.
Next match: Sat, 07 Nov 2026 • 20:45 UTC+3 • Round 12 • WerkTalent Stadion • ⛅ 4.9°C, 5 km/h partly cloudy
No Best Bet: no eligible value candidate at current conditions.
🎯 PredictLix Predictions
Predictions updated: 02 Nov 2026 07:08 UTC+3
| Market | Tip | Odds | Probability | Model EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result (1X2) | Draw 3.8 → 3.7 ▼3% | BetVictor3.70 | 26.2% | -3.1% |
| Double Chance | 1X | 1xBet1.48 | 63.9% | -5.4% |
| BTTS | Yes | William Hill1.50 | 60% · No 40% | -10% |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 1xBet2.42 | 41.1% · Over 58.9% | -0.5% |
| Correct Score | 1-1 | Betano7.60 | 12.7% | -3.5% |
| Corners O/U 9.5 (~10.5 exp.) | Over 9.5 | Betano1.60 | 57.2% · Under 42.8% | -8.5% |
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🧠 Match Preview
ADO Den Haag · Home
ADO Den Haag have won just once in their last five (1 win, 2 draws, 2 losses), scoring 7 and conceding 8, and they failed to score in the most recent outing against PEC Zwolle (0-1). Their recent xG for of 1.12 sits below the model expected goals of 1.4 for this fixture.
Sparta Rotterdam · Away
Sparta Rotterdam have scored 10 in their last five but conceded 13, including a 0-4 home loss to Heerenveen (0-4) and a 3-3 draw at GO Ahead Eagles (3-3). Their recent xG for of 1.76 is the higher of the two sides.
H2H favours Sparta, draw plausible
The latest head-to-head is a 0-2 ADO Den Haag home defeat to Sparta Rotterdam (0-2), and the previous meeting at the same venue also finished 0-2 (0-2). Yet the only other listed H2H, in Rotterdam, ended 1-1 (1-1), showing these sides can cancel out. Both teams have scored in four of their combined recent matches, and neither kept a clean sheet across those five-game runs, which supports a draw with goals. The evidence supports Draw.
Published 01 Nov 2026 22:47 UTC+3. This preview is preserved from the previous data snapshot. Analysis and numbers reflect that publication; current model predictions are shown in the table above.
⚽ Current model expected goals: ADO Den Haag 1.41 – 1.51 Sparta Rotterdam · expected total 2.92
🔑 What Drives the Prediction
ADO Den Haag
Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors, each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict — including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.
📈 Team Trends
ADO Den Haag
Sparta Rotterdam
Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.
🏅 League Benchmarks: Eredivisie
ADO Den Haag
No top-3 or bottom-2 marks in the league right now.
Sparta Rotterdam
Rank among 18 Eredivisie teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets are season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates cover the last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.
🏠 Home vs Away Records
ADO Den Haag at home · Sparta Rotterdam away, the split that matters for this fixture.
ADO Den Haag (home)
Sparta Rotterdam (away)
Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.
🎯 Most Likely Scores for the Selected 1X2 Outcome
Over/Under and BTTS tips are aligned with the leading scoreline. Alternative scores below may belong to other goal-total or BTTS outcomes. Percentages are estimated probabilities of the exact scores, not probabilities conditional on any scenario.
⚔️ Head-to-Head
ADO Den Haag 1 win · 3 draws · Sparta Rotterdam 5 wins · avg 2.7 goals · BTTS in 4 of 9
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jul 2025 | ADO Den Haag | 0–2 | Sparta Rotterdam | Friendlies Clubs |
| 19 Mar 2025 | ADO Den Haag | 0–2 | Sparta Rotterdam | Friendlies Clubs |
| 13 Jul 2024 | Sparta Rotterdam | 1–1 | ADO Den Haag | Friendlies Clubs |
| 20 Dec 2023 | ADO Den Haag | 2–0 | Sparta Rotterdam | KNVB Beker |
| 01 Aug 2023 | ADO Den Haag | 1–2 | Sparta Rotterdam | Friendlies Clubs |
| 04 Dec 2022 | ADO Den Haag | 0–3 | Sparta Rotterdam | Friendlies Clubs |
| 31 Jan 2021 | ADO Den Haag | 1–1 | Sparta Rotterdam | Eredivisie |
| 22 Nov 2020 | Sparta Rotterdam | 6–0 | ADO Den Haag | Eredivisie |
| 04 Sep 2020 | Sparta Rotterdam | 1–1 | ADO Den Haag | Friendlies Clubs |
📈 Recent Form
ADO Den Haag
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11 | PEC Zwolle | Away | 0–1 | L |
| 24/10 | Heerenveen | Home | 2–3 | L |
| 17/10 | PSV Eindhoven | Home | 2–1 | W |
| 11/10 | Telstar | Away | 2–2 | D |
| 19/09 | Cambuur | Home | 1–1 | D |
| 12/09 | Twente | Away | 0–2 | L |
| 06/09 | Fortuna Sittard | Home | 2–3 | L |
| 30/08 | Feyenoord | Away | 2–2 | D |
| 23/08 | GO Ahead Eagles | Away | 1–3 | L |
| 16/08 | Groningen | Home | 1–4 | L |
Sparta Rotterdam
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11 | Groningen | Away | 3–2 | W |
| 25/10 | Ajax | Home | 1–2 | L |
| 17/10 | Willem II | Home | 3–2 | W |
| 10/10 | GO Ahead Eagles | Away | 3–3 | D |
| 19/09 | Heerenveen | Home | 0–4 | L |
| 13/09 | PSV Eindhoven | Away | 1–4 | L |
| 04/09 | PEC Zwolle | Home | 2–2 | D |
| 29/08 | Excelsior | Away | 1–2 | L |
| 22/08 | Utrecht | Home | 3–3 | D |
| 14/08 | Telstar | Away | 3–1 | W |
📊 Season Comparison: Eredivisie
ADO Den Haag #17 · 6 pts · Sparta Rotterdam #11 · 12 pts
ADO Den Haag
Sparta Rotterdam
⏱️ Goal Timing (season)
ADO Den Haag
Sparta Rotterdam
Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.
🏥 Injuries & Suspensions
ADO Den Haag
- ❌ D. Barany: Knee Injury
- ❌ C. Peupion: Knee Injury
- ❌ J. Hawkins: Hamstring Injury
- ❌ M. Jimenez: Injury
- ❌ L. Reischl: Groin Injury
- ❌ M. Hokke: Suspended (Red Card)
Squad/transfer status (not counted as absences): A. Pozo (Lacking Match Fitness).
Sparta Rotterdam
- ❌ J. Baas: Suspended (Yellow Cards)
- ❌ R. van Cruijsen: Injury
- ❌ S. Mito: Injury
Squad/transfer status (not counted as absences): A. Kostic (Lacking Match Fitness).
⚠️ Status unconfirmed (listed inactive): M. van Bergen; not counted as confirmed absences.
More: Eredivisie predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws