AZ Alkmaar vs Juventus
This page follows the latest fixture between these teams. Previous predictions stay on the record below.
Next match: Thu, 05 Nov 2026 • 23:00 UTC+3 • League Stage - 4 • AFAS Stadion • ☀️ 5.6°C, 14 km/h clear
No Best Bet: no eligible value candidate at current conditions.
🎯 PredictLix Predictions
Predictions updated: 02 Nov 2026 07:08 UTC+3
| Market | Tip | Odds | Probability | Model EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result (1X2) | Away 2.08 → 1.99 ▼4% | Dafabet1.99 | 44.6% | -11.2% |
| Double Chance | 12 | Bet3651.30 | 74.2% | -3.5% |
| BTTS | Yes | William Hill1.73 | 54.9% · No 45.1% | -5% |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | Betano1.83 | 52.2% · Under 47.8% | -4.5% |
| Correct Score | 1-2 | Betano8.75 | 7.3% | -36.1% |
| Corners O/U 9.5 (~9.8 exp.) | Over 9.5 | Betano1.90 | 52.3% · Under 47.7% | -0.6% |
Bookmaker links on this page: #ad · Play Safe · T&Cs apply · 18+
🧠 Match Preview
Model view
Model 1X2 split: AZ Alkmaar 29.6% · Draw 25.8% · Juventus 44.6%. Selected outcome: Juventus win.
Goals
Model expected goals: AZ Alkmaar 1.47, Juventus 1.20, expected total 2.66.
Price check
The model favours Juventus win, but the displayed price does not offer positive model EV.
Form / H2H
AZ Alkmaar: L-L-W-D-W in their last five matches.
Juventus: L-W-D-L-W in their last five matches.
Historical form, not a probability for the next match.
Limitations
Lineups, injuries and late team news can change the outlook. Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees.
🔑 What Drives the Prediction
AZ Alkmaar
Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors, each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict — including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.
📈 Team Trends
AZ Alkmaar
Juventus
Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.
🏅 League Benchmarks: UEFA Europa League
AZ Alkmaar
No top-3 or bottom-2 marks in the league right now.
Juventus
Rank among 36 UEFA Europa League teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets are season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates cover the last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.
🏠 Home vs Away Records
AZ Alkmaar at home · Juventus away, the split that matters for this fixture.
AZ Alkmaar (home)
Juventus (away)
Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.
🎯 Most Likely Scores for the Selected 1X2 Outcome
Over/Under and BTTS tips are aligned with the leading scoreline. Alternative scores below may belong to other goal-total or BTTS outcomes. Percentages are estimated probabilities of the exact scores, not probabilities conditional on any scenario.
📈 Recent Form
AZ Alkmaar
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | Ajax | Away | 0–1 | L |
| 25/10 | Twente | Home | 0–2 | L |
| 22/10 | Ararat-Armenia | Away | 4–0 | W |
| 18/10 | Cambuur | Away | 2–2 | D |
| 15/10 | Hapoel Beer Sheva | Home | 2–1 | W |
| 10/10 | Feyenoord | Away | 0–2 | L |
| 20/09 | Telstar | Home | 1–0 | W |
| 16/09 | Sunderland | Away | 0–1 | L |
| 11/09 | Willem II | Home | 1–1 | D |
| 06/09 | Heerenveen | Away | 3–2 | W |
Juventus
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11 | Napoli | Home | 2–0 | W |
| 28/10 | Genoa | Away | 0–2 | L |
| 25/10 | Lecce | Away | 2–0 | W |
| 22/10 | Rennes | Home | 2–2 | D |
| 18/10 | Lazio | Home | 0–3 | L |
| 15/10 | Celta Vigo | Away | 2–1 | W |
| 11/10 | Cagliari | Away | 1–1 | D |
| 02/10 | Cremonese | Home | 0–1 | L |
| 20/09 | Atalanta | Home | 2–0 | W |
| 17/09 | NEC Nijmegen | Home | 5–0 | W |
📊 Season Comparison: UEFA Europa League
AZ Alkmaar #10 · 6 pts · Juventus #7 · 7 pts
AZ Alkmaar
Juventus
⏱️ Goal Timing (season)
AZ Alkmaar
Juventus
Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.
🏥 Injuries & Suspensions
AZ Alkmaar
- ❌ D. Kasius: Groin Injury
- ❌ S. Resink: Knee Injury
- ❌ J. Zoet: Off the roster
- ❌ J. Hornkamp: Injury
- ❌ K. Smit: Injury
- ❌ H. Verhulst: Off the roster
- ❌ J. Clasie: Knock
Juventus
- ❌ J. Boga: Muscle Injury
- ❌ J. Cabal: Thigh Injury
- ❌ A. Cambiaso: Ankle Injury
- ❌ A. Durmisi: Suspended (Red Card)
- ❌ J. Ekhator: Muscle Injury
- ❌ L. Kelly: Suspended (Red Card)
- ❌ M. Locatelli: Knee Injury
- ❌ D. Rugani: Off the roster
- ❌ K. Thuram: Knee Injury
- ❌ K. Yildiz: Foot Injury
- ❌ E. Zhegrova: Off the roster
- ❌ K. Grabara: Knee Injury
- ❌ F. Conceicao: Shoulder Injury
⚠️ Status unconfirmed (listed inactive): A. Milik; not counted as confirmed absences.
More: UEFA Europa League predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws