Heerenveen vs Feyenoord
This page follows the latest fixture between these teams. Previous predictions stay on the record below.
Next match: Sun, 08 Nov 2026 • 14:15 UTC+3 • Round 12 • Abe Lenstra Stadion • ☁️ 7.1°C, 14 km/h overcast
Snapshotted at publish: Under 9.5 at 2.25 (51.2%, Model EV +15.2%). Prices move constantly, confirm at the bookmaker.
Best Bet selection: highest current Model EV among eligible candidates from 1X2, Double Chance, BTTS, Over/Under 2.5, Corners O/U 9.5 and Correct Score.
🎯 PredictLix Predictions
Predictions updated: 02 Nov 2026 10:09 UTC+3
| Market | Tip | Odds | Probability | Model EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result (1X2) | Away | Betano1.72 | 51.2% | -11.9% |
| Double Chance | 12 | 1xBet1.23 | 78.9% | -3% |
| BTTS | Yes | Bet3651.44 | 76.9% · No 23.1% | +10.7% |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | Bet3651.40 | 71.2% · Under 28.8% | -0.3% |
| Correct Score | 1-2 | Betano9.25 | 6.7% | -38% |
| Corners O/U 9.5 (~9.3 exp.) | Under 9.5 | Betano2.25 | 51.2% · Over 48.8% | +15.2% |
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🧠 Match Preview
Heerenveen · Home
Heerenveen have won four of their last five, scoring 10 goals and keeping three clean sheets, though the one loss was a 0-2 defeat away to PSV Eindhoven. Their most recent home result was a 1-0 win over NEC Nijmegen.
Feyenoord · Away
Feyenoord are unbeaten in three of their last five but drew 1-1 at home to Fortuna Sittard and 1-1 away to PSV Eindhoven, and they have not kept a clean sheet in that run. They did win 4-3 away at Telstar.
Feyenoord edge a high-scoring H2H
The latest head-to-head, on 11 January 2026, finished 2-2 in Heerenveen, and Feyenoord had earlier won 1-0 at home on 13 September 2025. Heerenveen's 3-2 win in the 17 December 2025 meeting shows this fixture produces goals, and the model's 1-2 correct score fits that pattern. Feyenoord's recent run includes a 4-3 win at Telstar and a 3-2 win over Como, while Heerenveen's 4-0 home win over Excelsior shows they can score heavily too. The evidence supports Feyenoord win.
Published 02 Nov 2026 04:49 UTC+3. This preview is preserved from the previous data snapshot. Analysis and numbers reflect that publication; current model predictions are shown in the table above.
⚽ Current model expected goals: Heerenveen 2.20 – 1.95 Feyenoord · expected total 4.15
🔑 What Drives the Prediction
Heerenveen
Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors, each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict — including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.
📈 Team Trends
Heerenveen
Feyenoord
Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.
🏅 League Benchmarks: Eredivisie
Heerenveen
Feyenoord
Rank among 18 Eredivisie teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets are season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates cover the last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.
🏠 Home vs Away Records
Heerenveen at home · Feyenoord away, the split that matters for this fixture.
Heerenveen (home)
Feyenoord (away)
Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.
🎯 Most Likely Scores for the Selected 1X2 Outcome
Over/Under and BTTS tips are aligned with the leading scoreline. Alternative scores below may belong to other goal-total or BTTS outcomes. Percentages are estimated probabilities of the exact scores, not probabilities conditional on any scenario.
⚔️ Head-to-Head
Feyenoord 6 wins · 2 draws · Heerenveen 2 wins · avg 3.1 goals · BTTS in 5 of 10
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan 2026 | Heerenveen | 2–2 | Feyenoord | Eredivisie |
| 17 Dec 2025 | Feyenoord | 2–3 | Heerenveen | KNVB Beker |
| 13 Sep 2025 | Feyenoord | 1–0 | Heerenveen | Eredivisie |
| 18 May 2025 | Heerenveen | 2–0 | Feyenoord | Eredivisie |
| 23 Nov 2024 | Feyenoord | 3–0 | Heerenveen | Eredivisie |
| 17 Mar 2024 | Heerenveen | 2–3 | Feyenoord | Eredivisie |
| 16 Sep 2023 | Feyenoord | 6–1 | Heerenveen | Eredivisie |
| 01 Mar 2023 | Heerenveen | 0–1 | Feyenoord | KNVB Beker |
| 12 Feb 2023 | Heerenveen | 1–2 | Feyenoord | Eredivisie |
| 13 Aug 2022 | Feyenoord | 0–0 | Heerenveen | Eredivisie |
📈 Recent Form
Heerenveen
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | NEC Nijmegen | Home | 1–0 | W |
| 28/10 | Excelsior Maassluis | Away | 2–0 | W |
| 24/10 | ADO Den Haag | Away | 3–2 | W |
| 16/10 | Excelsior | Home | 4–0 | W |
| 09/10 | PSV Eindhoven | Away | 0–2 | L |
| 19/09 | Sparta Rotterdam | Away | 4–0 | W |
| 13/09 | Telstar | Home | 0–0 | D |
| 06/09 | AZ Alkmaar | Home | 2–3 | L |
| 30/08 | Willem II | Away | 2–2 | D |
| 22/08 | PEC Zwolle | Home | 0–2 | L |
Feyenoord
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | Fortuna Sittard | Home | 1–1 | D |
| 25/10 | PSV Eindhoven | Away | 1–1 | D |
| 21/10 | Real Betis | Away | 0–1 | L |
| 17/10 | Telstar | Away | 4–3 | W |
| 14/10 | Como | Home | 3–2 | W |
| 10/10 | AZ Alkmaar | Home | 2–0 | W |
| 20/09 | Utrecht | Home | 5–0 | W |
| 13/09 | PEC Zwolle | Away | 7–0 | W |
| 09/09 | Barcelona | Away | 1–5 | L |
| 05/09 | NEC Nijmegen | Away | 3–1 | W |
📊 Season Comparison: Eredivisie
Heerenveen #7 · 18 pts · Feyenoord #1 · 25 pts
Heerenveen
Feyenoord
⏱️ Goal Timing (season)
Heerenveen
Feyenoord
Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.
🏥 Injuries & Suspensions
Heerenveen
- ❌ O. Braude: Injury
- ❌ M. Egbring: Injury
- ❌ M. Hilgers: Knee Injury
- ❌ D. Proper: Hamstring Injury
⚠️ Status unconfirmed (listed inactive): M. Linday, L. Smans; not counted as confirmed absences.
Feyenoord
- ❌ T. Beelen: Broken Leg
- ❌ J. Bos: Knee Injury
- ❌ J. Moder: Knee Injury
- ❌ B. Nieuwkoop: Injury
- ❌ G. Smal: Ankle Injury
- ❌ T. Watanabe: Ribs Injury
- ❌ G. Borges: Knock
- ❌ S. van Persie: Knock
- ❌ J. St. Juste: Leg Injury
⚠️ Status unconfirmed (listed inactive): R. Nelson; not counted as confirmed absences.
More: Eredivisie predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws