Predictions β†’ Netherlands Eredivisie

Telstar vs Feyenoord

Next match: Sat, 17 Oct 2026 β€’ 18:00 UTC+3 β€’ Round 9 β€’ BUKO Stadion β€’ 🌀 10.8Β°C, 15 km/h mostly clear

🎯 PredictLix Predictions

MarketTipConfidenceProbabilityOddsBookmakerMarket impliedEdge
Match Result (1X2) Away 92% 77.4% 1.35 Betano 75% +2.4 pp
Double Chance X2 77% 79.6% 1.11 Betano 90% -10.4 pp
BTTS Yes 82% 50.9% 1.57 Bet365 60.5% -9.6 pp
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 84% 54.8% 1.33 Bet365 72.3% -17.5 pp
Correct Score 0-2 64% 8.1% 10.50 Betano 5% +3.1 pp
Corners O/U 9.5 (~8.8 exp.) Under 9.5 62% 53.7% 2.30 Betano 40.6% +13.1 pp

⚽ Model expected goals: Telstar 0.98 – 1.96 Feyenoord Β· expected total 2.94

Probabilities are calibrated against this season's real results. Odds are correct at publish time. Odds are the best price across every bookmaker in our feed β€” the Bookmaker column says who offers it. Market implied = the bookmaker's probability with margin removed (proportional de-vig across all outcomes β€” critical on Correct Score, where the book margin is huge; for Double Chance it is derived from the de-vigged 1X2 market instead). Positive edge = the model rates this outcome higher than the market. Odds chips show the line movement since our tip β€” a big drop means the value window is closing.

🧠 Match Preview

Telstar host league leaders Feyenoord at the BUKO Stadion on Saturday, and the table tells the story before a ball is kicked. The home side sit 15th with 6 points from 8 games, while the visitors top the Eredivisie on 20 points from the same number of matches. Telstar's last five reads L-D-L-D-L; Feyenoord arrive on W-W-W-L-W.

The model leans heavily on the attacking gap. Telstar's recent expected goals sit at just 0.81, against 2.83 for Feyenoord, and the season-long figures point the same way: 0.9828 for the hosts versus 1.9621 for the away side. Feyenoord's squad is stretched, with T. Beelen, J. Bos, J. Moder, B. Nieuwkoop, G. Smal, T. Watanabe, R. Nelson, G. Borges and S. van Persie all listed out, while Telstar report no absences. The head-to-head record offers little comfort either: Feyenoord won the last two meetings 2-1 and 1-2.

The headline tip is an away win at 77.4 percent, priced at 1.35, with the double chance X2 at 79.6 percent. Over 2.5 goals carries 54.8 percent and odds of 1.33, while both teams to score sits at 50.9 percent and 1.57. The most likely correct score is 0-2 at 8.1 percent, part of a top-score cluster that also includes 1-2, 0-1, 0-3 and 1-3. Corners are tipped under 9.5 at 53.7 percent, with an expected 8.8.

The honest caveat: Feyenoord's lengthy injury list and a 1.35 price leave little margin for error, so the value, if any, hides in the goals and correct-score markets rather than the outright result.

Updated 12 Oct 2026, 04:08 UTC+3 β€” refreshed when the underlying data changes.

πŸ”‘ What Drives the Prediction

Telstar

Form (last 5)
LAZ Alkmaar (A) 0–1 Β· 20/09/2026DHeerenveen (A) 0–0 Β· 13/09/2026LTwente (A) 0–1 Β· 09/09/2026DCambuur (H) 2–2 Β· 06/09/2026LAjax (H) 0–4 Β· 30/08/2026
Goals scored (season avg)0.70
Goals conceded (season avg)1.70
Win streak (best this season)1
xG for (recent avg)0.66
xG against (recent avg)1.47
Elo strength rating1361
Players outβ€”

Feyenoord

Form (last 5)
WAZ Alkmaar (H) 2–0 Β· 10/10/2026WUtrecht (H) 5–0 Β· 20/09/2026WPEC Zwolle (A) 7–0 Β· 13/09/2026LBarcelona (A) 1–5 Β· 09/09/2026WNEC Nijmegen (A) 3–1 Β· 05/09/2026
Goals scored (season avg)3.40
Goals conceded (season avg)0.90
Win streak (best this season)1
xG for (recent avg)2.29
xG against (recent avg)0.36
Elo strength rating1740
Players out9
TelstarFeyenoord
Goals scored (season avg)
0.70
3.40
Goals conceded (season avg)
1.70
0.90
Win streak (best this season)
1
1
xG for (recent avg)
0.66
2.29
xG against (recent avg)
1.47
0.36
Elo strength rating
1361
1740
Players out
β€”
9

Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors β€” each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict β€” including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.

πŸ“ˆ Team Trends

Telstar

Winless 6
BTTS
2/6
Over 2.5
3/6
Scored
2/6
Clean sheets
1/6

Feyenoord

Won 3 in a row Unbeaten 3
BTTS
3/6
Over 2.5
5/6
Scored
6/6
Clean sheets
3/6

Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.

πŸ… League Benchmarks β€” Eredivisie

Telstar

Worst attack (0.70 goals/game) 2nd worst BTTS rate (33%)

Feyenoord

Best attack (3.40 goals/game) Best defence (0.90 conceded/game) Best clean sheets (4)

Rank among 18 Eredivisie teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets β€” season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates β€” last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.

🏠 Home vs Away Records

Telstar at home Β· Feyenoord away β€” the split that matters for this fixture.

Telstar (home)

Wins–Draws–Losses0W–1D–2L
D 1
L 2
Played3
Goals scored (avg)1.00
Goals conceded (avg)3.00
Clean sheets0
Failed to score1

Feyenoord (away)

Wins–Draws–Losses4W–0D–0L
W 4
Played4
Goals scored (avg)4.00
Goals conceded (avg)0.80
Clean sheets2
Failed to score0
Telstar (home)Feyenoord (away)
D 1
L 2
W 4
Played
3
4
Goals scored (avg)
1.00
4.00
Goals conceded (avg)
3.00
0.80
Clean sheets
0
2
Failed to score
1
0

Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.

🎯 Most Likely Scorelines

0–2
8.1%
1–2
8%
0–1
7.4%
0–3
5.3%
1–3
5.2%

The five most probable exact scores for THIS fixture β€” computed from both teams' expected goals (score matrix), not generic league stats.

βš”οΈ Head-to-Head

Feyenoord 2 wins Β· 0 draws Β· Telstar 0 wins Β· avg 3 goals Β· BTTS in 2 of 2

2
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
22 Feb 2026 Feyenoord 2–1 Telstar Eredivisie
30 Nov 2025 Telstar 1–2 Feyenoord Eredivisie

πŸ“ˆ Recent Form

Telstar

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
20/09 AZ Alkmaar Away 0–1 L
13/09 Heerenveen Away 0–0 D
09/09 Twente Away 0–1 L
06/09 Cambuur Home 2–2 D
30/08 Ajax Home 0–4 L

Feyenoord

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
10/10 AZ Alkmaar Home 2–0 W
20/09 Utrecht Home 5–0 W
13/09 PEC Zwolle Away 7–0 W
09/09 Barcelona Away 1–5 L
05/09 NEC Nijmegen Away 3–1 W

πŸ“Š Season Comparison β€” Eredivisie

Telstar #15 Β· 6 pts β€”  Feyenoord #1 Β· 20 pts

Telstar

Wins–Draws–Losses1W–3D–4L
W 1
D 3
L 4
Played8
Goals scored (avg)0.70
Goals conceded (avg)1.70
Clean sheets1
Failed to score4
Yellow cards10
Red cards1
xG for (avg)0.66
xG against (avg)1.47
Corners for (avg)3.60
Penalties (scored/missed)2/0

Feyenoord

Wins–Draws–Losses6W–2D–0L
W 6
D 2
Played8
Goals scored (avg)3.40
Goals conceded (avg)0.90
Clean sheets4
Failed to score0
Yellow cards7
Red cards0
xG for (avg)2.29
xG against (avg)0.36
Corners for (avg)4.90
Penalties (scored/missed)2/0
TelstarFeyenoord
W 1
D 3
L 4
W 6
D 2
Played
8
8
Goals scored (avg)
0.70
3.40
Goals conceded (avg)
1.70
0.90
Clean sheets
1
4
Failed to score
4
0
Yellow cards
10
7
Red cards
1
0
xG for (avg)
0.66
2.29
xG against (avg)
1.47
0.36
Corners for (avg)
3.60
4.90
Penalties (scored/missed)
2/0
2/0

⏱️ Goal Timing (season)

Telstar

1
0-15
1
1
16-30
1
1
31-45
5
46-60
1
61-75
1
3
76-90
2
scored conceded

Feyenoord

1
0-15
3
16-30
4
1
31-45
6
2
46-60
4
2
61-75
7
2
76-90
2
scored conceded

Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.

πŸ₯ Injuries & Suspensions

Telstar

No reported absences.

Feyenoord

  • ❌ T. Beelen β€” Broken Leg
  • ❌ J. Bos β€” Knee Injury
  • ❌ J. Moder β€” Knee Injury
  • ❌ B. Nieuwkoop β€” Injury
  • ❌ G. Smal β€” Ankle Injury
  • ❌ T. Watanabe β€” Ribs Injury
  • ❌ R. Nelson β€” Inactive
  • ❌ G. Borges β€” Knock
  • ❌ S. van Persie β€” Inactive

More: Eredivisie predictions Β· BTTS Β· Over/Under Β· Correct Score Β· Draws