Predictions → Netherlands Eredivisie

AZ Alkmaar vs Telstar

AZ Alkmaar
1:0
Full Time · 20 Sep 2026
Telstar

No upcoming fixture scheduled — showing the last meeting result and the pre-match predictions.

🎯 PredictLix Predictions — pre-match vs actual

MarketTipConfidenceProbabilityOddsBookmakerMarket impliedEdgeResult
Match Result (1X2) Home 92% 75.3% @1.24 — 80.5% -5.2 pp ✅
Double Chance 1X 82% 87.1% @1.03 — 92.5% -5.4 pp ✅
BTTS No 80% 46.8% @2.18 — 42.5% +4.3 pp ✅
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 79% 45.5% @1.25 — 72.4% -26.9 pp ❌
Correct Score 2-0 68% 10.5% @9.00 — 4.7% +5.8 pp ❌
Corners O/U 9.5 (~? exp.) Over 9.5 73% 62.1% @1.39 — 64.7% -2.6 pp ❌

⚽ Model expected goals: AZ Alkmaar 1.97 – 0.74 Telstar · expected total 2.71

Predictions made before kick-off, shown against the actual result. Odds are the best price across every bookmaker in our feed — the Bookmaker column says who offers it. Market implied = the bookmaker's probability with margin removed (proportional de-vig across all outcomes — critical on Correct Score, where the book margin is huge; for Double Chance it is derived from the de-vigged 1X2 market instead). Positive edge = the model rates this outcome higher than the market.

📈 Team Trends

AZ Alkmaar

BTTS
3/6
Over 2.5
2/6
Scored
4/6
Clean sheets
1/6

Telstar

Winless 6
BTTS
2/6
Over 2.5
3/6
Scored
2/6
Clean sheets
1/6

Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.

🏅 League Benchmarks — Eredivisie

AZ Alkmaar

2nd best defence (1.00 conceded/game) Worst Over 2.5 rate (33%) 2nd best clean sheets (3)

Telstar

Worst attack (0.70 goals/game) 2nd worst BTTS rate (33%)

Rank among 18 Eredivisie teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets — season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates — last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.

🏠 Home vs Away Records

AZ Alkmaar at home · Telstar away — the split that matters for this fixture.

AZ Alkmaar (home)

Wins–Draws–Losses3W–1D–0L
W 3
D 1
Played4
Goals scored (avg)2.30
Goals conceded (avg)0.80
Clean sheets2
Failed to score0

Telstar (away)

Wins–Draws–Losses1W–1D–2L
W 1
D 1
L 2
Played4
Goals scored (avg)0.50
Goals conceded (avg)0.80
Clean sheets1
Failed to score3
AZ Alkmaar (home)Telstar (away)
W 3
D 1
W 1
D 1
L 2
Played
4
4
Goals scored (avg)
2.30
0.50
Goals conceded (avg)
0.80
0.80
Clean sheets
2
1
Failed to score
0
3

Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.

📈 Recent Form

AZ Alkmaar

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
10/10 Feyenoord Away 0–2 L
20/09 Telstar Home 1–0 W
16/09 Sunderland Away 0–1 L
11/09 Willem II Home 1–1 D
06/09 Heerenveen Away 3–2 W

Telstar

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
20/09 AZ Alkmaar Away 0–1 L
13/09 Heerenveen Away 0–0 D
09/09 Twente Away 0–1 L
06/09 Cambuur Home 2–2 D
30/08 Ajax Home 0–4 L

📊 Season Comparison — Eredivisie

AZ Alkmaar #3 · 19 pts —  Telstar #15 · 6 pts

AZ Alkmaar

Wins–Draws–Losses6W–1D–1L
W 6
D 1
L 1
Played8
Goals scored (avg)2.30
Goals conceded (avg)1.00
Clean sheets3
Failed to score1
Yellow cards9
Red cards0
xG for (avg)1.97
xG against (avg)1.32
Corners for (avg)6.20
Penalties (scored/missed)0/0

Telstar

Wins–Draws–Losses1W–3D–4L
W 1
D 3
L 4
Played8
Goals scored (avg)0.70
Goals conceded (avg)1.70
Clean sheets1
Failed to score4
Yellow cards10
Red cards1
xG for (avg)0.66
xG against (avg)1.47
Corners for (avg)3.60
Penalties (scored/missed)2/0
AZ AlkmaarTelstar
W 6
D 1
L 1
W 1
D 3
L 4
Played
8
8
Goals scored (avg)
2.30
0.70
Goals conceded (avg)
1.00
1.70
Clean sheets
3
1
Failed to score
1
4
Yellow cards
9
10
Red cards
0
1
xG for (avg)
1.97
0.66
xG against (avg)
1.32
1.47
Corners for (avg)
6.20
3.60
Penalties (scored/missed)
0/0
2/0

⏱️ Goal Timing (season)

AZ Alkmaar

1
0-15
2
3
16-30
1
31-45
3
1
46-60
4
1
61-75
4
2
76-90
4
scored conceded

Telstar

1
0-15
1
1
16-30
1
1
31-45
5
46-60
1
61-75
1
3
76-90
2
scored conceded

Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.

🏥 Injuries & Suspensions

AZ Alkmaar

  • ❌ J. Clasie — Injury
  • ❌ J. Hornkamp — Ankle Injury
  • ❌ D. Kasius — Groin Injury
  • ❌ A. Natali — Inactive
  • ❌ R. Robbemond — Inactive
  • ❌ M. Sin — Injury
  • ❌ T. Parrott — Inactive
  • ❌ S. Resink — Knee Injury
  • ❌ K. Smit — Groin Injury

Telstar

No reported absences.

More: Eredivisie predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws