Le Mans vs Monaco
This page follows the latest fixture between these teams. Previous predictions stay on the record below.
Next match: Sun, 08 Nov 2026 • 19:15 UTC+3 • Round 10 • Stade Marie-Marvingt • 🌦 9.8°C, 7 km/h, 0.2mm drizzle
No Best Bet: no eligible value candidate at current conditions.
🎯 PredictLix Predictions
Predictions updated: 02 Nov 2026 07:08 UTC+3
| Market | Tip | Odds | Probability | Model EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result (1X2) | Away | 1xBet1.80 | 53.8% | -3.2% |
| Double Chance | X2 | 1xBet1.25 | 77% | -3.8% |
| BTTS | Yes | William Hill1.57 | 57.9% · No 42.1% | -9.1% |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 1xBet1.64 | 58.4% · Under 41.6% | -4.2% |
| Correct Score | 1-2 | Betano8.75 | 9.5% | -16.9% |
| Corners O/U 9.5 (~7.7 exp.) | Under 9.5 | 1xBet1.52 | 64.8% · Over 35.2% | -1.5% |
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🧠 Match Preview
Le Mans · Home
Le Mans enter on a five-match winless run, with 0 wins, one draw and four defeats, and they failed to score in two of those games. Their home results include a 0-3 loss to Toulouse, and their recent xG for of 1.37 sits above the model expected goals of 1.21 for this fixture.
Monaco · Away
Monaco have two wins, one draw and two losses in their last five, scoring seven and conceding six, and their recent xG for of 1.35 is close to Le Mans' figure. Their model expected goals of 1.65 is the higher of the two forecasts.
Monaco edge the forecast
The latest head-to-head, on 17 May 2013, finished 2-1 to Monaco, and the two prior meetings also went Monaco's way, including a 0-1 away win at Le Mans. Le Mans' recent record of three goals scored and eleven conceded across five matches underlines the gap the model sees. Monaco's own form is mixed, but the forecast gives them a 53.8% win probability and a 1-2 correct score. The evidence supports Monaco win.
Published 02 Nov 2026 04:50 UTC+3. Analysis and numbers reflect the pre-match data snapshot available at publication.
⚽ Current model expected goals: Le Mans 1.21 – 1.65 Monaco · expected total 2.87
🔑 What Drives the Prediction
Le Mans
Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors, each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict — including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.
📈 Team Trends
Le Mans
Monaco
Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.
🏅 League Benchmarks: Ligue 1
Le Mans
No top-3 or bottom-2 marks in the league right now.
Monaco
Rank among 18 Ligue 1 teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets are season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates cover the last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.
🏠 Home vs Away Records
Le Mans at home · Monaco away, the split that matters for this fixture.
Le Mans (home)
Monaco (away)
Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.
🎯 Most Likely Scores for the Selected 1X2 Outcome
Over/Under and BTTS tips are aligned with the leading scoreline. Alternative scores below may belong to other goal-total or BTTS outcomes. Percentages are estimated probabilities of the exact scores, not probabilities conditional on any scenario.
⚔️ Head-to-Head
Le Mans 0 wins · 1 draw · Monaco 3 wins · avg 3.3 goals · BTTS in 3 of 4
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May 2013 | Monaco | 2–1 | Le Mans | Ligue 2 |
| 22 Dec 2012 | Le Mans | 2–3 | Monaco | Ligue 2 |
| 30 Mar 2012 | Le Mans | 0–1 | Monaco | Ligue 2 |
| 05 Nov 2011 | Monaco | 2–2 | Le Mans | Ligue 2 |
📈 Recent Form
Le Mans
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | Estac Troyes | Away | 0–2 | L |
| 25/10 | Auxerre | Away | 1–1 | D |
| 16/10 | Toulouse | Home | 0–3 | L |
| 10/10 | Paris Saint Germain | Away | 1–3 | L |
| 02/10 | Guingamp | Away | 1–2 | L |
| 19/09 | Lorient | Home | 2–1 | W |
| 13/09 | Lens | Home | 2–2 | D |
| 05/09 | Nice | Away | 1–1 | D |
| 30/08 | Rennes | Away | 2–3 | L |
| 22/08 | Stade Brestois 29 | Home | 2–2 | D |
Monaco
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11 | Paris FC | Away | 1–3 | L |
| 25/10 | Lille | Home | 1–1 | D |
| 22/10 | SC Freiburg | Home | 3–0 | W |
| 18/10 | Lorient | Away | 0–1 | L |
| 15/10 | CSKA Sofia | Away | 2–1 | W |
| 10/10 | Toulouse | Home | 2–2 | D |
| 03/10 | Pisa | Home | 2–0 | W |
| 18/09 | Lens | Home | 2–1 | W |
| 12/09 | Strasbourg | Away | 1–1 | D |
| 04/09 | Paris Saint Germain | Away | 2–1 | W |
📊 Season Comparison: Ligue 1
Le Mans #17 · 7 pts · Monaco #7 · 15 pts
Le Mans
Monaco
⏱️ Goal Timing (season)
Le Mans
Monaco
Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.
🏥 Injuries & Suspensions
Le Mans
- ❌ H. Voyer: Suspended (Yellow Cards)
- ❌ E. Colas: Injury
- ❌ Y. Larouci: Concussion
- ❌ S. Yohou: Thigh Injury
- ❌ N. Kocik: Ankle Injury
- ❌ D. Sidibe: Suspended (Red Card)
- ❌ L. Buades: Knock
- ❌ A. Bourabaa: Ankle Injury
Squad/transfer status (not counted as absences): R. Bamba (Loan agreement), T. Eyoum (Coach's decision), W. Harhouz (Coach's decision), E. Quarshie (Coach's decision), M. Rossignol (Coach's decision).
Monaco
- ❌ M. Abline: Foot Injury
- ❌ F. Balogun: Injury
- ❌ E. Diop: Injury
- ❌ A. Fati: Calf Injury
- ❌ C. Mawissa: Suspended (Yellow Cards)
- ❌ T. Minamino: Knee Injury
- ❌ M. Salisu: Knee Injury
- ❌ J. Teze: Muscle Injury
- ❌ M. Coulibaly: Muscle Injury
- ❌ S. Idumbo: Groin Injury
- ❌ A. Soubeir: Injury
- ❌ P. Brunner: Suspended (Suspended)
- ❌ E. Dier: Muscle Injury
⚠️ Status unconfirmed (listed inactive): M. Biereth; not counted as confirmed absences.
More: Ligue 1 predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws