France Ligue 1 Over 2.5 Goals Football Predictions

Upcoming Matches β€’ Next 20 Days β€’ 9 Matches β€’ Round 7 β€’ Updated 34 minutes ago β€’ UTC+3

πŸ“Œ Prediction Type
πŸ† Match Tips (1x2) ⚽ BTTS πŸ“ˆ Over/Under 2.5 🎯 Correct Score πŸ”€ Double Chance 🚩 Corners O/U 🀝 Draws
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Regular Season, Round 7

Friday, October 16

Time Home Form Match Away Form Confidence Probability Goals O/U Odds Result
21:45 LLWDD
Le Mans Le Mans vs Toulouse Toulouse
DLWDL 80% 47.5% Under 2.5 2.12 β€”

Saturday, October 17

Time Home Form Match Away Form Confidence Probability Goals O/U Odds Result
18:15 LDWWL
Strasbourg Strasbourg vs Paris Saint Germain Paris Saint Germain
WWWWL 83% 52.7% Over 2.5 1.33 β€”
21:45 WWLWL
Lille Lille vs Stade Brestois 29 Stade Brestois 29
WDLLW 81% 48.9% Over 2.5 1.77 β€”
21:45 LLLWD
Estac Troyes Estac Troyes vs Lens Lens
WWLDW 80% 47.3% Under 2.5 2.47 β€”

Sunday, October 18

Time Home Form Match Away Form Confidence Probability Goals O/U Odds Result
16:00 LWDLW
Angers Angers vs Marseille Marseille
LLLLL 80% 47.2% Under 2.5 2.38 β€”
18:15 WLDWL
Lorient Lorient vs Monaco Monaco
DWWDW 82% 50.5% Over 2.5 1.91 β€”
18:15 LWLDL
Le Havre Le Havre vs Auxerre Auxerre
WWLLL 83% 52.3% Under 2.5 2.00 β€”
18:15 LWDWW
Paris FC Paris FC vs Rennes Rennes
LDWWW 80% 47.7% Over 2.5 1.72 β€”
21:45 LWWDW
Lyon Lyon vs Nice Nice
WLDLD 81% 48.4% Over 2.5 1.75 β€”

Top Trends from Ligue 1 Teams for Over/Under 2.5 Goals

Strasbourg 2+ conceded in 8/10

Strasbourg have conceded 2+ goals in 8 of their last 10 matches

Strasbourg — Paris Saint Germain
Stade Brestois 29 Over 2.5 in 8/10

Over 2.5 goals in 8 of Stade Brestois 29's last 10 matches

Lille — Stade Brestois 29
Marseille Over 2.5 in 8/10

Over 2.5 goals in 8 of Marseille's last 10 matches

Angers — Marseille
Rennes Over 2.5 in 8/10

Over 2.5 goals in 8 of Rennes's last 10 matches

Paris FC — Rennes
Toulouse 2+ conceded in 7/10

Toulouse have conceded 2+ goals in 7 of their last 10 matches

Le Mans — Toulouse
Monaco 2+ scored in 7/10

Monaco scored 2+ goals in 7 of their last 10 matches

Lorient — Monaco
Paris Saint Germain Over 2.5 in 7/10

Over 2.5 goals in 7 of Paris Saint Germain's last 10 matches

Strasbourg — Paris Saint Germain
πŸ“‘

AI Prediction Accuracy β€” Season 2026/27

Live accuracy tracking across all prediction types β€” wins and losses shown, nothing removed. Updated automatically after each matchday.

54 matches analysed Updated Oct 11, 2026 Full record β€” wins and losses β†’ Value bets β†’
🎯 Match Result (1X2)
53.7% 29/54
⚽ Both Teams to Score
51.9% 28/54
πŸ“ˆ Over / Under 2.5
48.1% 26/54
πŸ”’ Correct Score
13.0% 7/54
πŸ›‘οΈ Double Chance
74.1% 40/54
πŸ“ Corners Over/Under
52.8% 19/36
🀝 Draw Predictions
27.3% 3/11

Recent Form β€” Last 30 Days

🎯 Match Result (1X2) 68.0% 17/25
⚽ Both Teams to Score 56.0% 14/25
πŸ“ˆ Over / Under 2.5 48.0% 12/25
πŸ›‘οΈ Double Chance 88.0% 22/25

Probability Calibration β€” Does 70% Really Mean 70%?

Predicted probability vs how often the pick actually landed. Close match = honest probabilities.

MarketPredictedActualSample
Match Result (1X2) Β· <60% 44.5% 50.0% 48
Match Result (1X2) Β· 60-69% 63.2% 50.0% 2
Match Result (1X2) Β· 70-79% 72.6% 100.0% 2
Match Result (1X2) Β· 80+% 88.9% 100.0% 1
Both Teams to Score Β· <60% 52.9% 45.5% 44
Both Teams to Score Β· 60-69% 62.7% 77.8% 9
Over / Under 2.5 Β· <60% 52.8% 51.3% 39
Over / Under 2.5 Β· 60-69% 62.4% 50.0% 12
Over / Under 2.5 Β· 70-79% 72.5% 0.0% 2
Correct Score Β· <60% 11.1% 13.2% 53
Double Chance Β· 70-79% 74.6% 66.7% 42
Double Chance Β· 60-69% 67.9% 100.0% 8
Double Chance Β· 80+% 82.3% 100.0% 3
Draw Predictions Β· <60% 28.7% 27.3% 11
Corners Over/Under Β· <60% 53.7% 50.0% 26
Corners Over/Under Β· 80+% 84.0% 66.7% 3
Corners Over/Under Β· 60-69% 62.9% 57.1% 7

Live accuracy updates after each confirmed result. Minimum sample sizes may affect early-season figures.

Previous Round Results: Regular Season, Round 6

Date / Time Home Form Match Away Form Confidence Probability Goals O/U Odds Result
09/10 21:45 WWLDW
Lens Lens vs Lyon Lyon
LWWDW 81% 50.1% Under 2.5 ❌ @2.57 2 – 1 FT
10/10 18:15 WWLWL
Lille Lille vs Le Havre Le Havre
LWLDL 82% 50.3% Under 2.5 βœ… N/A 1 – 0 FT
10/10 21:45 WDLLW
Stade Brestois 29 Stade Brestois 29 vs Angers Angers
LWDLW 82% 51.6% Under 2.5 ❌ @2.28 5 – 1 FT
10/10 21:45 WLDWL
Lorient Lorient vs Paris FC Paris FC
LWDWW 81% 49% Over 2.5 ❌ @2.03 1 – 0 FT
10/10 21:45 DWWDW
Monaco Monaco vs Toulouse Toulouse
DLWDL 82% 50.6% Over 2.5 βœ… @1.65 2 – 2 FT
10/10 21:45 WWWWL
Paris Saint Germain Paris Saint Germain vs Le Mans Le Mans
LLWDD 83% 52.1% Over 2.5 βœ… @1.29 3 – 1 FT
11/10 16:00 WLDLD
Nice Nice vs Strasbourg Strasbourg
LDWWL 80% 47.7% Under 2.5 ❌ @2.48 2 – 1 FT
11/10 18:15 LDWWW
Rennes Rennes vs Auxerre Auxerre
WWLLL 81% 49% Over 2.5 βœ… N/A 4 – 1 FT
11/10 21:45 LLLWD
Estac Troyes Estac Troyes vs Marseille Marseille
LLLLL 84% 54.8% Under 2.5 βœ… @2.41 0 – 2 FT