Le Havre vs Lorient
This page follows the latest fixture between these teams. Previous predictions stay on the record below.
Next match: Sun, 08 Nov 2026 • 19:15 UTC+3 • Round 10 • Stade Océane • ⛅ 9.8°C, 4 km/h partly cloudy
No Best Bet: no eligible value candidate at current conditions.
🎯 PredictLix Predictions
Predictions updated: 02 Nov 2026 10:09 UTC+3
| Market | Tip | Odds | Probability | Model EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result (1X2) | Draw | 1xBet3.52 | 28.4% | -0% |
| Double Chance | X2 | Betano1.50 | 66.6% | -0.1% |
| BTTS | Yes | William Hill1.75 | 48.6% · No 51.4% | -15% |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 1xBet1.88 | 54.2% · Over 45.8% | +1.9% |
| Correct Score | 1-1 | Betano6.50 | 14.4% | -6.4% |
| Corners O/U 9.5 (~8.6 exp.) | Under 9.5 | Betano1.75 | 57.1% · Over 42.9% | -0.1% |
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🧠 Match Preview
Le Havre · Home
Le Havre have lost four of their last five, conceding 14 goals across that run, including a 1-5 home defeat to Paris Saint Germain and a 3-4 loss at Marseille. Their only win in that stretch was a 6-1 home rout of Boulogne, so the home side has shown scoring punch but little defensive stability.
Lorient · Away
Lorient arrive with three clean sheets in five and just four goals conceded, drawing 0-0 at Angers and beating Monaco and Paris FC 1-0. Their recent xG for of 0.97 suggests a low-volume attack, yet the defensive record keeps matches tight.
Lorient's clean sheets meet leaky hosts
Lorient have kept three clean sheets in their last five, while Le Havre conceded 14 goals across the same span. The latest head-to-head, on 17 May 2026, ended 0-2 to Le Havre, and the prior meeting finished 1-1, showing these sides can stay level. With Lorient's recent xG for at 0.97 and Le Havre's at 1.72, a low-scoring stalemate fits the pattern of tight, balanced meetings. The evidence supports Draw.
Published 02 Nov 2026 04:50 UTC+3. This preview is preserved from the previous data snapshot. Analysis and numbers reflect that publication; current model predictions are shown in the table above.
⚽ Current model expected goals: Le Havre 1.07 – 1.28 Lorient · expected total 2.34
🔑 What Drives the Prediction
Le Havre
Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors, each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict — including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.
📈 Team Trends
Le Havre
Lorient
Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.
🏅 League Benchmarks: Ligue 1
Le Havre
Lorient
Rank among 18 Ligue 1 teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets are season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates cover the last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.
🏠 Home vs Away Records
Le Havre at home · Lorient away, the split that matters for this fixture.
Le Havre (home)
Lorient (away)
Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.
🎯 Most Likely Scores for the Selected 1X2 Outcome
Over/Under and BTTS tips are aligned with the leading scoreline. Alternative scores below may belong to other goal-total or BTTS outcomes. Percentages are estimated probabilities of the exact scores, not probabilities conditional on any scenario.
⚔️ Head-to-Head
Le Havre 2 wins · 4 draws · Lorient 3 wins · avg 2.9 goals · BTTS in 4 of 9
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May 2026 | Lorient | 0–2 | Le Havre | Ligue 1 |
| 21 Sep 2025 | Le Havre | 1–1 | Lorient | Ligue 1 |
| 28 Jan 2024 | Lorient | 3–3 | Le Havre | Ligue 1 |
| 03 Sep 2023 | Le Havre | 3–0 | Lorient | Ligue 1 |
| 29 Jul 2023 | Le Havre | 0–2 | Lorient | Friendlies Clubs |
| 29 Jul 2023 | Lorient | 2–0 | Le Havre | Friendlies Clubs |
| 19 Oct 2019 | Le Havre | 2–2 | Lorient | Ligue 2 |
| 17 May 2019 | Le Havre | 2–3 | Lorient | Ligue 2 |
| 28 Jul 2018 | Lorient | 0–0 | Le Havre | Ligue 2 |
📈 Recent Form
Le Havre
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/10 | Paris Saint Germain | Home | 1–5 | L |
| 25/10 | Marseille | Away | 3–4 | L |
| 18/10 | Auxerre | Home | 1–3 | L |
| 10/10 | Lille | Away | 0–1 | L |
| 02/10 | Boulogne | Home | 6–1 | W |
| 19/09 | Toulouse | Away | 2–3 | L |
| 12/09 | Angers | Home | 0–0 | D |
| 05/09 | Stade Brestois 29 | Home | 1–2 | L |
| 29/08 | Lyon | Away | 1–1 | D |
| 23/08 | Monaco | Home | 0–1 | L |
Lorient
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/10 | Angers | Away | 0–0 | D |
| 18/10 | Monaco | Home | 1–0 | W |
| 10/10 | Paris FC | Home | 1–0 | W |
| 19/09 | Le Mans | Away | 1–2 | L |
| 12/09 | Toulouse | Home | 2–2 | D |
| 05/09 | Lens | Away | 1–0 | W |
| 29/08 | Estac Troyes | Home | 1–2 | L |
| 22/08 | Nice | Away | 0–0 | D |
| 15/08 | SV Elversberg | Away | 1–4 | L |
| 08/08 | Angers | Away | 1–2 | L |
📊 Season Comparison: Ligue 1
Le Havre #18 · 2 pts · Lorient #10 · 12 pts
Le Havre
Lorient
⏱️ Goal Timing (season)
Le Havre
Lorient
Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.
🏥 Injuries & Suspensions
Le Havre
- ❌ F. Mambimbi: Injury
- ❌ A. Toure: Knee Injury
- ❌ S. Zagadou: Injury
- ❌ P. Argney: Injury
- ❌ L. Mpasi-Nzau: Achilles Tendon Injury
- ❌ J. Mwanga: Suspended (Red Card)
- ❌ R. Ndiaye: Groin Injury
- ❌ T. Pembele: Muscle Injury
- ❌ E. Jelert: Thigh Injury
- ❌ A. Seko: Suspended (Red Card)
⚠️ Status unconfirmed (listed inactive): I. Bouneb; not counted as confirmed absences.
Lorient
- ❌ B. Fadiga: Injury
- ❌ N. Mbamba: Muscle Injury
- ❌ P. Katseris: Hamstring Injury
Squad/transfer status (not counted as absences): M. Bamba (Lacking Match Fitness).
More: Ligue 1 predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws