Rennes vs Lille
This page follows the latest fixture between these teams. Previous predictions stay on the record below.
Next match: Sun, 08 Nov 2026 • 17:00 UTC+3 • Round 10 • Roazhon Park • ☁️ 9.6°C, 6 km/h overcast
Snapshotted at publish: Over 9.5 at 1.75 (63.8%, Model EV +11.7%). Prices move constantly, confirm at the bookmaker.
Best Bet selection: highest current Model EV among eligible candidates from 1X2, Double Chance, BTTS, Over/Under 2.5, Corners O/U 9.5 and Correct Score.
🎯 PredictLix Predictions
Predictions updated: 02 Nov 2026 07:08 UTC+3
| Market | Tip | Odds | Probability | Model EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result (1X2) | Home | 1xBet2.12 | 47% | -0.4% |
| Double Chance | 12 | 1xBet1.30 | 75.5% | -1.8% |
| BTTS | Yes | William Hill1.57 | 63.6% · No 36.4% | -0.1% |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 1xBet1.69 | 59.2% · Under 40.8% | 0% |
| Correct Score | 2-1 | Betano9.25 | 9.2% | -14.9% |
| Corners O/U 9.5 (~11.6 exp.) | Over 9.5 | Betano1.75 | 63.8% · Under 36.2% | +11.7% |
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🧠 Match Preview
Rennes · Home
Rennes have scored 12 goals across their last five matches and failed to score in none of them, including a 3-0 home win over Strasbourg. Their recent_xg_for of 1.83 sits just above the model_expected_goals of 1.77 for this fixture.
Lille · Away
Lille have scored only 5 goals in their last five, failing to score once, and their recent_xg_for of 1.39 is below Rennes' figure. They did win the latest H2H 1-2 at Rennes, though Rennes won the prior meeting 0-2.
Rennes edge the scoring numbers
The latest H2H at this venue went Lille's way 1-2, but the two meetings before that split with Rennes winning 0-2. Rennes' recent_record shows 12 goals for against 12 against, while Lille managed 5 for and 9 against over the same span. Rennes' recent_xg_for of 1.83 and model_expected_goals of 1.77 both point to a home side creating more than Lille's 1.39 and 1.4. The evidence supports Rennes win.
Published 02 Nov 2026 04:50 UTC+3. Analysis and numbers reflect the pre-match data snapshot available at publication.
⚽ Current model expected goals: Rennes 1.77 – 1.40 Lille · expected total 3.18
🔑 What Drives the Prediction
Rennes
Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors, each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict — including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.
📈 Team Trends
Rennes
Lille
Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.
🏅 League Benchmarks: Ligue 1
Rennes
Lille
Rank among 18 Ligue 1 teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets are season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates cover the last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.
🏠 Home vs Away Records
Rennes at home · Lille away, the split that matters for this fixture.
Rennes (home)
Lille (away)
Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.
🎯 Most Likely Scores for the Selected 1X2 Outcome
Over/Under and BTTS tips are aligned with the leading scoreline. Alternative scores below may belong to other goal-total or BTTS outcomes. Percentages are estimated probabilities of the exact scores, not probabilities conditional on any scenario.
⚔️ Head-to-Head
Lille 5 wins · 4 draws · Rennes 1 win · avg 2.9 goals · BTTS in 7 of 10
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar 2026 | Rennes | 1–2 | Lille | Ligue 1 |
| 03 Jan 2026 | Lille | 0–2 | Rennes | Ligue 1 |
| 16 Feb 2025 | Rennes | 0–2 | Lille | Ligue 1 |
| 24 Nov 2024 | Lille | 1–0 | Rennes | Ligue 1 |
| 10 Mar 2024 | Lille | 2–2 | Rennes | Ligue 1 |
| 16 Sep 2023 | Rennes | 2–2 | Lille | Ligue 1 |
| 04 Feb 2023 | Rennes | 1–3 | Lille | Ligue 1 |
| 06 Nov 2022 | Lille | 1–1 | Rennes | Ligue 1 |
| 21 May 2022 | Lille | 2–2 | Rennes | Ligue 1 |
| 01 Dec 2021 | Rennes | 1–2 | Lille | Ligue 1 |
📈 Recent Form
Rennes
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/10 | Nice | Away | 2–5 | L |
| 25/10 | Strasbourg | Home | 3–0 | W |
| 22/10 | Juventus | Away | 2–2 | D |
| 18/10 | Paris FC | Away | 3–4 | L |
| 15/10 | OFI | Home | 2–1 | W |
| 11/10 | Auxerre | Home | 4–1 | W |
| 02/10 | Laval | Away | 0–1 | L |
| 19/09 | Lyon | Away | 0–4 | L |
| 16/09 | Sturm Graz | Away | 0–0 | D |
| 11/09 | Marseille | Home | 1–0 | W |
Lille
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/10 | Lens | Home | 1–0 | W |
| 25/10 | Monaco | Away | 1–1 | D |
| 21/10 | Galatasaray | Home | 2–4 | L |
| 17/10 | Stade Brestois 29 | Home | 1–1 | D |
| 13/10 | Arsenal | Away | 0–3 | L |
| 10/10 | Le Havre | Home | 1–0 | W |
| 02/10 | Zulte Waregem | Home | 2–1 | W |
| 20/09 | Nice | Away | 1–2 | L |
| 13/09 | Estac Troyes | Home | 2–0 | W |
| 08/09 | Real Betis | Home | 2–3 | L |
📊 Season Comparison: Ligue 1
Rennes #5 · 16 pts · Lille #2 · 18 pts
Rennes
Lille
⏱️ Goal Timing (season)
Rennes
Lille
Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.
🏥 Injuries & Suspensions
Rennes
- ❌ M. Camara: Suspended (Yellow Cards)
- ❌ B. Samba: Muscle Injury
- ❌ E. Lepaul: Ankle Injury
⚠️ Status unconfirmed (listed inactive): S. Fofana, A. Ait Boudlal, D. Cisse, A. Nordin, G. Oliveira, Q. Merlin; not counted as confirmed absences.
Lille
- ❌ B. Andre: Suspended (Yellow Cards)
- ❌ M. Fernandez-Pardo: Suspended (Yellow Cards)
- ❌ H. Igamane: Knee Injury
- ❌ E. Mbappe: Ankle Injury
- ❌ T. Santos: Knee Injury
- ❌ A. Ueda: Foot Injury
⚠️ Status unconfirmed (listed inactive): S. Diaoune, T. Nianzou, L. Srdanovic; not counted as confirmed absences.
More: Ligue 1 predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws