Predictions β†’ France Ligue 1

Auxerre vs Paris FC

Next match: Sat, 07 Nov 2026 β€’ 16:15 UTC+3 β€’ Round 10 β€’ Stade de l'AbbΓ©-Deschamps

🎯 PredictLix Predictions

MarketTipConfidenceProbabilityOddsBookmakerMarket impliedEdge
Match Result (1X2) Draw 74% 28.7% β€” β€” β€” β€”
Double Chance 1X 68% 67.8% β€” β€” β€” β€”
BTTS Yes 80% 46.6% β€” β€” β€” β€”
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 82% 51.8% β€” β€” β€” β€”
Correct Score 1-1 71% 12.2% β€” β€” β€” β€”
Corners O/U 9.5 (~10.1 exp.) Over 9.5 62% 53.3% β€” β€” β€” β€”

⚽ Model expected goals: Auxerre 1.08 – 0.93 Paris FC Β· expected total 2.01

πŸ”‘ What Drives the Prediction

Auxerre

Form (last 5)
WLe Havre (A) 3–1 Β· 18/10/2026LRennes (A) 1–4 Β· 11/10/2026WClermont Foot (H) 4–3 Β· 02/10/2026WStade Brestois 29 (H) 2–1 Β· 20/09/2026WNice (H) 1–0 Β· 12/09/2026
Goals scored (season avg)1.60
Goals conceded (season avg)2.40
Win streak (best this season)2
xG for (recent avg)1.36
xG against (recent avg)1.69
Elo strength rating1381
Players out13

Paris FC

Form (last 5)
WRennes (H) 4–3 Β· 18/10/2026LLorient (A) 0–1 Β· 10/10/2026WStrasbourg (H) 2–1 Β· 19/09/2026DLyon (H) 0–0 Β· 12/09/2026WMarseille (A) 3–2 Β· 06/09/2026
Goals scored (season avg)1.70
Goals conceded (season avg)1.00
Win streak (best this season)2
xG for (recent avg)1.39
xG against (recent avg)0.64
Elo strength rating1522
Players out7
AuxerreParis FC
Goals scored (season avg)
1.60
1.70
Goals conceded (season avg)
2.40
1.00
Win streak (best this season)
2
2
xG for (recent avg)
1.36
1.39
xG against (recent avg)
1.69
0.64
Elo strength rating
1381
1522
Players out
13
7

Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors β€” each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict β€” including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.

πŸ“ˆ Team Trends

Auxerre

BTTS
5/6
Over 2.5
5/6
Scored
6/6
Clean sheets
1/6

Paris FC

BTTS
3/6
Over 2.5
4/6
Scored
4/6
Clean sheets
2/6

Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.

πŸ… League Benchmarks β€” Ligue 1

Auxerre

Worst defence (2.40 conceded/game) 2nd best BTTS rate (83%) Best Over 2.5 rate (83%)

Paris FC

3rd best clean sheets (3)

Rank among 18 Ligue 1 teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets β€” season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates β€” last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.

🏠 Home vs Away Records

Auxerre at home Β· Paris FC away β€” the split that matters for this fixture.

Auxerre (home)

Wins–Draws–Losses2W–0D–1L
W 2
L 1
Played3
Goals scored (avg)1.30
Goals conceded (avg)1.30
Clean sheets1
Failed to score0

Paris FC (away)

Wins–Draws–Losses1W–1D–1L
W 1
D 1
L 1
Played3
Goals scored (avg)1.00
Goals conceded (avg)1.00
Clean sheets1
Failed to score2
Auxerre (home)Paris FC (away)
W 2
L 1
W 1
D 1
L 1
Played
3
3
Goals scored (avg)
1.30
1.00
Goals conceded (avg)
1.30
1.00
Clean sheets
1
1
Failed to score
0
2

Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.

🎯 Most Likely Scorelines

1–1
12.2%
0–0
12.1%
2–2
2.8%
3–3
0.3%
4–4
0%

The five most probable exact scores for THIS fixture β€” computed from both teams' expected goals (score matrix), not generic league stats.

βš”οΈ Head-to-Head

Auxerre 3 wins Β· 4 draws Β· Paris FC 1 win Β· avg 1.8 goals Β· BTTS in 3 of 8

3
4
1
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
08 Feb 2026 Auxerre 0–0 Paris FC Ligue 1
29 Nov 2025 Paris FC 1–1 Auxerre Ligue 1
04 May 2024 Auxerre 2–0 Paris FC Ligue 2
07 Oct 2023 Paris FC 0–2 Auxerre Ligue 2
01 Feb 2022 Auxerre 1–2 Paris FC Ligue 2
16 Aug 2021 Paris FC 1–1 Auxerre Ligue 2
13 Mar 2021 Auxerre 0–0 Paris FC Ligue 2
21 Nov 2020 Paris FC 0–3 Auxerre Ligue 2

πŸ“ˆ Recent Form

Auxerre

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
18/10 Le Havre Away 3–1 W
11/10 Rennes Away 1–4 L
02/10 Clermont Foot Home 4–3 W
20/09 Stade Brestois 29 Home 2–1 W
12/09 Nice Home 1–0 W

Paris FC

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
18/10 Rennes Home 4–3 W
10/10 Lorient Away 0–1 L
19/09 Strasbourg Home 2–1 W
12/09 Lyon Home 0–0 D
06/09 Marseille Away 3–2 W

πŸ“Š Season Comparison β€” Ligue 1

Auxerre #12 Β· 9 pts β€”  Paris FC #3 Β· 14 pts

Auxerre

Wins–Draws–Losses3W–0D–4L
W 3
L 4
Played7
Goals scored (avg)1.60
Goals conceded (avg)2.40
Clean sheets1
Failed to score0
Yellow cards10
Red cards1
xG for (avg)1.36
xG against (avg)1.69
Corners for (avg)5.40
Penalties (scored/missed)1/0

Paris FC

Wins–Draws–Losses4W–2D–1L
W 4
D 2
L 1
Played7
Goals scored (avg)1.70
Goals conceded (avg)1.00
Clean sheets3
Failed to score3
Yellow cards16
Red cards0
xG for (avg)1.39
xG against (avg)0.64
Corners for (avg)5.00
Penalties (scored/missed)3/0
AuxerreParis FC
W 3
L 4
W 4
D 2
L 1
Played
7
7
Goals scored (avg)
1.60
1.70
Goals conceded (avg)
2.40
1.00
Clean sheets
1
3
Failed to score
0
3
Yellow cards
10
16
Red cards
1
0
xG for (avg)
1.36
1.39
xG against (avg)
1.69
0.64
Corners for (avg)
5.40
5.00
Penalties (scored/missed)
1/0
3/0

⏱️ Goal Timing (season)

Auxerre

3
0-15
2
16-30
1
1
31-45
3
4
46-60
1
3
61-75
4
6
76-90
1
scored conceded

Paris FC

1
0-15
2
1
16-30
3
31-45
1
46-60
3
2
61-75
1
76-90
5
scored conceded

Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.

πŸ₯ Injuries & Suspensions

Auxerre

  • ❌ T. Bair β€” Suspended
  • ❌ A. Diousse β€” Knee Injury
  • ❌ S. Fofana β€” Groin Injury
  • ❌ R. Labeau Lascary β€” Loan agreement
  • ❌ B. Okoh β€” Knee Injury
  • ❌ M. Senaya β€” Injury
  • ❌ F. Sierralta β€” Injury
  • ❌ T. Siwe β€” Thigh Injury
  • ❌ Wei Xiangxin β€” Inactive
  • ❌ C. Makosso β€” Red Card
  • ❌ F. Oppegard β€” Illness
  • ❌ A. Tuanzebe β€” Lacking Match Fitness
  • ❌ R. Mandengue β€” Muscle Injury

Paris FC

  • ❌ J. Ikone β€” Hamstring Injury
  • ❌ E. Mbemba β€” Inactive
  • ❌ N. Sangui β€” Injury
  • ❌ L. Koleosho β€” Injury
  • ❌ Otavio β€” Injury
  • ❌ T. De Smet β€” Inactive
  • ❌ V. Marchetti β€” Inactive

More: Ligue 1 predictions Β· BTTS Β· Over/Under Β· Correct Score Β· Draws