Sporting CP vs Moreirense
This page follows the latest fixture between these teams. Previous predictions stay on the record below.
Next match: Sat, 07 Nov 2026 • 23:30 UTC+3 • Round 11 • ☀️ 26.1°C, 10 km/h clear
Snapshotted at publish: Yes at 2.12 (62.6%, Model EV +32.7%). Prices move constantly, confirm at the bookmaker.
Best Bet selection: highest current Model EV among eligible candidates from 1X2, Double Chance, BTTS, Over/Under 2.5, Corners O/U 9.5 and Correct Score.
🎯 PredictLix Predictions
Predictions updated: 02 Nov 2026 07:08 UTC+3
| Market | Tip | Odds | Probability | Model EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result (1X2) | Home | Betano1.19 | 77.8% | -7.4% |
| Double Chance | 1X | William Hill1.04 | 91.1% | -5.3% |
| BTTS | Yes | Betano2.12 | 61.8% · No 38.2% | +31% |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | Betano1.45 | 66.5% · Under 33.5% | -3.6% |
| Correct Score | 2-1 | Betano10.75 | 9.8% | +5.4% |
| Corners O/U 9.5 (~6.9 exp.) | Under 9.5 | Current price not available | 71.7% · Over 28.3% | — |
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🧠 Match Preview
Sporting CP · Home
Sporting CP have scored in each of their last five matches, including a 2-0 win at Casa Pia and a 2-1 home win over Maritimo. Their recent_xg_for of 1.77 across up to five recent matches with recorded statistics sits below the model_expected_goals of 2.24 for this fixture.
Moreirense · Away
Moreirense failed to score in two of their last five, including 0-1 defeats to AVS and GIL Vicente. Their recent_xg_for of 0.99 across up to five recent matches with recorded statistics is well below Sporting's figure.
H2H dominance points home
The latest H2H is the clearest angle: Moreirense 0-3 Sporting CP on 21 Feb 2026, following Sporting's 3-0 win on 22 Sep 2025 and 3-1 win on 18 Apr 2025. Sporting have scored three times in each of those three meetings, while Moreirense have managed one goal across them. Moreirense's two failed-to-score matches in their last five add weight to a home result. The evidence supports Sporting CP win.
Published 02 Nov 2026 04:49 UTC+3. Analysis and numbers reflect the pre-match data snapshot available at publication.
⚽ Current model expected goals: Sporting CP 2.24 – 1.15 Moreirense · expected total 3.39
🔑 What Drives the Prediction
Sporting CP
Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors, each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict — including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.
📈 Team Trends
Sporting CP
Moreirense
Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.
🏅 League Benchmarks: Primeira Liga
Sporting CP
Moreirense
Rank among 18 Primeira Liga teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets are season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates cover the last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.
🏠 Home vs Away Records
Sporting CP at home · Moreirense away, the split that matters for this fixture.
Sporting CP (home)
Moreirense (away)
Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.
🎯 Most Likely Scores for the Selected 1X2 Outcome
Over/Under and BTTS tips are aligned with the leading scoreline. Alternative scores below may belong to other goal-total or BTTS outcomes. Percentages are estimated probabilities of the exact scores, not probabilities conditional on any scenario.
⚔️ Head-to-Head
Moreirense 1 win · 1 draw · Sporting CP 8 wins · avg 2.6 goals · BTTS in 4 of 10
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb 2026 | Moreirense | 0–3 | Sporting CP | Primeira Liga |
| 22 Sep 2025 | Sporting CP | 3–0 | Moreirense | Primeira Liga |
| 18 Apr 2025 | Sporting CP | 3–1 | Moreirense | Primeira Liga |
| 05 Dec 2024 | Moreirense | 2–1 | Sporting CP | Primeira Liga |
| 19 Feb 2024 | Moreirense | 0–2 | Sporting CP | Primeira Liga |
| 17 Sep 2023 | Sporting CP | 3–0 | Moreirense | Primeira Liga |
| 14 Mar 2022 | Moreirense | 0–2 | Sporting CP | Primeira Liga |
| 23 Oct 2021 | Sporting CP | 1–0 | Moreirense | Primeira Liga |
| 05 Apr 2021 | Moreirense | 1–1 | Sporting CP | Primeira Liga |
| 28 Nov 2020 | Sporting CP | 2–1 | Moreirense | Primeira Liga |
📈 Recent Form
Sporting CP
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/10 | Casa Pia | Away | 2–0 | W |
| 27/10 | Maritimo | Home | 2–1 | W |
| 25/10 | Academico Viseu | Home | 1–2 | L |
| 21/10 | Lask Linz | Home | 2–3 | L |
| 13/10 | Lens | Away | 2–0 | W |
| 09/10 | SC Braga | Away | 3–1 | W |
| 19/09 | Arouca | Home | 2–2 | D |
| 13/09 | Famalicao | Away | 1–1 | D |
| 09/09 | Galatasaray | Home | 3–1 | W |
| 05/09 | Nacional | Home | 2–0 | W |
Moreirense
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | Estrela | Home | 2–1 | W |
| 25/10 | Estoril | Away | 3–1 | W |
| 17/10 | AVS | Away | 0–1 | L |
| 09/10 | GIL Vicente | Home | 0–1 | L |
| 20/09 | Vitória SC | Away | 1–1 | D |
| 14/09 | Maritimo | Home | 3–1 | W |
| 09/09 | Benfica | Home | 0–4 | L |
| 04/09 | FC Porto | Away | 1–2 | L |
| 30/08 | Casa Pia | Away | 1–0 | W |
| 16/08 | Arouca | Away | 0–4 | L |
📊 Season Comparison: Primeira Liga
Sporting CP #3 · 21 pts · Moreirense #9 · 14 pts
Sporting CP
Moreirense
⏱️ Goal Timing (season)
Sporting CP
Moreirense
Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.
More: Primeira Liga predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws