Portugal Primeira Liga Draw Football Predictions

Upcoming Matches β€’ Next 20 Days β€’ 2 Matches β€’ Round 9 β€’ Updated 1 hour ago β€’ UTC+3

πŸ“Œ Prediction Type
πŸ† Match Tips (1x2) ⚽ BTTS πŸ“ˆ Over/Under 2.5 🎯 Correct Score πŸ”€ Double Chance 🚩 Corners O/U 🀝 Draws
Value bets in Primeira Liga: 4 bets Β· 50% win Β· profit +$31.49 (ΒΌ-Kelly stakes) Full portfolio β†’

Regular Season, Round 9

Sunday, October 25

Time Home Form Match Away Form Confidence Probability Draw Odds Result
18:30 LLLDL
Estoril Estoril vs Moreirense Moreirense
LDWLL 69% 28.2% Draw N/A β€”
21:00 WLDLL
Rio Ave Rio Ave vs Famalicao Famalicao
LWDDD 78% 29.4% Draw N/A β€”

Top Trends from Primeira Liga Teams for Draws

Maritimo Drew 4 of 10

Maritimo have drawn 4 of their last 10 matches

VitΓ³ria SC — Maritimo
Estrela Drew 4 of 10

Estrela have drawn 4 of their last 10 matches

Estrela — Casa Pia
GIL Vicente Drew 4 of 10

GIL Vicente have drawn 4 of their last 10 matches

GIL Vicente — FC Porto
Estoril Drew 4 of 10

Estoril have drawn 4 of their last 10 matches

Estoril — Moreirense
SC Braga Drew 4 of 10

SC Braga have drawn 4 of their last 10 matches

Nacional — SC Braga
Famalicao Drew 4 of 10

Famalicao have drawn 4 of their last 10 matches

Rio Ave — Famalicao
Santa Clara Drew 4 of 10

Santa Clara have drawn 4 of their last 10 matches

Santa Clara — Benfica
πŸ“‘

AI Prediction Accuracy β€” Season 2026/27

Live accuracy tracking across all prediction types β€” wins and losses shown, nothing removed. Updated automatically after each matchday.

71 matches analysed Updated Oct 12, 2026 Full record β€” wins and losses β†’ Value bets β†’
🎯 Match Result (1X2)
56.3% 40/71
⚽ Both Teams to Score
56.3% 40/71
πŸ“ˆ Over / Under 2.5
59.2% 42/71
πŸ”’ Correct Score
11.3% 8/71
πŸ›‘οΈ Double Chance
80.3% 57/71
πŸ“ Corners Over/Under
54.7% 29/53
🀝 Draw Predictions
47.1% 8/17

Recent Form β€” Last 30 Days

🎯 Match Result (1X2) 54.5% 12/22
⚽ Both Teams to Score 50.0% 11/22
πŸ“ˆ Over / Under 2.5 45.5% 10/22
πŸ›‘οΈ Double Chance 72.7% 16/22

Probability Calibration β€” Does 70% Really Mean 70%?

Predicted probability vs how often the pick actually landed. Close match = honest probabilities.

MarketPredictedActualSample
Match Result (1X2) Β· <60% 46.1% 50.0% 42
Match Result (1X2) Β· 60-69% 64.7% 71.4% 7
Match Result (1X2) Β· 70-79% 73.1% 100.0% 4
Match Result (1X2) Β· 80+% 80.4% 0.0% 1
Both Teams to Score Β· <60% 52.7% 56.1% 41
Both Teams to Score Β· 60-69% 64.5% 33.3% 12
Both Teams to Score Β· 70-79% 79.3% 100.0% 1
Over / Under 2.5 Β· <60% 53.2% 60.5% 38
Over / Under 2.5 Β· 70-79% 72.4% 33.3% 3
Over / Under 2.5 Β· 60-69% 64.0% 66.7% 12
Over / Under 2.5 Β· 80+% 81.7% 100.0% 1
Correct Score Β· <60% 11.3% 14.8% 54
Double Chance Β· 70-79% 75.1% 69.7% 33
Double Chance Β· 80+% 83.3% 94.4% 18
Double Chance Β· 60-69% 68.7% 66.7% 3
Corners Over/Under Β· 60-69% 64.8% 54.5% 11
Corners Over/Under Β· 80+% 88.8% 60.0% 10
Corners Over/Under Β· <60% 54.6% 58.3% 24
Corners Over/Under Β· 70-79% 73.0% 37.5% 8
Draw Predictions Β· <60% 28.2% 44.4% 9

Live accuracy updates after each confirmed result. Minimum sample sizes may affect early-season figures.

Previous Round Results: Regular Season, Round 8

Date / Time Home Form Match Away Form Confidence Probability Draw Odds Result
09/10 20:45 LDWLL
Moreirense Moreirense vs GIL Vicente GIL Vicente
DLLDW β€” 27.5% No tip N/A 0 – 1 FT
09/10 22:15 DWLWW
SC Braga SC Braga vs Sporting CP Sporting CP
DDWWW β€” 26.1% No tip N/A 1 – 3 FT
10/10 20:00 DLLLD
Maritimo Maritimo vs FC Porto FC Porto
WWLWW β€” 26.1% No tip N/A 1 – 2 FT
10/10 22:30 WWWWL
Academico Viseu Academico Viseu vs Estoril Estoril
LLLDL β€” 25% No tip N/A 2 – 1 FT
10/10 22:30 LWLDL
Casa Pia Casa Pia vs Santa Clara Santa Clara
WDWWD β€” 28.3% No tip N/A 0 – 1 FT
11/10 17:30 WLDLL
Rio Ave Rio Ave vs Nacional Nacional
LLLLL β€” 28.3% No tip N/A 3 – 2 FT
11/10 20:00 LWWWW
Benfica Benfica vs VitΓ³ria SC VitΓ³ria SC
DLDLW β€” 24.7% No tip N/A 2 – 0 FT
12/10 22:15 LWDDD
Famalicao Famalicao vs Alverca Alverca
WWWLD 70% 28.3% Draw ❌ N/A 1 – 4 FT