Portugal Primeira Liga Draw Football Predictions

Upcoming Matches β€’ Next 10 Days β€’ 3 Matches β€’ Round 4 β€’ Updated 15 minutes ago β€’ UTC+3

Regular Season , Round 4

Saturday, August 29

Time Home Form Match Away Form Confidence Probability Draw Odds Result
17:30 DLWLW
Alverca Alverca vs Santa Clara Santa Clara
WDWDW 78% 27% Draw N/A β€”

Sunday, August 30

Time Home Form Match Away Form Confidence Probability Draw Odds Result
20:00 LLLLW
Casa Pia Casa Pia vs Moreirense Moreirense
LDLWD 78% 27.1% Draw N/A β€”
22:30 LDLWD
Famalicao Famalicao vs GIL Vicente GIL Vicente
WDWDL 78% 27.5% Draw N/A β€”
πŸ“‘

AI Prediction Accuracy β€” Season 2026/27

Live accuracy tracking across all prediction types. Updated automatically after each matchday.

22 matches analysed Updated Aug 23, 2026
🎯 Match Result (1X2)
59.1% 13/22
⚽ Both Teams to Score
72.7% 16/22
πŸ“ˆ Over / Under 2.5
63.6% 14/22
πŸ”’ Correct Score
0.0% 0/22
πŸ›‘οΈ Double Chance
86.4% 19/22
πŸ“ Corners Over/Under
60.0% 3/5
🀝 Draw Predictions
50.0% 4/8

Recent Form β€” Last 30 Days

🎯 Match Result (1X2) 59.1% 13/22
⚽ Both Teams to Score 72.7% 16/22
πŸ“ˆ Over / Under 2.5 63.6% 14/22
πŸ›‘οΈ Double Chance 86.4% 19/22

Probability Calibration β€” Does 70% Really Mean 70%?

Predicted probability vs how often the pick actually landed. Close match = honest probabilities.

MarketPredictedActualSample
Match Result (1X2) Β· <60% 46.9% 50.0% 4
Match Result (1X2) Β· 60-69% 68.3% 100.0% 1
Both Teams to Score Β· <60% 52.3% 75.0% 4
Both Teams to Score Β· 60-69% 64.6% 100.0% 1
Over / Under 2.5 Β· <60% 53.7% 100.0% 4
Over / Under 2.5 Β· 70-79% 71.7% 100.0% 1
Correct Score Β· <60% 11.5% 0.0% 5
Double Chance Β· 70-79% 74.6% 75.0% 4
Double Chance Β· 80+% 81.7% 100.0% 1
Corners Over/Under Β· 60-69% 64.8% 0.0% 1
Corners Over/Under Β· 80+% 86.8% 66.7% 3
Corners Over/Under Β· <60% 51.4% 100.0% 1

Live accuracy updates after each confirmed result. Minimum sample sizes may affect early-season figures.

Previous Round Results: Regular Season , Round 3

Date / Time Home Form Match Away Form Confidence Probability Draw Odds Result
22/08 17:30 WWDDW
Maritimo Maritimo vs Academico Viseu Academico Viseu
LDDLD β€” β€” No data @3.32 2 – 2 FT
22/08 20:00 LDDDL
Estoril Estoril vs Rio Ave Rio Ave
LLWDW β€” 26.2% No data @3.69 0 – 2 FT
22/08 22:30 WDWWW
Sporting CP Sporting CP vs Alverca Alverca
DLWLW β€” 16.2% No data @7.55 3 – 1 FT
23/08 17:30 LLWDW
VitΓ³ria SC VitΓ³ria SC vs Nacional Nacional
WDLDD β€” 25.9% No data @3.95 1 – 0 FT
23/08 20:00 WDWDW
Santa Clara Santa Clara vs Famalicao Famalicao
LDLWD β€” 27.5% No data @2.97 1 – 0 FT