Predictions → Portugal Primeira Liga

Sporting CP vs Arouca

Sporting CP
2:2
Full Time · 19 Sep 2026
Arouca

No upcoming fixture scheduled — showing the last meeting result and the pre-match predictions.

🎯 PredictLix Predictions — pre-match vs actual

MarketTipConfidenceProbabilityOddsBookmakerMarket impliedEdgeResult
Match Result (1X2) Home 92% 80.4% @1.16 — 86.2% -5.8 pp ❌
Double Chance 1X 83% 87.2% @1.02 — 95.4% -8.2 pp ✅
BTTS Yes 79% 46.3% @2.02 — 45.8% +0.5 pp ✅
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 83% 52.2% @1.36 — 66.5% -14.3 pp ✅
Correct Score 2-0 64% 7.7% @6.50 — 6.6% +1.1 pp ❌
Corners O/U 9.5 (~? exp.) Under 9.5 75% 64% @1.82 — 51.3% +12.7 pp ✅

⚽ Model expected goals: Sporting CP 2.50 – 0.98 Arouca · expected total 3.48

Predictions made before kick-off, shown against the actual result. Odds are the best price across every bookmaker in our feed — the Bookmaker column says who offers it. Market implied = the bookmaker's probability with margin removed (proportional de-vig across all outcomes — critical on Correct Score, where the book margin is huge; for Double Chance it is derived from the de-vigged 1X2 market instead). Positive edge = the model rates this outcome higher than the market.

📈 Team Trends

Sporting CP

Unbeaten 10
BTTS
4/6
Over 2.5
4/6
Scored
6/6
Clean sheets
2/6

Arouca

Winless 3
BTTS
3/6
Over 2.5
4/6
Scored
4/6
Clean sheets
2/6

Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.

🏅 League Benchmarks — Primeira Liga

Sporting CP

3rd best attack (2.50 goals/game)

Arouca

No top-3 or bottom-2 marks in the league right now.

Rank among 18 Primeira Liga teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets — season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates — last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.

🏠 Home vs Away Records

Sporting CP at home · Arouca away — the split that matters for this fixture.

Sporting CP (home)

Wins–Draws–Losses3W–1D–0L
W 3
D 1
Played4
Goals scored (avg)2.50
Goals conceded (avg)1.30
Clean sheets1
Failed to score0

Arouca (away)

Wins–Draws–Losses1W–2D–1L
W 1
D 2
L 1
Played4
Goals scored (avg)0.80
Goals conceded (avg)1.00
Clean sheets2
Failed to score2
Sporting CP (home)Arouca (away)
W 3
D 1
W 1
D 2
L 1
Played
4
4
Goals scored (avg)
2.50
0.80
Goals conceded (avg)
1.30
1.00
Clean sheets
1
2
Failed to score
0
2

Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.

⚔️ Head-to-Head

Arouca 1 win · 2 draws · Sporting CP 7 wins · avg 3 goals · BTTS in 5 of 10

1
2
7
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
24 Jan 2026 Arouca 1–2 Sporting CP Primeira Liga
17 Aug 2025 Sporting CP 6–0 Arouca Primeira Liga
15 Feb 2025 Sporting CP 2–2 Arouca Primeira Liga
13 Sep 2024 Arouca 0–3 Sporting CP Primeira Liga
10 Mar 2024 Arouca 0–3 Sporting CP Primeira Liga
08 Oct 2023 Sporting CP 2–1 Arouca Primeira Liga
16 Apr 2023 Sporting CP 1–1 Arouca Primeira Liga
24 Jan 2023 Arouca 1–2 Sporting CP Taça da Liga
29 Oct 2022 Arouca 1–0 Sporting CP Primeira Liga
05 Mar 2022 Sporting CP 2–0 Arouca Primeira Liga

📈 Recent Form

Sporting CP

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
09/10 SC Braga Away 3–1 W
19/09 Arouca Home 2–2 D
13/09 Famalicao Away 1–1 D
09/09 Galatasaray Home 3–1 W
05/09 Nacional Home 2–0 W

Arouca

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
19/09 Sporting CP Away 2–2 D
13/09 Santa Clara Home 1–2 L
07/09 Estoril Away 0–0 D
29/08 Maritimo Home 2–1 W
23/08 FC Porto Away 0–2 L

📊 Season Comparison — Primeira Liga

Sporting CP #3 · 18 pts —  Arouca #5 · 14 pts

Sporting CP

Wins–Draws–Losses5W–3D–0L
W 5
D 3
Played8
Goals scored (avg)2.50
Goals conceded (avg)1.10
Clean sheets2
Failed to score0
Yellow cards19
Red cards1
xG for (avg)1.53
xG against (avg)0.39
Corners for (avg)4.50
Penalties (scored/missed)2/0

Arouca

Wins–Draws–Losses4W–2D–2L
W 4
D 2
L 2
Played8
Goals scored (avg)1.40
Goals conceded (avg)1.00
Clean sheets3
Failed to score2
Yellow cards19
Red cards1
xG for (avg)0.44
xG against (avg)0.80
Corners for (avg)2.70
Penalties (scored/missed)1/0
Sporting CPArouca
W 5
D 3
W 4
D 2
L 2
Played
8
8
Goals scored (avg)
2.50
1.40
Goals conceded (avg)
1.10
1.00
Clean sheets
2
3
Failed to score
0
2
Yellow cards
19
19
Red cards
1
1
xG for (avg)
1.53
0.44
xG against (avg)
0.39
0.80
Corners for (avg)
4.50
2.70
Penalties (scored/missed)
2/0
1/0

⏱️ Goal Timing (season)

Sporting CP

0-15
4
16-30
4
31-45
4
1
46-60
4
4
61-75
1
3
76-90
4
scored conceded

Arouca

1
0-15
4
16-30
1
1
31-45
2
46-60
3
1
61-75
1
76-90
3
scored conceded

Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.

More: Primeira Liga predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws