Predictions → Portugal Primeira Liga

Vitória SC vs Moreirense

Vitória SC
1:1
Full Time · 20 Sep 2026
Moreirense

No upcoming fixture scheduled — showing the last meeting result and the pre-match predictions.

🎯 PredictLix Predictions — pre-match vs actual

MarketTipConfidenceProbabilityOddsBookmakerMarket impliedEdgeResult
Match Result (1X2) Home 85% 60.7% @1.50 — 67.4% -6.7 pp ❌
Double Chance 1X 78% 80.9% @1.10 — 87.9% -7 pp ✅
BTTS No 85% 56.3% @1.73 — 53.5% +2.8 pp ❌
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 85% 56.4% @1.96 — 49.5% +6.9 pp ✅
Correct Score 1-0 74% 13.6% @6.00 — 7.1% +6.5 pp ❌
Corners O/U 9.5 (~? exp.) Under 9.5 59% 51.1% @1.76 — 53.1% -2 pp ✅

⚽ Model expected goals: Vitória SC 1.33 – 0.70 Moreirense · expected total 2.03

Predictions made before kick-off, shown against the actual result. Odds are the best price across every bookmaker in our feed — the Bookmaker column says who offers it. Market implied = the bookmaker's probability with margin removed (proportional de-vig across all outcomes — critical on Correct Score, where the book margin is huge; for Double Chance it is derived from the de-vigged 1X2 market instead). Positive edge = the model rates this outcome higher than the market.

📈 Team Trends

Vitória SC

BTTS
2/6
Over 2.5
1/6
Scored
3/6
Clean sheets
2/6

Moreirense

BTTS
3/6
Over 2.5
3/6
Scored
4/6
Clean sheets
1/6

Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.

🏅 League Benchmarks — Primeira Liga

Vitória SC

2nd worst Over 2.5 rate (17%)

Moreirense

No top-3 or bottom-2 marks in the league right now.

Rank among 18 Primeira Liga teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets — season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates — last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.

🏠 Home vs Away Records

Vitória SC at home · Moreirense away — the split that matters for this fixture.

Vitória SC (home)

Wins–Draws–Losses1W–2D–1L
W 1
D 2
L 1
Played4
Goals scored (avg)0.50
Goals conceded (avg)0.50
Clean sheets2
Failed to score2

Moreirense (away)

Wins–Draws–Losses1W–1D–2L
W 1
D 1
L 2
Played4
Goals scored (avg)0.80
Goals conceded (avg)1.80
Clean sheets1
Failed to score1
Vitória SC (home)Moreirense (away)
W 1
D 2
L 1
W 1
D 1
L 2
Played
4
4
Goals scored (avg)
0.50
0.80
Goals conceded (avg)
0.50
1.80
Clean sheets
2
1
Failed to score
2
1

Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.

📈 Recent Form

Vitória SC

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
11/10 Benfica Away 0–2 L
25/09 Chaves Away 1–0 W
20/09 Moreirense Home 1–1 D
12/09 Academico Viseu Away 1–2 L
06/09 Casa Pia Home 0–0 D

Moreirense

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
09/10 GIL Vicente Home 0–1 L
20/09 Vitória SC Away 1–1 D
14/09 Maritimo Home 3–1 W
09/09 Benfica Home 0–4 L
04/09 FC Porto Away 1–2 L

📊 Season Comparison — Primeira Liga

Vitória SC #15 · 5 pts —  Moreirense #12 · 8 pts

Vitória SC

Wins–Draws–Losses1W–2D–5L
W 1
D 2
L 5
Played8
Goals scored (avg)0.60
Goals conceded (avg)1.30
Clean sheets2
Failed to score4
Yellow cards21
Red cards1
xG for (avg)1.74
xG against (avg)0.82
Corners for (avg)6.80
Penalties (scored/missed)0/1

Moreirense

Wins–Draws–Losses2W–2D–4L
W 2
D 2
L 4
Played8
Goals scored (avg)1.00
Goals conceded (avg)1.90
Clean sheets1
Failed to score3
Yellow cards21
Red cards1
xG for (avg)0.79
xG against (avg)1.03
Corners for (avg)1.60
Penalties (scored/missed)1/0
Vitória SCMoreirense
W 1
D 2
L 5
W 2
D 2
L 4
Played
8
8
Goals scored (avg)
0.60
1.00
Goals conceded (avg)
1.30
1.90
Clean sheets
2
1
Failed to score
4
3
Yellow cards
21
21
Red cards
1
1
xG for (avg)
1.74
0.79
xG against (avg)
0.82
1.03
Corners for (avg)
6.80
1.60
Penalties (scored/missed)
0/1
1/0

⏱️ Goal Timing (season)

Vitória SC

1
0-15
1
2
16-30
1
31-45
4
46-60
1
61-75
3
2
76-90
1
scored conceded

Moreirense

1
0-15
1
1
16-30
5
3
31-45
3
46-60
1
2
61-75
4
76-90
2
scored conceded

Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.

More: Primeira Liga predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws