Fiorentina vs Juventus
This page follows the latest fixture between these teams. Previous predictions stay on the record below.
Next match: Sun, 08 Nov 2026 • 22:45 UTC+3 • Round 11 • Stadio Artemio Franchi • 🌧 14.8°C, 1 km/h, 0.5mm rain
Snapshotted at publish: No at 2.20 (53.7%, Model EV +18.1%). Prices move constantly, confirm at the bookmaker.
Best Bet selection: highest current Model EV among eligible candidates from 1X2, Double Chance, BTTS, Over/Under 2.5, Corners O/U 9.5 and Correct Score.
🎯 PredictLix Predictions
Predictions updated: 02 Nov 2026 10:09 UTC+3
| Market | Tip | Odds | Probability | Model EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result (1X2) | Away 1.96 → 1.98 ▲1% | Betano1.98 | 47.4% | -6.1% |
| Double Chance | X2 | Betano1.30 | 74.4% | -3.3% |
| BTTS | No | Betfair2.20 | 53.6% · Yes 46.4% | +17.9% |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 1xBet2.16 | 50.7% · Over 49.3% | +9.5% |
| Correct Score | 0-1 | Bet3658.50 | 11.3% | -4% |
| Corners O/U 9.5 (~7.8 exp.) | Under 9.5 | Current price not available | 63.4% · Over 36.6% | — |
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🧠 Match Preview
Fiorentina · Home
Fiorentina are without a win in their last five, drawing twice and losing three while conceding 10 goals and keeping no clean sheets. Their latest home outing was a 2-2 draw with Atalanta, and they also lost 1-3 to Como at home.
Juventus · Away
Juventus have two wins, one draw and two losses in their last five, with both wins arriving as 2-0 scorelines. Their most recent meeting with Fiorentina was a 0-2 away win on 17 May 2026, and they also drew 1-1 in Florence on 22 Nov 2025.
Juventus Away Record Holds
The latest head-to-head is the clearest angle: Juventus won 0-2 in this exact away fixture on 17 May 2026. Fiorentina's five-match run shows 0 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses, with 10 goals conceded and no clean sheets. Juventus have 2 clean sheets in their last five and scored twice in both victories, while their recent_xg_for of 1.79 sits above Fiorentina's 1.51. The evidence supports Juventus win.
Published 02 Nov 2026 10:47 UTC+3. Analysis and numbers reflect the pre-match data snapshot available at publication.
⚽ Current model expected goals: Fiorentina 1.02 – 1.19 Juventus · expected total 2.22
🔑 What Drives the Prediction
Fiorentina
Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors, each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict — including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.
📈 Team Trends
Fiorentina
Juventus
Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.
🏅 League Benchmarks: Serie A
Fiorentina
Juventus
Rank among 20 Serie A teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets are season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates cover the last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.
🏠 Home vs Away Records
Fiorentina at home · Juventus away, the split that matters for this fixture.
Fiorentina (home)
Juventus (away)
Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.
🎯 Most Likely Scores for the Selected 1X2 Outcome
Over/Under and BTTS tips are aligned with the leading scoreline. Alternative scores below may belong to other goal-total or BTTS outcomes. Percentages are estimated probabilities of the exact scores, not probabilities conditional on any scenario.
⚔️ Head-to-Head
Fiorentina 3 wins · 3 draws · Juventus 4 wins · avg 2 goals · BTTS in 3 of 10
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May 2026 | Juventus | 0–2 | Fiorentina | Serie A |
| 22 Nov 2025 | Fiorentina | 1–1 | Juventus | Serie A |
| 16 Mar 2025 | Fiorentina | 3–0 | Juventus | Serie A |
| 29 Dec 2024 | Juventus | 2–2 | Fiorentina | Serie A |
| 07 Apr 2024 | Juventus | 1–0 | Fiorentina | Serie A |
| 05 Nov 2023 | Fiorentina | 0–1 | Juventus | Serie A |
| 12 Feb 2023 | Juventus | 1–0 | Fiorentina | Serie A |
| 03 Sep 2022 | Fiorentina | 1–1 | Juventus | Serie A |
| 21 May 2022 | Fiorentina | 2–0 | Juventus | Serie A |
| 20 Apr 2022 | Juventus | 2–0 | Fiorentina | Coppa Italia |
📈 Recent Form
Fiorentina
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/10 | Atalanta | Home | 2–2 | D |
| 25/10 | Inter | Away | 1–2 | L |
| 18/10 | Como | Home | 1–3 | L |
| 10/10 | Genoa | Away | 1–2 | L |
| 20/09 | Napoli | Home | 1–1 | D |
| 15/09 | Pisa | Home | 3–0 | W |
| 11/09 | Venezia | Away | 4–2 | W |
| 05/09 | Torino | Home | 1–2 | L |
| 29/08 | Frosinone | Home | 0–3 | L |
| 24/08 | AS Roma | Away | 0–4 | L |
Juventus
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11 | Napoli | Home | 2–0 | W |
| 28/10 | Genoa | Away | 0–2 | L |
| 25/10 | Lecce | Away | 2–0 | W |
| 22/10 | Rennes | Home | 2–2 | D |
| 18/10 | Lazio | Home | 0–3 | L |
| 15/10 | Celta Vigo | Away | 2–1 | W |
| 11/10 | Cagliari | Away | 1–1 | D |
| 02/10 | Cremonese | Home | 0–1 | L |
| 20/09 | Atalanta | Home | 2–0 | W |
| 17/09 | NEC Nijmegen | Home | 5–0 | W |
📊 Season Comparison: Serie A
Fiorentina #17 · 5 pts · Juventus #7 · 17 pts
Fiorentina
Juventus
⏱️ Goal Timing (season)
Fiorentina
Juventus
Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.
🏥 Injuries & Suspensions
Fiorentina
- ❌ R. Sottil: Back Injury
- ❌ F. Parisi: Jumpers Knee
- ❌ A. Atta: Abdominal strain
- ❌ L. Ranieri: Leg Injury
- ❌ M. Pongracic: Muscle Injury
Squad/transfer status (not counted as absences): M. Kean (Transfer negotiations).
Juventus
- ❌ J. Ekhator: Muscle Injury
- ❌ F. Gatti: Injury
- ❌ W. McKennie: Muscle Injury
- ❌ E. Zhegrova: Muscle Injury
- ❌ A. Cambiaso: Ankle Injury
- ❌ P. M. Sarr: Muscle Injury
- ❌ K. Yıldız: Foot Injury
- ❌ J. Cabal: Thigh Problems
- ❌ K. Thuram: Jumpers Knee
- ❌ M. Locatelli: Jumpers Knee
- ❌ J. Boga: Muscle Injury
- ❌ K. Grabara: Knee Injury
- ❌ Z. Celik: Muscle Injury
- ❌ F. Conceicao: Shoulder Injury
- ❌ N. Gonzalez: Calf Injury
Squad/transfer status (not counted as absences): M. Di Gregorio (Transfer negotiations).
⚠️ Status unconfirmed (listed inactive): A. Milik; not counted as confirmed absences.
More: Serie A predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws