Celta Vigo vs Union St. Gilloise
This page follows the latest fixture between these teams. Previous predictions stay on the record below.
Next match: Thu, 05 Nov 2026 • 23:00 UTC+3 • League Stage - 4 • ☀️ 11.3°C, 4 km/h clear
No Best Bet: no eligible value candidate at current conditions.
🎯 PredictLix Predictions
Predictions updated: 02 Nov 2026 07:08 UTC+3
| Market | Tip | Odds | Probability | Model EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result (1X2) | Home | 1xBet2.11 | 43.5% | -8.2% |
| Double Chance | 12 | William Hill1.29 | 74.3% | -4.2% |
| BTTS | Yes | Bet3651.62 | 57.4% · No 42.6% | -7% |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 1xBet1.71 | 55.4% · Under 44.6% | -5.3% |
| Correct Score | 2-1 | Bet3659.00 | 8.1% | -27.1% |
| Corners O/U 9.5 (~8.7 exp.) | Under 9.5 | Betano1.55 | 56.2% · Over 43.8% | -12.9% |
Bookmaker links on this page: #ad · Play Safe · T&Cs apply · 18+
🧠 Match Preview
Model view
Model 1X2 split: Celta Vigo 43.5% · Draw 25.7% · Union St. Gilloise 30.8%. Selected outcome: Celta Vigo win.
Goals
Model expected goals: Celta Vigo 1.34, Union St. Gilloise 1.43, expected total 2.77.
Price check
The model favours Celta Vigo win, but the displayed price does not offer positive model EV.
Form / H2H
Celta Vigo: L-D-W-W-L in their last five matches.
Union St. Gilloise: W-W-W-W-D in their last five matches.
Historical form, not a probability for the next match.
Limitations
Lineups, injuries and late team news can change the outlook. Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees.
🔑 What Drives the Prediction
Celta Vigo
Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors, each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict — including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.
📈 Team Trends
Celta Vigo
Union St. Gilloise
Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.
🏅 League Benchmarks: UEFA Europa League
Celta Vigo
No top-3 or bottom-2 marks in the league right now.
Union St. Gilloise
Rank among 36 UEFA Europa League teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets are season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates cover the last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.
🏠 Home vs Away Records
Celta Vigo at home · Union St. Gilloise away, the split that matters for this fixture.
Celta Vigo (home)
Union St. Gilloise (away)
Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.
🎯 Most Likely Scores for the Selected 1X2 Outcome
Over/Under and BTTS tips are aligned with the leading scoreline. Alternative scores below may belong to other goal-total or BTTS outcomes. Percentages are estimated probabilities of the exact scores, not probabilities conditional on any scenario.
📈 Recent Form
Celta Vigo
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | Rayo Vallecano | Away | 0–3 | L |
| 25/10 | Real Betis | Home | 0–0 | D |
| 22/10 | Celtic | Away | 2–1 | W |
| 18/10 | Alaves | Home | 2–1 | W |
| 15/10 | Juventus | Home | 1–2 | L |
| 11/10 | Elche | Away | 0–0 | D |
| 19/09 | Racing Santander | Home | 5–0 | W |
| 16/09 | Omonia Nicosia | Away | 0–1 | L |
| 13/09 | Malaga | Home | 1–1 | D |
| 07/09 | Getafe | Away | 1–1 | D |
Union St. Gilloise
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | SK Beveren | Away | 2–1 | W |
| 25/10 | Cercle Brugge | Home | 5–2 | W |
| 22/10 | Hapoel Beer Sheva | Home | 4–0 | W |
| 18/10 | Nijlen | Home | 3–0 | W |
| 15/10 | Real Sociedad | Home | 1–1 | D |
| 11/10 | OH Leuven | Home | 1–1 | D |
| 20/09 | Antwerp | Away | 2–0 | W |
| 17/09 | Plzen | Away | 3–0 | W |
| 12/09 | Lommel United | Home | 5–0 | W |
| 05/09 | Charleroi | Away | 3–2 | W |
📊 Season Comparison: UEFA Europa League
Celta Vigo #25 · 3 pts · Union St. Gilloise #6 · 7 pts
Celta Vigo
Union St. Gilloise
⏱️ Goal Timing (season)
Celta Vigo
Union St. Gilloise
Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.
🏥 Injuries & Suspensions
Celta Vigo
- ❌ A. Antanon: Ankle Injury
- ❌ I. Aspas: Muscle Injury
- ❌ P. Duran: Calf Injury
- ❌ J. El Abdellaoui: Knee Injury
- ❌ B. Iglesias: Calf Injury
- ❌ M. Roman: Knee Injury
- ❌ C. Starfelt: Muscle Injury
- ❌ A. Nunez: Groin Injury
Union St. Gilloise
- ❌ A. Ait El Hadj: Off the roster
- ❌ R. Florucz: Suspended (Red Card)
- ❌ K. Mac Allister: Knee Injury
- ❌ I. Pavlic: Off the roster
- ❌ R. Sykes: Shoulder Injury
- ❌ K. Van De Perre: Suspended (Red Card)
- ❌ A. Zorgane: Suspended (Red Card)
- ❌ I. Hurtevent: Knock
- ❌ O. Kricfalusi: Knock
- ❌ K. Rodriguez: Muscle Injury
- ❌ R. Schoofs: Knock
More: UEFA Europa League predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws