Vitória SC vs FC Porto
This page follows the latest fixture between these teams. Previous predictions stay on the record below.
Next match: Sun, 08 Nov 2026 • 21:00 UTC+3 • Round 11 • ⛈ 17.1°C, 11 km/h, 3.2mm thunderstorm
No Best Bet: no eligible value candidate at current conditions.
🎯 PredictLix Predictions
Predictions updated: 02 Nov 2026 07:08 UTC+3
| Market | Tip | Odds | Probability | Model EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result (1X2) | Away | 1xBet1.76 | 44.6% | -21.5% |
| Double Chance | 12 | Current price not available | 75.7% | — |
| BTTS | Yes | Current price not available | 67.3% · No 32.7% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | Current price not available | 66% · Under 34% | — |
| Correct Score | 1-2 | Current price not available | 8.9% | — |
| Corners O/U 9.5 (~10.3 exp.) | Over 9.5 | Current price not available | 56% · Under 44% | — |
Bookmaker links on this page: #ad · Play Safe · T&Cs apply · 18+
🧠 Match Preview
Vitória SC · Home
Vitória SC have won three of their last five, including a 5-0 home win over Maritimo, but they failed to score in a 0-2 loss at Benfica. Their most recent meeting with FC Porto ended in a 0-1 home defeat.
FC Porto · Away
FC Porto have won three of their last five, keeping three clean sheets, and won the latest H2H 0-1 at Vitória SC. Their recent away league result was a 1-0 win at GIL Vicente.
Porto edge recent H2H
The latest H2H is the clearest angle: FC Porto won 0-1 at Vitória SC on 18 Jan 2026. Porto also won 3-0 at home in the August 2025 meeting, while Vitória SC's 1-3 away win in December 2025 shows this matchup can swing. Porto's model expected goals of 1.87 sit above Vitória SC's 1.54, supporting a realistic away edge rather than dominance. The predicted 1-2 correct score fits a competitive game with both teams scoring. The evidence supports FC Porto win.
Published 02 Nov 2026 04:50 UTC+3. Analysis and numbers reflect the pre-match data snapshot available at publication.
⚽ Current model expected goals: Vitória SC 1.54 – 1.87 FC Porto · expected total 3.40
🔑 What Drives the Prediction
Vitória SC
Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors, each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict — including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.
📈 Team Trends
Vitória SC
FC Porto
Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.
🏅 League Benchmarks: Primeira Liga
Vitória SC
No top-3 or bottom-2 marks in the league right now.
FC Porto
Rank among 18 Primeira Liga teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets are season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates cover the last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.
🏠 Home vs Away Records
Vitória SC at home · FC Porto away, the split that matters for this fixture.
Vitória SC (home)
FC Porto (away)
Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.
🎯 Most Likely Scores for the Selected 1X2 Outcome
Over/Under and BTTS tips are aligned with the leading scoreline. Alternative scores below may belong to other goal-total or BTTS outcomes. Percentages are estimated probabilities of the exact scores, not probabilities conditional on any scenario.
⚔️ Head-to-Head
FC Porto 7 wins · 1 draw · Vitória SC 2 wins · avg 2.7 goals · BTTS in 5 of 10
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan 2026 | Vitória SC | 0–1 | FC Porto | Primeira Liga |
| 04 Dec 2025 | FC Porto | 1–3 | Vitória SC | Taça da Liga |
| 11 Aug 2025 | FC Porto | 3–0 | Vitória SC | Primeira Liga |
| 24 Feb 2025 | FC Porto | 1–1 | Vitória SC | Primeira Liga |
| 21 Sep 2024 | Vitória SC | 0–3 | FC Porto | Primeira Liga |
| 17 Apr 2024 | FC Porto | 3–1 | Vitória SC | Taça de Portugal |
| 07 Apr 2024 | FC Porto | 1–2 | Vitória SC | Primeira Liga |
| 03 Apr 2024 | Vitória SC | 0–1 | FC Porto | Taça de Portugal |
| 11 Nov 2023 | Vitória SC | 1–2 | FC Porto | Primeira Liga |
| 27 May 2023 | FC Porto | 3–0 | Vitória SC | Primeira Liga |
📈 Recent Form
Vitória SC
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/10 | Maritimo | Home | 5–0 | W |
| 17/10 | Recreativa de Lamelas | Away | 1–0 | W |
| 11/10 | Benfica | Away | 0–2 | L |
| 25/09 | Chaves | Away | 1–0 | W |
| 20/09 | Moreirense | Home | 1–1 | D |
| 12/09 | Academico Viseu | Away | 1–2 | L |
| 06/09 | Casa Pia | Home | 0–0 | D |
| 31/08 | SC Braga | Away | 0–1 | L |
| 23/08 | Nacional | Home | 1–0 | W |
| 14/08 | Sporting CP | Away | 2–3 | L |
FC Porto
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | Estoril | Home | 4–0 | W |
| 28/10 | Academico Viseu | Home | 1–0 | W |
| 24/10 | GIL Vicente | Away | 1–0 | W |
| 20/10 | PSV Eindhoven | Home | 0–1 | L |
| 14/10 | Real Betis | Away | 2–3 | L |
| 10/10 | Maritimo | Away | 2–1 | W |
| 02/10 | Deportivo La Coruna | Away | 3–1 | W |
| 20/09 | Benfica | Home | 3–1 | W |
| 12/09 | Casa Pia | Away | 4–1 | W |
| 08/09 | Manchester City | Home | 0–2 | L |
📊 Season Comparison: Primeira Liga
Vitória SC #13 · 8 pts · FC Porto #1 · 30 pts
Vitória SC
FC Porto
⏱️ Goal Timing (season)
Vitória SC
FC Porto
Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.
More: Primeira Liga predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws