Villarreal vs Getafe
This page follows the latest fixture between these teams. Previous predictions stay on the record below.
Next match: Sun, 08 Nov 2026 • 20:30 UTC+3 • Round 12 • Estadio de la Ceramica • 🌦 18.8°C, 29 km/h, 0.7mm showers
Snapshotted at publish: Under 2.5 at 2.06 (51.8%, Model EV +6.7%). Prices move constantly, confirm at the bookmaker.
Best Bet selection: highest current Model EV among eligible candidates from 1X2, Double Chance, BTTS, Over/Under 2.5, Corners O/U 9.5 and Correct Score.
🎯 PredictLix Predictions
Predictions updated: 02 Nov 2026 07:08 UTC+3
| Market | Tip | Odds | Probability | Model EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result (1X2) | Home 1.55 → 1.53 ▼1% | 1xBet1.53 | 64.8% | -0.9% |
| Double Chance | 1X | 1xBet1.13 | 86.8% | -1.9% |
| BTTS | No | William Hill1.80 | 58.5% · Yes 41.5% | +5.3% |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 1xBet2.06 | 51.8% · Over 48.2% | +6.7% |
| Correct Score | 1-0 | William Hill6.50 | 14.8% | -3.8% |
| Corners O/U 9.5 (~10.3 exp.) | Over 9.5 | Betano1.75 | 55.7% · Under 44.3% | -2.5% |
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🧠 Match Preview
Villarreal · Home
Villarreal's recent record shows 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses from 5, with 10 goals scored and 6 conceded. Their latest home match ended 0-1 against Espanyol, and they also drew 0-0 at home with Elche, so the home venue has not been a reliable source of goals lately.
Getafe · Away
Getafe's recent record is 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses from 5, with 7 goals scored and 12 conceded. They won 3-1 at home against Sevilla but lost 0-4 away to Athletic Club, and their recent xG for of 0.78 is well below Villarreal's 2.28.
Home edge over low xG
The latest head-to-head was Getafe 2-1 Villarreal on 14 Feb 2026, but the prior meeting at Villarreal finished 2-0 in Villarreal's favour. Villarreal's recent xG for of 2.28 against Getafe's 0.78 points to a clear attacking gap, and the model gives Villarreal 1.65 expected goals against Getafe's 0.69. A 1-0 correct score at 14.8% fits a low-scoring home win, supported by the Under 2.5 pick at 51.8%. The evidence supports Villarreal win.
Published 02 Nov 2026 04:50 UTC+3. Analysis and numbers reflect the pre-match data snapshot available at publication.
⚽ Current model expected goals: Villarreal 1.65 – 0.69 Getafe · expected total 2.34
🔑 What Drives the Prediction
Villarreal
Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors, each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict — including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.
📈 Team Trends
Villarreal
Getafe
Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.
🏅 League Benchmarks: La Liga
Villarreal
No top-3 or bottom-2 marks in the league right now.
Getafe
Rank among 20 La Liga teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets are season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates cover the last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.
🏠 Home vs Away Records
Villarreal at home · Getafe away, the split that matters for this fixture.
Villarreal (home)
Getafe (away)
Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.
🎯 Most Likely Scores for the Selected 1X2 Outcome
Over/Under and BTTS tips are aligned with the leading scoreline. Alternative scores below may belong to other goal-total or BTTS outcomes. Percentages are estimated probabilities of the exact scores, not probabilities conditional on any scenario.
⚔️ Head-to-Head
Getafe 1 win · 4 draws · Villarreal 5 wins · avg 1.9 goals · BTTS in 6 of 10
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb 2026 | Getafe | 2–1 | Villarreal | La Liga |
| 06 Dec 2025 | Villarreal | 2–0 | Getafe | La Liga |
| 30 Mar 2025 | Getafe | 1–2 | Villarreal | La Liga |
| 20 Oct 2024 | Villarreal | 1–1 | Getafe | La Liga |
| 16 Feb 2024 | Villarreal | 1–1 | Getafe | La Liga |
| 30 Sep 2023 | Getafe | 0–0 | Villarreal | La Liga |
| 27 Feb 2023 | Villarreal | 2–1 | Getafe | La Liga |
| 28 Aug 2022 | Getafe | 0–0 | Villarreal | La Liga |
| 16 Apr 2022 | Getafe | 1–2 | Villarreal | La Liga |
| 07 Nov 2021 | Villarreal | 1–0 | Getafe | La Liga |
📈 Recent Form
Villarreal
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/10 | Espanyol | Home | 0–1 | L |
| 27/10 | Manacor | Away | 5–0 | W |
| 24/10 | Valencia | Away | 2–1 | W |
| 20/10 | Liverpool | Away | 3–4 | L |
| 17/10 | Elche | Home | 0–0 | D |
| 13/10 | Napoli | Home | 3–1 | W |
| 10/10 | Real Madrid | Away | 0–1 | L |
| 20/09 | Levante | Home | 3–1 | W |
| 17/09 | Malaga | Away | 3–1 | W |
| 14/09 | Real Betis | Home | 1–2 | L |
Getafe
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11 | Sevilla | Home | 3–1 | W |
| 25/10 | Athletic Club | Away | 0–4 | L |
| 22/10 | FC Lugano | Home | 2–5 | L |
| 19/10 | Rayo Vallecano | Home | 1–1 | D |
| 15/10 | Universitatea Craiova | Away | 1–1 | D |
| 10/10 | Barcelona | Away | 0–3 | L |
| 20/09 | Malaga | Home | 1–0 | W |
| 17/09 | Real Betis | Away | 0–1 | L |
| 13/09 | Deportivo La Coruna | Home | 1–1 | D |
| 07/09 | Celta Vigo | Home | 1–1 | D |
📊 Season Comparison: La Liga
Villarreal #8 · 12 pts · Getafe #12 · 12 pts
Villarreal
Getafe
⏱️ Goal Timing (season)
Villarreal
Getafe
Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.
🏥 Injuries & Suspensions
Villarreal
- ❌ A. Diatta: Suspended (Red Card)
- ❌ J. Foyth: Achilles Tendon Injury
- ❌ S. Comesana: Injury
- ❌ T. Buchanan: Muscle Injury
- ❌ N. Pepe: Eye injury
- ❌ I. Akhomach: Muscle Injury
- ❌ P. Gueye: Suspended (Red Card)
- ❌ N. Saliba: Injury
- ❌ C. Romero: Injury
Squad/transfer status (not counted as absences): W. Kambwala (Transfer negotiations).
Getafe
- ❌ Juanmi: Injury
- ❌ C. Uche: Knee Injury
- ❌ Kiko Femenia: Suspended (Red Card)
- ❌ M. Martin: Thigh Injury
- ❌ A. Abqar: Muscle Injury
- ❌ Francho: Injury
- ❌ A. Garcia: Injury
- ❌ Z. Romero: Suspended (Red Card)
- ❌ B. Mayoral: Injury
- ❌ Djene: Suspended (Red Card)
- ❌ O. Mangala: Muscle Injury
- ❌ J. Mojica: Suspended (Yellow Cards)
- ❌ I. Azon: Injury
⚠️ Status unconfirmed (listed inactive): R. Terrats; not counted as confirmed absences.
More: La Liga predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws