Inter vs Como
This page follows the latest fixture between these teams. Previous predictions stay on the record below.
Next match: Sun, 08 Nov 2026 • 20:00 UTC+3 • Round 11 • ☁️ 18.3°C, 16 km/h overcast
Snapshotted at publish: Yes at 1.45 (75.3%, Model EV +9.2%). Prices move constantly, confirm at the bookmaker.
Best Bet selection: highest current Model EV among eligible candidates from 1X2, Double Chance, BTTS, Over/Under 2.5, Corners O/U 9.5 and Correct Score.
🎯 PredictLix Predictions
Predictions updated: 02 Nov 2026 07:08 UTC+3
| Market | Tip | Odds | Probability | Model EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result (1X2) | Home | 1xBet1.81 | 56.9% | +3% |
| Double Chance | 12 | 1xBet1.25 | 79.3% | -0.9% |
| BTTS | Yes | Bet3651.50 | 75.2% · No 24.8% | +12.8% |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | Bet3651.50 | 69.1% · Under 30.9% | +3.6% |
| Correct Score | 2-1 | Betano9.00 | 8.1% | -27.1% |
| Corners O/U 9.5 (~9.3 exp.) | Under 9.5 | Current price not available | 51.8% · Over 48.2% | — |
Bookmaker links on this page: #ad · Play Safe · T&Cs apply · 18+
🧠 Match Preview
Inter · Home
Inter's recent form reads four wins from five, with the lone loss the 1-3 derby defeat to AC Milan. Their recent xG for of 2.57 across up to five matches with recorded statistics sits close to a model expected goals figure of 2.66 for this fixture.
Como · Away
Como arrive on a five-match winning run, scoring 13 and conceding 3 across those games. Their recent xG for of 1.8 is well below Inter's, and the model expected goals of 1.63 reflects a tougher assignment here.
Inter edge high-scoring H2H
The latest head-to-head is the clearest angle: Inter beat Como 3-2 on 21 Apr 2026, and the prior meeting finished 3-4 to Inter, so both recent encounters produced six or more combined goals. The 0-0 on 3 Mar 2026 is the outlier against that pattern. Como's five straight wins and Inter's 2.57 recent xG for keep this competitive, yet Inter's higher recent xG for and the 3-2 and 3-4 scorelines support a home edge. The model's 2-1 correct score fits a tight, high-scoring contest. The evidence supports Inter win.
Published 01 Nov 2026 22:48 UTC+3. This preview is preserved from the previous data snapshot. Analysis and numbers reflect that publication; current model predictions are shown in the table above.
⚽ Current model expected goals: Inter 2.63 – 1.63 Como · expected total 4.27
🔑 What Drives the Prediction
Inter
Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors, each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict — including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.
📈 Team Trends
Inter
Como
Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.
🏅 League Benchmarks: Serie A
Inter
Como
Rank among 20 Serie A teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets are season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates cover the last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.
🏠 Home vs Away Records
Inter at home · Como away, the split that matters for this fixture.
Inter (home)
Como (away)
Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.
🎯 Most Likely Scores for the Selected 1X2 Outcome
Over/Under and BTTS tips are aligned with the leading scoreline. Alternative scores below may belong to other goal-total or BTTS outcomes. Percentages are estimated probabilities of the exact scores, not probabilities conditional on any scenario.
⚔️ Head-to-Head
Como 0 wins · 1 draw · Inter 5 wins · avg 3.3 goals · BTTS in 2 of 6
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr 2026 | Inter | 3–2 | Como | Coppa Italia |
| 12 Apr 2026 | Como | 3–4 | Inter | Serie A |
| 03 Mar 2026 | Como | 0–0 | Inter | Coppa Italia |
| 06 Dec 2025 | Inter | 4–0 | Como | Serie A |
| 23 May 2025 | Como | 0–2 | Inter | Serie A |
| 23 Dec 2024 | Inter | 2–0 | Como | Serie A |
📈 Recent Form
Inter
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | AC Milan | Away | 1–3 | L |
| 28/10 | Venezia | Away | 2–0 | W |
| 25/10 | Fiorentina | Home | 2–1 | W |
| 21/10 | Shakhtar Donetsk | Home | 1–0 | W |
| 17/10 | Bologna | Away | 3–1 | W |
| 13/10 | Club Brugge KV | Home | 3–4 | L |
| 10/10 | Parma | Home | 3–0 | W |
| 03/10 | Lumezzane | Home | 2–0 | W |
| 19/09 | AS Roma | Away | 2–2 | D |
| 14/09 | Udinese | Home | 5–3 | W |
Como
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11 | Venezia | Home | 1–0 | W |
| 27/10 | Torino | Away | 3–1 | W |
| 24/10 | Sassuolo | Home | 2–0 | W |
| 21/10 | Manchester United | Home | 4–1 | W |
| 18/10 | Fiorentina | Away | 3–1 | W |
| 14/10 | Feyenoord | Away | 2–3 | L |
| 11/10 | AS Roma | Home | 0–0 | D |
| 20/09 | Frosinone | Away | 0–2 | L |
| 14/09 | Parma | Home | 2–1 | W |
| 10/09 | RB Leipzig | Home | 4–1 | W |
📊 Season Comparison: Serie A
Inter #2 · 25 pts · Como #4 · 23 pts
Inter
Como
⏱️ Goal Timing (season)
Inter
Como
Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.
🏥 Injuries & Suspensions
Inter
- ❌ H. Mkhitaryan: Suspended (Suspended)
- ❌ M. Spinacce: Injury
- ❌ D. Spence: Wound
- ❌ H. Calhanoglu: Muscle Injury
- ❌ J. Stones: Injury
- ❌ C. Jones: Thigh Injury
- ❌ L. Martinez: Thigh Injury
- ❌ B. Pavard: Thigh Injury
- ❌ Luis Henrique: Thigh Injury
Como
- ❌ J. Addai: Achilles Tendon Injury
- ❌ M. Kean: Leg Injury
- ❌ A. Diao: Thigh Injury
- ❌ T. Chalobah: Injury
- ❌ M. Liberali: Calf Injury
- ❌ J. Rodriguez: Injury
More: Serie A predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws