Predictions → Brazil Serie A

Atletico Paranaense vs Atletico-MG

Atletico Paranaense
2:2
Full Time · 08 Oct 2026
Atletico-MG

No upcoming fixture scheduled — showing the last meeting result and the pre-match predictions.

🎯 PredictLix Predictions — pre-match vs actual

MarketTipConfidenceProbabilityOddsBookmakerMarket impliedEdgeResult
Match Result (1X2) Home 81% 48.8% — — — — ❌
Double Chance 1X 73% 73.7% — — — — ✅
BTTS Yes 81% 49.1% — — — — ✅
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 81% 49.7% — — — — ❌
Correct Score 1-0 65% 8.3% — — — — ❌
Corners O/U 9.5 (~? exp.) Over 9.5 63% 54.1% — — — — ✅

⚽ Model expected goals: Atletico Paranaense 1.59 – 1.03 Atletico-MG · expected total 2.61

Predictions made before kick-off, shown against the actual result. Odds are the best price across every bookmaker in our feed — the Bookmaker column says who offers it. Market implied = the bookmaker's probability with margin removed (proportional de-vig across all outcomes — critical on Correct Score, where the book margin is huge; for Double Chance it is derived from the de-vigged 1X2 market instead). Positive edge = the model rates this outcome higher than the market.

📈 Team Trends

Atletico Paranaense

Unbeaten 3
BTTS
6/6
Over 2.5
6/6
Scored
6/6
Clean sheets
0/6

Atletico-MG

Unbeaten 5
BTTS
4/6
Over 2.5
3/6
Scored
5/6
Clean sheets
1/6

Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.

🏅 League Benchmarks — Serie A

Atletico Paranaense

3rd best attack (1.60 goals/game) Best BTTS rate (100%) Best Over 2.5 rate (100%)

Atletico-MG

No top-3 or bottom-2 marks in the league right now.

Rank among 20 Serie A teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets — season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates — last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.

🏠 Home vs Away Records

Atletico Paranaense at home · Atletico-MG away — the split that matters for this fixture.

Atletico Paranaense (home)

Wins–Draws–Losses9W–5D–1L
W 9
D 5
L 1
Played15
Goals scored (avg)1.80
Goals conceded (avg)0.90
Clean sheets5
Failed to score2

Atletico-MG (away)

Wins–Draws–Losses4W–3D–8L
W 4
D 3
L 8
Played15
Goals scored (avg)1.00
Goals conceded (avg)1.20
Clean sheets3
Failed to score8
Atletico Paranaense (home)Atletico-MG (away)
W 9
D 5
L 1
W 4
D 3
L 8
Played
15
15
Goals scored (avg)
1.80
1.00
Goals conceded (avg)
0.90
1.20
Clean sheets
5
3
Failed to score
2
8

Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.

📈 Recent Form

Atletico Paranaense

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
08/10 Atletico-MG Home 2–2 D
20/09 Bahia Home 2–1 W
12/09 Coritiba Away 3–3 D
06/09 Cruzeiro Away 1–3 L
30/08 Fluminense Home 3–3 D

Atletico-MG

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
11/10 Santos Home 2–1 W
08/10 Atletico Paranaense Away 2–2 D
03/10 RB Bragantino Home 1–0 W
19/09 Chapecoense-sc Home 1–1 D
12/09 Fluminense Home 3–1 W

📊 Season Comparison — Serie A

Atletico Paranaense #4 · 50 pts —  Atletico-MG #7 · 47 pts

Atletico Paranaense

Wins–Draws–Losses14W–8D–7L
W 14
D 8
L 7
Played29
Goals scored (avg)1.60
Goals conceded (avg)1.20
Clean sheets8
Failed to score6
Yellow cards57
Red cards2
xG for (avg)0.64
xG against (avg)1.00
Corners for (avg)4.30
Penalties (scored/missed)5/1

Atletico-MG

Wins–Draws–Losses13W–8D–9L
W 13
D 8
L 9
Played30
Goals scored (avg)1.40
Goals conceded (avg)1.20
Clean sheets7
Failed to score9
Yellow cards53
Red cards4
xG for (avg)1.11
xG against (avg)0.47
Corners for (avg)5.80
Penalties (scored/missed)2/0
Atletico ParanaenseAtletico-MG
W 14
D 8
L 7
W 13
D 8
L 9
Played
29
30
Goals scored (avg)
1.60
1.40
Goals conceded (avg)
1.20
1.20
Clean sheets
8
7
Failed to score
6
9
Yellow cards
57
53
Red cards
2
4
xG for (avg)
0.64
1.11
xG against (avg)
1.00
0.47
Corners for (avg)
4.30
5.80
Penalties (scored/missed)
5/1
2/0

⏱️ Goal Timing (season)

Atletico Paranaense

5
0-15
12
7
16-30
4
7
31-45
3
1
46-60
11
3
61-75
4
11
76-90
11
scored conceded

Atletico-MG

4
0-15
3
3
16-30
9
5
31-45
7
4
46-60
2
8
61-75
10
12
76-90
9
scored conceded

Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.

🏥 Injuries & Suspensions

Atletico Paranaense

  • ❌ Felipinho — Inactive
  • ❌ Luiz Gustavo — Inactive
  • ❌ Renan Peixoto — Injury
  • ❌ A. Garcia Castillo — Inactive
  • ❌ Isaac — Inactive
  • ❌ C. Teran — Muscle Injury
  • ❌ B. Zapelli — Red Card
  • ❌ Bruninho — International duty
  • ❌ Arthur Dias — Yellow Cards
  • ❌ Chiqueti — Illness
  • ❌ G. Benavidez — Inactive
  • ❌ Gilberto Junior — Loan agreement
  • ❌ Julimar — Injury
  • ❌ Jadson — Yellow Cards
  • ❌ L. Esquivel — Red Card
  • ❌ K. Viveros — Yellow Cards
  • ❌ J. Portilla — Yellow Cards
  • ❌ Leo Derik — Injury
  • ❌ Mycael — Inactive
  • ❌ Dantas — Suspended
  • ❌ Claudinho — Muscle Injury
  • ❌ Santos — Yellow Cards
  • ❌ Gilberto — Ankle Injury
  • ❌ Joao Cruz — Yellow Cards
  • ❌ K. A. Calderon Vargas — Inactive
  • ❌ F. Aguirre — Yellow Cards
  • ❓ Renan Viana (doubtful) — Inactive

Atletico-MG

  • ❌ Lyanco — Achilles Tendon Injury
  • ❌ A. Preciado — Ankle Injury
  • ❌ I. Roman — Inactive
  • ❌ Rony — Inactive
  • ❌ Alexsander — Injury
  • ❌ M. Cassierra — Lacking Match Fitness
  • ❌ Junior Santos — Inactive
  • ❌ M. Cisse — Leg Injury
  • ❌ Maycon — Calf Injury
  • ❌ Natanael — Red Card
  • ❌ Vitor Hugo — Inactive
  • ❌ Ruan Tressoldi — Yellow Cards
  • ❌ A. Minda — Inactive
  • ❌ Patrick Silva — Injury
  • ❌ Indio — Knee Injury
  • ❌ R. Lodi — Red Card
  • ❌ Cuello — Injury
  • ❌ A. Franco — Yellow Cards
  • ❌ Hulk — Inactive
  • ❌ Victor Hugo — Hamstring Injury
  • ❌ Gustavo Scarpa — Knee Injury
  • ❌ J. Alonso — International duty
  • ❌ L. Duarte — Hamstring Injury
  • ❌ Igor Gomes — Knee Injury
  • ❌ T. Borbas — Muscle Injury
  • ❌ Everson — Foot Injury
  • ❌ T. Perez — Injury
  • ❌ Reinier — Muscle Injury
  • ❌ Fred — Injury
  • ❌ K. Castano — International duty
  • ❌ K. Pascini — International duty
  • ❌ Vitao — International duty

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