Predictions → Brazil Serie A

Atletico-MG vs Chapecoense-sc

Atletico-MG
1:1
Full Time · 19 Sep 2026
Chapecoense-sc

No upcoming fixture scheduled — showing the last meeting result and the pre-match predictions.

🎯 PredictLix Predictions — pre-match vs actual

MarketTipConfidenceProbabilityOddsBookmakerMarket impliedEdgeResult
Match Result (1X2) Home 89% 68.1% @1.37 — 73.5% -5.4 pp ❌
Double Chance 1X 79% 83.1% — — 91.2% -8.1 pp ✅
BTTS Yes 83% 52.4% — — — — ✅
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 83% 52.2% @1.72 — 55.9% -3.7 pp ❌
Correct Score 1-0 67% 9.9% — — — — ❌
Corners O/U 9.5 (~? exp.) Over 9.5 64% 54.8% @1.57 — 59.3% -4.5 pp ✅

⚽ Model expected goals: Atletico-MG 1.76 – 0.83 Chapecoense-sc · expected total 2.59

Predictions made before kick-off, shown against the actual result. Odds are the best price across every bookmaker in our feed — the Bookmaker column says who offers it. Market implied = the bookmaker's probability with margin removed (proportional de-vig across all outcomes — critical on Correct Score, where the book margin is huge; for Double Chance it is derived from the de-vigged 1X2 market instead). Positive edge = the model rates this outcome higher than the market.

📈 Team Trends

Atletico-MG

Unbeaten 5
BTTS
4/6
Over 2.5
3/6
Scored
5/6
Clean sheets
1/6

Chapecoense-sc

Winless 4
BTTS
5/6
Over 2.5
4/6
Scored
5/6
Clean sheets
0/6

Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.

🏅 League Benchmarks — Serie A

Atletico-MG

No top-3 or bottom-2 marks in the league right now.

Chapecoense-sc

2nd worst attack (1.00 goals/game) Worst defence (2.00 conceded/game) 2nd best BTTS rate (83%) 2nd worst clean sheets (2)

Rank among 20 Serie A teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets — season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates — last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.

🏠 Home vs Away Records

Atletico-MG at home · Chapecoense-sc away — the split that matters for this fixture.

Atletico-MG (home)

Wins–Draws–Losses9W–5D–1L
W 9
D 5
L 1
Played15
Goals scored (avg)1.70
Goals conceded (avg)1.10
Clean sheets4
Failed to score1

Chapecoense-sc (away)

Wins–Draws–Losses1W–4D–10L
W 1
D 4
L 10
Played15
Goals scored (avg)0.70
Goals conceded (avg)1.90
Clean sheets0
Failed to score6
Atletico-MG (home)Chapecoense-sc (away)
W 9
D 5
L 1
W 1
D 4
L 10
Played
15
15
Goals scored (avg)
1.70
0.70
Goals conceded (avg)
1.10
1.90
Clean sheets
4
0
Failed to score
1
6

Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.

⚔️ Head-to-Head

Atletico-MG 2 wins · 4 draws · Chapecoense-sc 3 wins · avg 3 goals · BTTS in 5 of 9

2
4
3
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
02 Apr 2026 Chapecoense-sc 0–4 Atletico-MG Serie A
06 Oct 2021 Chapecoense-sc 2–2 Atletico-MG Serie A
21 Jun 2021 Atletico-MG 1–1 Chapecoense-sc Serie A
30 Oct 2019 Atletico-MG 0–2 Chapecoense-SC Serie A
14 Jul 2019 Chapecoense-SC 1–2 Atletico-MG Serie A
06 Oct 2018 Chapecoense-sc 1–0 Atletico-MG Serie A
02 Jun 2018 Atletico-MG 3–3 Chapecoense-sc Serie A
02 May 2018 Atletico-MG 0–0 Chapecoense-SC Copa Do Brasil
18 Oct 2017 Atletico-MG 2–3 Chapecoense-sc Serie A

📈 Recent Form

Atletico-MG

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
11/10 Santos Home 2–1 W
08/10 Atletico Paranaense Away 2–2 D
03/10 RB Bragantino Home 1–0 W
19/09 Chapecoense-sc Home 1–1 D
12/09 Fluminense Home 3–1 W

Chapecoense-sc

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
07/10 Vitoria Away 0–4 L
26/09 Atletico Nacional Away 1–1 D
19/09 Atletico-MG Away 1–1 D
12/09 Internacional Home 1–2 L
06/09 Corinthians Away 2–1 W

📊 Season Comparison — Serie A

Atletico-MG #7 · 47 pts —  Chapecoense-sc #20 · 18 pts

Atletico-MG

Wins–Draws–Losses13W–8D–9L
W 13
D 8
L 9
Played30
Goals scored (avg)1.40
Goals conceded (avg)1.20
Clean sheets7
Failed to score9
Yellow cards53
Red cards4
xG for (avg)1.11
xG against (avg)0.47
Corners for (avg)5.80
Penalties (scored/missed)2/0

Chapecoense-sc

Wins–Draws–Losses3W–9D–16L
W 3
D 9
L 16
Played28
Goals scored (avg)1.00
Goals conceded (avg)2.00
Clean sheets2
Failed to score9
Yellow cards64
Red cards2
xG for (avg)1.01
xG against (avg)1.06
Corners for (avg)3.80
Penalties (scored/missed)2/1
Atletico-MGChapecoense-sc
W 13
D 8
L 9
W 3
D 9
L 16
Played
30
28
Goals scored (avg)
1.40
1.00
Goals conceded (avg)
1.20
2.00
Clean sheets
7
2
Failed to score
9
9
Yellow cards
53
64
Red cards
4
2
xG for (avg)
1.11
1.01
xG against (avg)
0.47
1.06
Corners for (avg)
5.80
3.80
Penalties (scored/missed)
2/0
2/1

⏱️ Goal Timing (season)

Atletico-MG

4
0-15
3
3
16-30
9
5
31-45
7
4
46-60
2
8
61-75
10
12
76-90
9
scored conceded

Chapecoense-sc

5
0-15
1
11
16-30
6
6
31-45
5
14
46-60
5
11
61-75
3
9
76-90
10
scored conceded

Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.

🏥 Injuries & Suspensions

Atletico-MG

  • ❌ Lyanco — Achilles Tendon Injury
  • ❌ A. Preciado — Ankle Injury
  • ❌ I. Roman — Inactive
  • ❌ Rony — Inactive
  • ❌ Alexsander — Injury
  • ❌ M. Cassierra — Lacking Match Fitness
  • ❌ Junior Santos — Inactive
  • ❌ M. Cisse — Leg Injury
  • ❌ Maycon — Calf Injury
  • ❌ Natanael — Red Card
  • ❌ Vitor Hugo — Inactive
  • ❌ Ruan Tressoldi — Yellow Cards
  • ❌ A. Minda — Inactive
  • ❌ Patrick Silva — Injury
  • ❌ Indio — Knee Injury
  • ❌ R. Lodi — Red Card
  • ❌ Cuello — Injury
  • ❌ A. Franco — Yellow Cards
  • ❌ Hulk — Inactive
  • ❌ Victor Hugo — Hamstring Injury
  • ❌ Gustavo Scarpa — Knee Injury
  • ❌ J. Alonso — International duty
  • ❌ L. Duarte — Hamstring Injury
  • ❌ Igor Gomes — Knee Injury
  • ❌ T. Borbas — Muscle Injury
  • ❌ Everson — Foot Injury
  • ❌ T. Perez — Injury
  • ❌ Reinier — Muscle Injury
  • ❌ Fred — Injury
  • ❌ K. Castano — International duty
  • ❌ K. Pascini — International duty
  • ❌ Vitao — International duty

Chapecoense-sc

  • ❌ Bruno Matias — Knee Injury
  • ❌ Mancha — Knee Injury
  • ❌ Neto Pessoa — Inactive
  • ❌ Rafael Thyere — Inactive
  • ❌ Robert Conceicao — Inactive
  • ❌ Marcos Vinicius — Inactive
  • ❌ Mauricio Garcez — Inactive
  • ❌ Camilo Reijers — Loan agreement
  • ❌ Everton — Red Card
  • ❌ Giovanni Augusto — Injury
  • ❌ Italo — Injury
  • ❌ Eduardo Doma — Red Card
  • ❌ Bruno Leonardo — Yellow Cards
  • ❌ Kauan — Inactive
  • ❌ Y. Bolasie — Yellow Cards
  • ❌ Victor Caetano — Calf Injury
  • ❌ Anderson — Injury
  • ❌ Joao Paulo — Injury
  • ❌ Max Alves — Injury
  • ❌ Rafael Carvalheira — Inactive
  • ❌ Bruno Tubarao — Inactive
  • ❌ Bruno Pacheco — Yellow Cards
  • ❌ Vinicius Balieiro — Inactive
  • ❌ Heitor — Hamstring Injury
  • ❌ Fernando — Yellow Cards
  • ❓ Dudu Marques (doubtful) — Inactive

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