Predictions → Brazil Serie A

Atletico-MG vs Fluminense

Atletico-MG
3:1
Full Time · 12 Sep 2026
Fluminense

No upcoming fixture scheduled — showing the last meeting result and the pre-match predictions.

🎯 PredictLix Predictions — pre-match vs actual

MarketTipConfidenceProbabilityOddsBookmakerMarket impliedEdgeResult
Match Result (1X2) Home 78% 43.9% @2.06 — 48.4% -4.5 pp ✅
Double Chance 12 72% 73.1% @1.34 — 71.7% +1.4 pp ❌
BTTS Yes 80% 48.2% @1.89 — 48.9% -0.7 pp ✅
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 80% 46.8% @1.70 — 56.6% -9.8 pp ❌
Correct Score 1-1 68% 10.1% @6.00 — 7.1% +3 pp ❌
Corners O/U 9.5 (~? exp.) Over 9.5 58% 47.6% @1.68 — 55.8% -8.2 pp ❌

Predictions made before kick-off, shown against the actual result. Odds are the best price across every bookmaker in our feed — the Bookmaker column says who offers it. Market implied = the bookmaker's probability with margin removed (proportional de-vig across all outcomes — critical on Correct Score, where the book margin is huge; for Double Chance it is derived from the de-vigged 1X2 market instead). Positive edge = the model rates this outcome higher than the market.

📈 Team Trends

Atletico-MG

Unbeaten 5
BTTS
4/6
Over 2.5
3/6
Scored
5/6
Clean sheets
1/6

Fluminense

BTTS
3/6
Over 2.5
4/6
Scored
5/6
Clean sheets
2/6

Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.

🏅 League Benchmarks — Serie A

Atletico-MG

No top-3 or bottom-2 marks in the league right now.

Fluminense

3rd best attack (1.60 goals/game)

Rank among 20 Serie A teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets — season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates — last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.

🏠 Home vs Away Records

Atletico-MG at home · Fluminense away — the split that matters for this fixture.

Atletico-MG (home)

Wins–Draws–Losses9W–5D–1L
W 9
D 5
L 1
Played15
Goals scored (avg)1.70
Goals conceded (avg)1.10
Clean sheets4
Failed to score1

Fluminense (away)

Wins–Draws–Losses3W–6D–6L
W 3
D 6
L 6
Played15
Goals scored (avg)1.30
Goals conceded (avg)1.50
Clean sheets1
Failed to score3
Atletico-MG (home)Fluminense (away)
W 9
D 5
L 1
W 3
D 6
L 6
Played
15
15
Goals scored (avg)
1.70
1.30
Goals conceded (avg)
1.10
1.50
Clean sheets
4
1
Failed to score
1
3

Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.

⚔️ Head-to-Head

Atletico-MG 4 wins · 2 draws · Fluminense 4 wins · avg 2.4 goals · BTTS in 3 of 10

4
2
4
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
21 Mar 2026 Fluminense 1–0 Atletico-MG Serie A
04 Oct 2025 Fluminense 3–0 Atletico-MG Serie A
11 May 2025 Atletico-MG 3–2 Fluminense Serie A
25 Sep 2024 Atletico-MG 2–0 Fluminense CONMEBOL Libertadores
18 Sep 2024 Fluminense 1–0 Atletico-MG CONMEBOL Libertadores
25 Aug 2024 Atletico-MG 0–2 Fluminense Serie A
04 May 2024 Fluminense 2–2 Atletico-MG Serie A
29 Oct 2023 Atletico-MG 2–0 Fluminense Serie A
22 Jun 2023 Fluminense 1–1 Atletico-MG Serie A
01 Oct 2022 Atletico-MG 2–0 Fluminense Serie A

📈 Recent Form

Atletico-MG

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
11/10 Santos Home 2–1 W
08/10 Atletico Paranaense Away 2–2 D
03/10 RB Bragantino Home 1–0 W
19/09 Chapecoense-sc Home 1–1 D
12/09 Fluminense Home 3–1 W

Fluminense

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
11/10 Flamengo Away 0–1 L
09/10 Coritiba Home 4–0 W
20/09 Corinthians Away 3–1 W
15/09 Platense Away 1–2 L
12/09 Atletico-MG Away 1–3 L

📊 Season Comparison — Serie A

Atletico-MG #7 · 47 pts —  Fluminense #3 · 51 pts

Atletico-MG

Wins–Draws–Losses13W–8D–9L
W 13
D 8
L 9
Played30
Goals scored (avg)1.40
Goals conceded (avg)1.20
Clean sheets7
Failed to score9
Yellow cards53
Red cards4
xG for (avg)1.11
xG against (avg)0.47
Corners for (avg)5.80
Penalties (scored/missed)2/0

Fluminense

Wins–Draws–Losses14W–9D–7L
W 14
D 9
L 7
Played30
Goals scored (avg)1.60
Goals conceded (avg)1.20
Clean sheets6
Failed to score4
Yellow cards75
Red cards2
xG for (avg)0.81
xG against (avg)1.09
Corners for (avg)1.70
Penalties (scored/missed)2/0
Atletico-MGFluminense
W 13
D 8
L 9
W 14
D 9
L 7
Played
30
30
Goals scored (avg)
1.40
1.60
Goals conceded (avg)
1.20
1.20
Clean sheets
7
6
Failed to score
9
4
Yellow cards
53
75
Red cards
4
2
xG for (avg)
1.11
0.81
xG against (avg)
0.47
1.09
Corners for (avg)
5.80
1.70
Penalties (scored/missed)
2/0
2/0

⏱️ Goal Timing (season)

Atletico-MG

4
0-15
3
3
16-30
9
5
31-45
7
4
46-60
2
8
61-75
10
12
76-90
9
scored conceded

Fluminense

6
0-15
2
1
16-30
8
5
31-45
8
6
46-60
8
9
61-75
6
10
76-90
16
scored conceded

Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.

🏥 Injuries & Suspensions

Atletico-MG

  • ❌ Lyanco — Achilles Tendon Injury
  • ❌ A. Preciado — Ankle Injury
  • ❌ I. Roman — Inactive
  • ❌ Rony — Inactive
  • ❌ Alexsander — Injury
  • ❌ M. Cassierra — Lacking Match Fitness
  • ❌ Junior Santos — Inactive
  • ❌ M. Cisse — Leg Injury
  • ❌ Maycon — Calf Injury
  • ❌ Natanael — Red Card
  • ❌ Vitor Hugo — Inactive
  • ❌ Ruan Tressoldi — Yellow Cards
  • ❌ A. Minda — Inactive
  • ❌ Patrick Silva — Injury
  • ❌ Indio — Knee Injury
  • ❌ R. Lodi — Red Card
  • ❌ Cuello — Injury
  • ❌ A. Franco — Yellow Cards
  • ❌ Hulk — Inactive
  • ❌ Victor Hugo — Hamstring Injury
  • ❌ Gustavo Scarpa — Knee Injury
  • ❌ J. Alonso — International duty
  • ❌ L. Duarte — Hamstring Injury
  • ❌ Igor Gomes — Knee Injury
  • ❌ T. Borbas — Muscle Injury
  • ❌ Everson — Foot Injury
  • ❌ T. Perez — Injury
  • ❌ Reinier — Muscle Injury
  • ❌ Fred — Injury
  • ❌ K. Castano — International duty
  • ❌ K. Pascini — International duty
  • ❌ Vitao — International duty

Fluminense

  • ❌ G. Cano — Inactive
  • ❌ Hercules — Inactive
  • ❌ Y. Soteldo — Inactive
  • ❌ Everaldo — Inactive
  • ❌ J. Savarino — Inactive
  • ❌ Nonato — Injury
  • ❌ A. Canobbio — Red Card
  • ❌ F. Bernal — Injury
  • ❌ PH Ganso — Inactive
  • ❌ Matheus Reis — Knee Injury
  • ❌ L. Acosta — Yellow Cards
  • ❌ Martinelli — Yellow Cards
  • ❌ Alisson — Yellow Cards
  • ❌ Ignacio — Broken Hand
  • ❌ R. Castillo — Inactive
  • ❌ J. Freytes — Yellow Cards
  • ❌ Vitor Eudes — Inactive
  • ❌ John Kennedy — Red Card
  • ❌ J. Millan — Thigh Injury
  • ❌ Guilherme Arana — Injury
  • ❌ Thiago Silva — Thigh Injury
  • ❌ Guga — Yellow Cards
  • ❌ Igor Rabello — Injury
  • ❌ Samuel Xavier — Shoulder Injury
  • ❌ Hulk — Inactive
  • ❌ Rene — Inactive
  • ❓ Jemmes (doubtful) — Inactive

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