Predictions → Brazil Serie A

Atletico-MG vs RB Bragantino

Atletico-MG
1:0
Full Time · 03 Oct 2026
RB Bragantino

No upcoming fixture scheduled — showing the last meeting result and the pre-match predictions.

🎯 PredictLix Predictions — pre-match vs actual

MarketTipConfidenceProbabilityOddsBookmakerMarket impliedEdgeResult
Match Result (1X2) Home 81% 49.5% @2.15 — 47% +2.5 pp ✅
Double Chance 1X 78% 80.9% @1.33 — 73.2% +7.7 pp ✅
BTTS Yes 82% 50.9% @1.67 — 57.4% -6.5 pp ❌
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 81% 48.3% @2.02 — 47.9% +0.4 pp ✅
Correct Score 1-0 72% 12.4% @8.50 — 6% +6.4 pp ✅
Corners O/U 9.5 (~? exp.) Over 9.5 65% 55.8% @1.67 — 58.5% -2.7 pp ✅

⚽ Model expected goals: Atletico-MG 1.54 – 0.72 RB Bragantino · expected total 2.26

Predictions made before kick-off, shown against the actual result. Odds are the best price across every bookmaker in our feed — the Bookmaker column says who offers it. Market implied = the bookmaker's probability with margin removed (proportional de-vig across all outcomes — critical on Correct Score, where the book margin is huge; for Double Chance it is derived from the de-vigged 1X2 market instead). Positive edge = the model rates this outcome higher than the market.

📈 Team Trends

Atletico-MG

Unbeaten 4
BTTS
3/6
Over 2.5
2/6
Scored
4/6
Clean sheets
1/6

RB Bragantino

Winless 6
BTTS
5/6
Over 2.5
3/6
Scored
5/6
Clean sheets
0/6

Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.

🏅 League Benchmarks — Serie A

Atletico-MG

No top-3 or bottom-2 marks in the league right now.

RB Bragantino

3rd best defence (1.10 conceded/game) 2nd best BTTS rate (83%)

Rank among 20 Serie A teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets — season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates — last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.

🏠 Home vs Away Records

Atletico-MG at home · RB Bragantino away — the split that matters for this fixture.

Atletico-MG (home)

Wins–Draws–Losses8W–5D–1L
W 8
D 5
L 1
Played14
Goals scored (avg)1.70
Goals conceded (avg)1.10
Clean sheets4
Failed to score1

RB Bragantino (away)

Wins–Draws–Losses4W–4D–7L
W 4
D 4
L 7
Played15
Goals scored (avg)0.90
Goals conceded (avg)1.20
Clean sheets3
Failed to score4
Atletico-MG (home)RB Bragantino (away)
W 8
D 5
L 1
W 4
D 4
L 7
Played
14
15
Goals scored (avg)
1.70
0.90
Goals conceded (avg)
1.10
1.20
Clean sheets
4
3
Failed to score
1
4

Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.

⚔️ Head-to-Head

Atletico-MG 6 wins · 2 draws · RB Bragantino 2 wins · avg 2.3 goals · BTTS in 5 of 10

6
2
2
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
03 Oct 2026 Atletico-MG 1–0 RB Bragantino Serie A
19 Aug 2026 Atletico-MG 2–2 RB Bragantino CONMEBOL Sudamericana
12 Aug 2026 RB Bragantino 0–1 Atletico-MG CONMEBOL Sudamericana
04 Feb 2026 RB Bragantino 1–0 Atletico-MG Serie A
16 Nov 2025 RB Bragantino 2–0 Atletico-MG Serie A
03 Aug 2025 Atletico-MG 2–1 RB Bragantino Serie A
22 Sep 2024 Atletico-MG 3–0 RB Bragantino Serie A
12 Jun 2024 RB Bragantino 1–2 Atletico-MG Serie A
26 Oct 2023 RB Bragantino 1–2 Atletico-MG Serie A
10 Jun 2023 Atletico-MG 1–1 RB Bragantino Serie A

📈 Recent Form

Atletico-MG

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
08/10 Atletico Paranaense Away 2–2 D
03/10 RB Bragantino Home 1–0 W
19/09 Chapecoense-sc Home 1–1 D
12/09 Fluminense Home 3–1 W
09/09 Santos Away 0–2 L

RB Bragantino

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
07/10 Mirassol Home 1–1 D
03/10 Atletico-MG Away 0–1 L
20/09 Flamengo Away 1–2 L
12/09 Botafogo Away 1–1 D
05/09 Bahia Home 2–3 L

📊 Season Comparison — Serie A

Atletico-MG #6 · 47 pts —  RB Bragantino #11 · 37 pts

Atletico-MG

Wins–Draws–Losses13W–8D–9L
W 13
D 8
L 9
Played30
Goals scored (avg)1.30
Goals conceded (avg)1.20
Clean sheets7
Failed to score9
Yellow cards50
Red cards4
xG for (avg)1.11
xG against (avg)0.47
Corners for (avg)5.80
Penalties (scored/missed)2/0

RB Bragantino

Wins–Draws–Losses10W–7D–12L
W 10
D 7
L 12
Played29
Goals scored (avg)1.20
Goals conceded (avg)1.10
Clean sheets8
Failed to score7
Yellow cards77
Red cards5
xG for (avg)0.92
xG against (avg)1.07
Corners for (avg)6.10
Penalties (scored/missed)2/3
Atletico-MGRB Bragantino
W 13
D 8
L 9
W 10
D 7
L 12
Played
30
29
Goals scored (avg)
1.30
1.20
Goals conceded (avg)
1.20
1.10
Clean sheets
7
8
Failed to score
9
7
Yellow cards
50
77
Red cards
4
5
xG for (avg)
1.11
0.92
xG against (avg)
0.47
1.07
Corners for (avg)
5.80
6.10
Penalties (scored/missed)
2/0
2/3

⏱️ Goal Timing (season)

Atletico-MG

4
0-15
3
3
16-30
9
5
31-45
7
4
46-60
2
8
61-75
10
11
76-90
7
scored conceded

RB Bragantino

4
0-15
3
7
16-30
4
4
31-45
8
10
46-60
7
6
61-75
3
6
76-90
5
scored conceded

Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.

🏥 Injuries & Suspensions

Atletico-MG

  • ❌ Lyanco — Achilles Tendon Injury
  • ❌ A. Preciado — Ankle Injury
  • ❌ I. Roman — Inactive
  • ❌ Rony — Inactive
  • ❌ Alexsander — Injury
  • ❌ M. Cassierra — Lacking Match Fitness
  • ❌ Junior Santos — Inactive
  • ❌ M. Cisse — Leg Injury
  • ❌ Maycon — Calf Injury
  • ❌ Natanael — Red Card
  • ❌ Vitor Hugo — Inactive
  • ❌ Ruan Tressoldi — Yellow Cards
  • ❌ A. Minda — Inactive
  • ❌ Patrick Silva — Injury
  • ❌ Indio — Knee Injury
  • ❌ R. Lodi — Red Card
  • ❌ Cuello — Injury
  • ❌ A. Franco — Yellow Cards
  • ❌ Hulk — Inactive
  • ❌ Victor Hugo — Hamstring Injury
  • ❌ Gustavo Scarpa — Knee Injury
  • ❌ J. Alonso — International duty
  • ❌ L. Duarte — Hamstring Injury
  • ❌ Igor Gomes — Knee Injury
  • ❌ T. Borbas — Muscle Injury
  • ❌ Everson — Foot Injury
  • ❌ T. Perez — Injury
  • ❌ Reinier — Muscle Injury
  • ❌ Fred — Injury
  • ❌ K. Castano — International duty
  • ❌ K. Pascini — International duty
  • ❌ Vitao — International duty

RB Bragantino

  • ❌ Jhon Jhon — Inactive
  • ❌ I. Pitta — Inactive
  • ❌ G. Rodriguez — Knee Injury
  • ❌ Vanderlan — Inactive
  • ❌ Alix Vinicius — Injury
  • ❌ Eduardo Sasha — Inactive
  • ❌ Fabricio — Inactive
  • ❌ Gabriel — Yellow Cards
  • ❌ Gustavo Marques — Suspended
  • ❌ A. Sant'Anna — Inactive
  • ❌ Fabinho — Red Card
  • ❌ Fernando Santos — Ankle Injury
  • ❌ Juninho Capixaba — Yellow Cards
  • ❌ Lucas Barbosa — Yellow Cards
  • ❌ Davi Gomes — Inactive
  • ❌ I. Sosa — Yellow Cards
  • ❌ J. Herrera — Yellow Cards
  • ❌ Eduardo Santos — Hamstring Injury
  • ❌ H. Mosquera — Inactive
  • ❌ R. Tavares — Inactive
  • ❌ Matheus Fernandes — Hamstring Injury
  • ❌ Pedro Henrique — Yellow Cards
  • ❌ A. Hurtado — International duty
  • ❌ Bruninho — Muscle Injury
  • ❌ Caue Nascimento — Muscle Injury
  • ❌ Wallace Yan — Red Card
  • ❓ Rodriguinho (doubtful) — Injury

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