Predictions → Brazil Serie A

Atletico-MG vs Santos

Atletico-MG
2:1
Full Time · 11 Oct 2026
Santos

No upcoming fixture scheduled — showing the last meeting result and the pre-match predictions.

🎯 PredictLix Predictions — pre-match vs actual

MarketTipConfidenceProbabilityOddsBookmakerMarket impliedEdgeResult
Match Result (1X2) Home 78% 41.7% @2.21 — 44.9% -3.2 pp ✅
Double Chance 1X 70% 70.2% @1.35 — 71.6% -1.4 pp ✅
BTTS Yes 81% 49.8% @1.67 — 56.8% -7 pp ✅
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 80% 48.2% @2.06 — 47.3% +0.9 pp ❌
Correct Score 1-0 66% 9.4% @9.00 — 5.6% +3.8 pp ❌
Corners O/U 9.5 (~? exp.) Over 9.5 64% 55% @1.60 — 58.7% -3.7 pp ✅

⚽ Model expected goals: Atletico-MG 1.32 – 1.00 Santos · expected total 2.32

Predictions made before kick-off, shown against the actual result. Odds are the best price across every bookmaker in our feed — the Bookmaker column says who offers it. Market implied = the bookmaker's probability with margin removed (proportional de-vig across all outcomes — critical on Correct Score, where the book margin is huge; for Double Chance it is derived from the de-vigged 1X2 market instead). Positive edge = the model rates this outcome higher than the market.

📈 Team Trends

Atletico-MG

Unbeaten 4
BTTS
3/6
Over 2.5
2/6
Scored
4/6
Clean sheets
1/6

Santos

Unbeaten 8
BTTS
5/6
Over 2.5
5/6
Scored
6/6
Clean sheets
1/6

Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.

🏅 League Benchmarks — Serie A

Atletico-MG

No top-3 or bottom-2 marks in the league right now.

Santos

2nd best BTTS rate (83%) 3rd best Over 2.5 rate (83%)

Rank among 20 Serie A teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets — season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates — last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.

🏠 Home vs Away Records

Atletico-MG at home · Santos away — the split that matters for this fixture.

Atletico-MG (home)

Wins–Draws–Losses8W–5D–1L
W 8
D 5
L 1
Played14
Goals scored (avg)1.70
Goals conceded (avg)1.10
Clean sheets4
Failed to score1

Santos (away)

Wins–Draws–Losses5W–4D–5L
W 5
D 4
L 5
Played14
Goals scored (avg)1.60
Goals conceded (avg)1.60
Clean sheets3
Failed to score1
Atletico-MG (home)Santos (away)
W 8
D 5
L 1
W 5
D 4
L 5
Played
14
14
Goals scored (avg)
1.70
1.60
Goals conceded (avg)
1.10
1.60
Clean sheets
4
3
Failed to score
1
1

Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.

⚔️ Head-to-Head

Atletico-MG 3 wins · 3 draws · Santos 3 wins · avg 2 goals · BTTS in 4 of 9

3
3
3
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
09 Sep 2026 Santos 2–0 Atletico-MG CONMEBOL Sudamericana
11 Apr 2026 Santos 1–0 Atletico-MG Serie A
14 Sep 2025 Atletico-MG 1–1 Santos Serie A
17 Apr 2025 Santos 2–0 Atletico-MG Serie A
27 Aug 2023 Atletico-MG 2–0 Santos Serie A
23 Apr 2023 Santos 0–0 Atletico-MG Serie A
06 Oct 2022 Santos 1–2 Atletico-MG Serie A
11 Jun 2022 Atletico-MG 1–1 Santos Serie A
13 Oct 2021 Atletico-MG 3–1 Santos Serie A

📈 Recent Form

Atletico-MG

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
08/10 Atletico Paranaense Away 2–2 D
03/10 RB Bragantino Home 1–0 W
19/09 Chapecoense-sc Home 1–1 D
12/09 Fluminense Home 3–1 W
09/09 Santos Away 0–2 L

Santos

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
08/10 Flamengo Home 2–2 D
02/10 Sao Paulo Away 2–1 W
19/09 Remo Away 2–1 W
13/09 Cruzeiro Home 2–1 W
09/09 Atletico-MG Home 2–0 W

📊 Season Comparison — Serie A

Atletico-MG #6 · 47 pts —  Santos #8 · 42 pts

Atletico-MG

Wins–Draws–Losses13W–8D–9L
W 13
D 8
L 9
Played30
Goals scored (avg)1.30
Goals conceded (avg)1.20
Clean sheets7
Failed to score9
Yellow cards50
Red cards4
xG for (avg)1.11
xG against (avg)0.47
Corners for (avg)5.80
Penalties (scored/missed)2/0

Santos

Wins–Draws–Losses11W–9D–10L
W 11
D 9
L 10
Played30
Goals scored (avg)1.60
Goals conceded (avg)1.50
Clean sheets6
Failed to score3
Yellow cards88
Red cards4
xG for (avg)0.68
xG against (avg)0.60
Corners for (avg)6.30
Penalties (scored/missed)8/0
Atletico-MGSantos
W 13
D 8
L 9
W 11
D 9
L 10
Played
30
30
Goals scored (avg)
1.30
1.60
Goals conceded (avg)
1.20
1.50
Clean sheets
7
6
Failed to score
9
3
Yellow cards
50
88
Red cards
4
4
xG for (avg)
1.11
0.68
xG against (avg)
0.47
0.60
Corners for (avg)
5.80
6.30
Penalties (scored/missed)
2/0
8/0

⏱️ Goal Timing (season)

Atletico-MG

4
0-15
3
3
16-30
9
5
31-45
7
4
46-60
2
8
61-75
10
11
76-90
7
scored conceded

Santos

3
0-15
2
6
16-30
8
8
31-45
6
5
46-60
13
8
61-75
6
12
76-90
11
scored conceded

Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.

🏥 Injuries & Suspensions

Atletico-MG

  • ❌ Lyanco — Achilles Tendon Injury
  • ❌ A. Preciado — Ankle Injury
  • ❌ I. Roman — Inactive
  • ❌ Rony — Inactive
  • ❌ Alexsander — Injury
  • ❌ M. Cassierra — Lacking Match Fitness
  • ❌ Junior Santos — Inactive
  • ❌ M. Cisse — Leg Injury
  • ❌ Maycon — Calf Injury
  • ❌ Natanael — Red Card
  • ❌ Vitor Hugo — Inactive
  • ❌ Ruan Tressoldi — Yellow Cards
  • ❌ A. Minda — Inactive
  • ❌ Patrick Silva — Injury
  • ❌ Indio — Knee Injury
  • ❌ R. Lodi — Red Card
  • ❌ Cuello — Injury
  • ❌ A. Franco — Yellow Cards
  • ❌ Hulk — Inactive
  • ❌ Victor Hugo — Hamstring Injury
  • ❌ Gustavo Scarpa — Knee Injury
  • ❌ J. Alonso — International duty
  • ❌ L. Duarte — Hamstring Injury
  • ❌ Igor Gomes — Knee Injury
  • ❌ T. Borbas — Muscle Injury
  • ❌ Everson — Foot Injury
  • ❌ T. Perez — Injury
  • ❌ Reinier — Muscle Injury
  • ❌ Fred — Injury
  • ❌ K. Castano — International duty
  • ❌ K. Pascini — International duty
  • ❌ Vitao — International duty

Santos

  • ❌ A. Frias — Inactive
  • ❌ Mayke — Inactive
  • ❌ Neymar — Knee Injury
  • ❌ Thaciano — Inactive
  • ❌ Tiquinho Soares — Inactive
  • ❌ Willian Arao — Inactive
  • ❌ Gustavo Henrique — Muscle Injury
  • ❌ A. Duarte — Inactive
  • ❌ Gabriel Barbosa — Inactive
  • ❌ Ze Rafael — Inactive
  • ❌ Luan Peres — Red Card
  • ❌ Vinicius Lira — Knee Injury
  • ❌ L. Diaz — Loan agreement
  • ❌ Gabriel Menino — Hamstring Injury
  • ❌ Rodrigo Falcao — Injury
  • ❌ Igor Vinicius — Inactive
  • ❌ Rony — Yellow Cards
  • ❌ A. Barreal — Yellow Cards
  • ❌ G. Escobar — Yellow Cards
  • ❌ T. Rincon — Health problems
  • ❌ Gabriel Brazao — Inactive
  • ❌ Joao Schmidt — Hamstring Injury
  • ❌ B. Rollheiser — Muscle Injury
  • ❌ Moises — Inactive
  • ❌ Lucas Verissimo — Calf Injury
  • ❌ Pepe Fermino — Muscle Injury
  • ❌ Gabriel Bontempo — Injury
  • ❌ Coutinho — Lacking Match Fitness
  • ❌ Everton — Yellow Cards
  • ❌ Arthur Melo — Muscle Injury

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