Atletico Paranaense vs Bahia
Atletico Paranaense
No upcoming fixture scheduled — showing the last meeting result and the pre-match predictions.
🎯 PredictLix Predictions — pre-match vs actual
| Market | Tip | Confidence | Probability | Odds | Bookmaker | Market implied | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result (1X2) | Home | 77% | 42.1% | @2.25 | — | 43.6% | -1.5 pp | ✅ |
| Double Chance | 12 | 72% | 72.5% | @1.32 | — | 72.5% | 0 pp | ❌ |
| BTTS | Yes | 84% | 54.1% | @1.68 | — | 55.1% | -1 pp | ✅ |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 80% | 46.9% | @1.92 | — | 50% | -3.1 pp | ✅ |
| Correct Score | 2-1 | 62% | 6.9% | @8.50 | — | 5% | +1.9 pp | ✅ |
| Draw (value pick) | Draw | 61% | 27.2% | @3.42 | — | 27.5% | -0.3 pp | ❌ |
| Corners O/U 9.5 (~? exp.) | Over 9.5 | 77% | 65.8% | @1.45 | — | 62% | +3.8 pp | ❌ |
⚽ Model expected goals: Atletico Paranaense 1.53 – 1.38 Bahia · expected total 2.91
Predictions made before kick-off, shown against the actual result. Odds are the best price across every bookmaker in our feed — the Bookmaker column says who offers it. Market implied = the bookmaker's probability with margin removed (proportional de-vig across all outcomes — critical on Correct Score, where the book margin is huge; for Double Chance it is derived from the de-vigged 1X2 market instead). Positive edge = the model rates this outcome higher than the market.
📈 Team Trends
Atletico Paranaense
Bahia
Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.
🏅 League Benchmarks — Serie A
Atletico Paranaense
Bahia
No top-3 or bottom-2 marks in the league right now.
Rank among 20 Serie A teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets — season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates — last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.
🏠 Home vs Away Records
Atletico Paranaense at home · Bahia away — the split that matters for this fixture.
Atletico Paranaense (home)
Bahia (away)
Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.
📈 Recent Form
Atletico Paranaense
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/10 | Atletico-MG | Home | 2–2 | D |
| 20/09 | Bahia | Home | 2–1 | W |
| 12/09 | Coritiba | Away | 3–3 | D |
| 06/09 | Cruzeiro | Away | 1–3 | L |
| 30/08 | Fluminense | Home | 3–3 | D |
Bahia
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/10 | Mirassol | Home | 1–0 | W |
| 09/10 | Palmeiras | Away | 0–1 | L |
| 20/09 | Atletico Paranaense | Away | 1–2 | L |
| 14/09 | Remo | Home | 2–1 | W |
| 05/09 | RB Bragantino | Away | 3–2 | W |
📊 Season Comparison — Serie A
Atletico Paranaense #4 · 50 pts — Bahia #5 · 49 pts
Atletico Paranaense
Bahia
⏱️ Goal Timing (season)
Atletico Paranaense
Bahia
Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.
🏥 Injuries & Suspensions
Atletico Paranaense
- ❌ Felipinho — Inactive
- ❌ Luiz Gustavo — Inactive
- ❌ Renan Peixoto — Injury
- ❌ A. Garcia Castillo — Inactive
- ❌ Isaac — Inactive
- ❌ C. Teran — Muscle Injury
- ❌ B. Zapelli — Red Card
- ❌ Bruninho — International duty
- ❌ Arthur Dias — Yellow Cards
- ❌ Chiqueti — Illness
- ❌ G. Benavidez — Inactive
- ❌ Gilberto Junior — Loan agreement
- ❌ Julimar — Injury
- ❌ Jadson — Yellow Cards
- ❌ L. Esquivel — Red Card
- ❌ K. Viveros — Yellow Cards
- ❌ J. Portilla — Yellow Cards
- ❌ Leo Derik — Injury
- ❌ Mycael — Inactive
- ❌ Dantas — Suspended
- ❌ Claudinho — Muscle Injury
- ❌ Santos — Yellow Cards
- ❌ Gilberto — Ankle Injury
- ❌ Joao Cruz — Yellow Cards
- ❌ K. A. Calderon Vargas — Inactive
- ❌ F. Aguirre — Yellow Cards
- ❓ Renan Viana (doubtful) — Inactive
Bahia
- ❌ Ruan Pablo — Inactive
- ❌ M. Sanabria — Knee Injury
- ❌ Michel Araujo — Red Card
- ❌ Sidney Duarte — Injury
- ❌ Dell — Red Card
- ❌ Caio Alexandre — Muscle Injury
- ❌ Gilberto — Illness
- ❌ Kanu — Hamstring Injury
- ❌ Nicolas Acevedo — Yellow Cards
- ❌ Willian Jose — Hamstring Injury
- ❌ Ronaldo Strada — Injury
- ❌ S. Ramos — Yellow Cards
- ❌ Erick — Yellow Cards
- ❌ Luciano Juba — Injury
- ❌ Rodrigo — Yellow Cards
- ❌ Leo Vieira — Injury
- ❌ M. Moreno — Lacking Match Fitness
- ❌ C. Olivera — Ankle Injury
- ❌ Ze Guilherme — Yellow Cards
- ❌ Erick Pulga — Yellow Cards
- ❌ Ademir — Injury
- ❌ Jean Lucas — Yellow Cards
- ❌ Everaldo — Red Card
- ❓ David Duarte (doubtful) — Hamstring Injury
- ❓ Everton Ribeiro (doubtful) — Injury
More: Serie A predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws