Predictions → Brazil Serie A

Chapecoense-sc vs Atletico Paranaense

Chapecoense-sc
1:4
Full Time · 12 Oct 2026
Atletico Paranaense

No upcoming fixture scheduled — showing the last meeting result and the pre-match predictions.

🎯 PredictLix Predictions — pre-match vs actual

MarketTipConfidenceProbabilityOddsBookmakerMarket impliedEdgeResult
Match Result (1X2) Away 75% 34% — — — — ✅
Double Chance X2 68% 67.6% — — — — ✅
BTTS Yes 81% 48.7% — — — — ✅
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 80% 48.2% — — — — ❌
Correct Score 0-1 67% 9.5% — — — — ❌
Draw (value pick) Draw 70% 28.3% — — — — ❌
Corners O/U 9.5 (~? exp.) Under 9.5 61% 52.2% — — — — ❌

⚽ Model expected goals: Chapecoense-sc 1.01 – 1.19 Atletico Paranaense · expected total 2.20

Predictions made before kick-off, shown against the actual result. Odds are the best price across every bookmaker in our feed — the Bookmaker column says who offers it. Market implied = the bookmaker's probability with margin removed (proportional de-vig across all outcomes — critical on Correct Score, where the book margin is huge; for Double Chance it is derived from the de-vigged 1X2 market instead). Positive edge = the model rates this outcome higher than the market.

📈 Team Trends

Chapecoense-sc

Winless 4
BTTS
5/6
Over 2.5
4/6
Scored
5/6
Clean sheets
0/6

Atletico Paranaense

Unbeaten 3
BTTS
6/6
Over 2.5
6/6
Scored
6/6
Clean sheets
0/6

Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.

🏅 League Benchmarks — Serie A

Chapecoense-sc

2nd worst attack (1.00 goals/game) Worst defence (2.00 conceded/game) 2nd best BTTS rate (83%) 2nd worst clean sheets (2)

Atletico Paranaense

3rd best attack (1.60 goals/game) Best BTTS rate (100%) Best Over 2.5 rate (100%)

Rank among 20 Serie A teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets — season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates — last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.

🏠 Home vs Away Records

Chapecoense-sc at home · Atletico Paranaense away — the split that matters for this fixture.

Chapecoense-sc (home)

Wins–Draws–Losses2W–5D–6L
W 2
D 5
L 6
Played13
Goals scored (avg)1.40
Goals conceded (avg)2.20
Clean sheets2
Failed to score3

Atletico Paranaense (away)

Wins–Draws–Losses5W–3D–6L
W 5
D 3
L 6
Played14
Goals scored (avg)1.30
Goals conceded (avg)1.50
Clean sheets3
Failed to score4
Chapecoense-sc (home)Atletico Paranaense (away)
W 2
D 5
L 6
W 5
D 3
L 6
Played
13
14
Goals scored (avg)
1.40
1.30
Goals conceded (avg)
2.20
1.50
Clean sheets
2
3
Failed to score
3
4

Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.

⚔️ Head-to-Head

Atletico Paranaense 3 wins · 6 draws · Chapecoense-sc 1 win · avg 2.8 goals · BTTS in 8 of 10

3
6
1
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
12 Apr 2026 Atletico Paranaense 2–0 Chapecoense-sc Serie A
17 Sep 2025 Chapecoense-sc 2–3 Atletico Paranaense Serie B
09 May 2025 Atletico Paranaense 1–1 Chapecoense-sc Serie B
13 Oct 2021 Chapecoense-sc 1–1 Atletico Paranaense Serie A
27 Jun 2021 Atletico Paranaense 2–2 Chapecoense-sc Serie A
29 Sep 2019 Atletico Paranaense 1–1 Chapecoense-SC Serie A
05 May 2019 Chapecoense-SC 1–1 Atletico Paranaense Serie A
13 Sep 2018 Chapecoense-sc 2–1 Atletico Paranaense Serie A
15 Apr 2018 Atletico Paranaense 5–1 Chapecoense-sc Serie A
29 Oct 2017 Atletico Paranaense 0–0 Chapecoense-sc Serie A

📈 Recent Form

Chapecoense-sc

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
07/10 Vitoria Away 0–4 L
26/09 Atletico Nacional Away 1–1 D
19/09 Atletico-MG Away 1–1 D
12/09 Internacional Home 1–2 L
06/09 Corinthians Away 2–1 W

Atletico Paranaense

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
08/10 Atletico-MG Home 2–2 D
20/09 Bahia Home 2–1 W
12/09 Coritiba Away 3–3 D
06/09 Cruzeiro Away 1–3 L
30/08 Fluminense Home 3–3 D

📊 Season Comparison — Serie A

Chapecoense-sc #20 · 18 pts —  Atletico Paranaense #4 · 50 pts

Chapecoense-sc

Wins–Draws–Losses3W–9D–16L
W 3
D 9
L 16
Played28
Goals scored (avg)1.00
Goals conceded (avg)2.00
Clean sheets2
Failed to score9
Yellow cards64
Red cards2
xG for (avg)1.01
xG against (avg)1.06
Corners for (avg)3.80
Penalties (scored/missed)2/1

Atletico Paranaense

Wins–Draws–Losses14W–8D–7L
W 14
D 8
L 7
Played29
Goals scored (avg)1.60
Goals conceded (avg)1.20
Clean sheets8
Failed to score6
Yellow cards57
Red cards2
xG for (avg)0.64
xG against (avg)1.00
Corners for (avg)4.30
Penalties (scored/missed)5/1
Chapecoense-scAtletico Paranaense
W 3
D 9
L 16
W 14
D 8
L 7
Played
28
29
Goals scored (avg)
1.00
1.60
Goals conceded (avg)
2.00
1.20
Clean sheets
2
8
Failed to score
9
6
Yellow cards
64
57
Red cards
2
2
xG for (avg)
1.01
0.64
xG against (avg)
1.06
1.00
Corners for (avg)
3.80
4.30
Penalties (scored/missed)
2/1
5/1

⏱️ Goal Timing (season)

Chapecoense-sc

5
0-15
1
11
16-30
6
6
31-45
5
14
46-60
5
11
61-75
3
9
76-90
10
scored conceded

Atletico Paranaense

5
0-15
12
7
16-30
4
7
31-45
3
1
46-60
11
3
61-75
4
11
76-90
11
scored conceded

Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.

🏥 Injuries & Suspensions

Chapecoense-sc

  • ❌ Bruno Matias — Knee Injury
  • ❌ Mancha — Knee Injury
  • ❌ Neto Pessoa — Inactive
  • ❌ Rafael Thyere — Inactive
  • ❌ Robert Conceicao — Inactive
  • ❌ Marcos Vinicius — Inactive
  • ❌ Mauricio Garcez — Inactive
  • ❌ Camilo Reijers — Loan agreement
  • ❌ Everton — Red Card
  • ❌ Giovanni Augusto — Injury
  • ❌ Italo — Injury
  • ❌ Eduardo Doma — Red Card
  • ❌ Bruno Leonardo — Yellow Cards
  • ❌ Kauan — Inactive
  • ❌ Y. Bolasie — Yellow Cards
  • ❌ Victor Caetano — Calf Injury
  • ❌ Anderson — Injury
  • ❌ Joao Paulo — Injury
  • ❌ Max Alves — Injury
  • ❌ Rafael Carvalheira — Inactive
  • ❌ Bruno Tubarao — Inactive
  • ❌ Bruno Pacheco — Yellow Cards
  • ❌ Vinicius Balieiro — Inactive
  • ❌ Heitor — Hamstring Injury
  • ❌ Fernando — Yellow Cards
  • ❓ Dudu Marques (doubtful) — Inactive

Atletico Paranaense

  • ❌ Felipinho — Inactive
  • ❌ Luiz Gustavo — Inactive
  • ❌ Renan Peixoto — Injury
  • ❌ A. Garcia Castillo — Inactive
  • ❌ Isaac — Inactive
  • ❌ C. Teran — Muscle Injury
  • ❌ B. Zapelli — Red Card
  • ❌ Bruninho — International duty
  • ❌ Arthur Dias — Yellow Cards
  • ❌ Chiqueti — Illness
  • ❌ G. Benavidez — Inactive
  • ❌ Gilberto Junior — Loan agreement
  • ❌ Julimar — Injury
  • ❌ Jadson — Yellow Cards
  • ❌ L. Esquivel — Red Card
  • ❌ K. Viveros — Yellow Cards
  • ❌ J. Portilla — Yellow Cards
  • ❌ Leo Derik — Injury
  • ❌ Mycael — Inactive
  • ❌ Dantas — Suspended
  • ❌ Claudinho — Muscle Injury
  • ❌ Santos — Yellow Cards
  • ❌ Gilberto — Ankle Injury
  • ❌ Joao Cruz — Yellow Cards
  • ❌ K. A. Calderon Vargas — Inactive
  • ❌ F. Aguirre — Yellow Cards
  • ❓ Renan Viana (doubtful) — Inactive

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