Predictions → Brazil Serie A

Bahia vs Mirassol

Bahia
1:0
Full Time · 11 Oct 2026
Mirassol

No upcoming fixture scheduled — showing the last meeting result and the pre-match predictions.

🎯 PredictLix Predictions — pre-match vs actual

MarketTipConfidenceProbabilityOddsBookmakerMarket impliedEdgeResult
Match Result (1X2) Home 84% 57.6% — — — — ✅
Double Chance 1X 75% 77% — — — — ✅
BTTS Yes 83% 52.3% — — — — ❌
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 81% 49.5% — — — — ❌
Correct Score 2-1 64% 7.9% — — — — ❌
Corners O/U 9.5 (~? exp.) Over 9.5 66% 56.6% — — — — ❌

⚽ Model expected goals: Bahia 1.87 – 1.05 Mirassol · expected total 2.92

Predictions made before kick-off, shown against the actual result. Odds are the best price across every bookmaker in our feed — the Bookmaker column says who offers it. Market implied = the bookmaker's probability with margin removed (proportional de-vig across all outcomes — critical on Correct Score, where the book margin is huge; for Double Chance it is derived from the de-vigged 1X2 market instead). Positive edge = the model rates this outcome higher than the market.

📈 Team Trends

Bahia

Lost 2 in a row
BTTS
4/6
Over 2.5
4/6
Scored
5/6
Clean sheets
1/6

Mirassol

Unbeaten 5
BTTS
3/6
Over 2.5
3/6
Scored
5/6
Clean sheets
2/6

Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.

🏅 League Benchmarks — Serie A

Bahia

No top-3 or bottom-2 marks in the league right now.

Mirassol

2nd worst clean sheets (2)

Rank among 20 Serie A teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets — season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates — last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.

🏠 Home vs Away Records

Bahia at home · Mirassol away — the split that matters for this fixture.

Bahia (home)

Wins–Draws–Losses6W–6D–2L
W 6
D 6
L 2
Played14
Goals scored (avg)1.60
Goals conceded (avg)1.00
Clean sheets4
Failed to score1

Mirassol (away)

Wins–Draws–Losses2W–4D–8L
W 2
D 4
L 8
Played14
Goals scored (avg)0.90
Goals conceded (avg)1.60
Clean sheets0
Failed to score5
Bahia (home)Mirassol (away)
W 6
D 6
L 2
W 2
D 4
L 8
Played
14
14
Goals scored (avg)
1.60
0.90
Goals conceded (avg)
1.00
1.60
Clean sheets
4
0
Failed to score
1
5

Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.

⚔️ Head-to-Head

Bahia 1 win · 1 draw · Mirassol 1 win · avg 3.7 goals · BTTS in 3 of 3

1
1
1
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
11 Apr 2026 Mirassol 1–2 Bahia Serie A
31 Aug 2025 Mirassol 5–1 Bahia Serie A
13 Apr 2025 Bahia 1–1 Mirassol Serie A

📈 Recent Form

Bahia

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
09/10 Palmeiras Away 0–1 L
20/09 Atletico Paranaense Away 1–2 L
14/09 Remo Home 2–1 W
05/09 RB Bragantino Away 3–2 W
30/08 Internacional Home 3–2 W

Mirassol

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
07/10 RB Bragantino Away 1–1 D
27/09 Uberlandia Away 4–0 W
19/09 Botafogo Home 2–0 W
13/09 Vitoria Home 2–2 D
06/09 Coritiba Away 2–1 W

📊 Season Comparison — Serie A

Bahia #7 · 46 pts —  Mirassol #15 · 33 pts

Bahia

Wins–Draws–Losses12W–10D–7L
W 12
D 10
L 7
Played29
Goals scored (avg)1.50
Goals conceded (avg)1.20
Clean sheets8
Failed to score4
Yellow cards68
Red cards2
xG for (avg)1.86
xG against (avg)0.96
Corners for (avg)5.40
Penalties (scored/missed)7/3

Mirassol

Wins–Draws–Losses8W–9D–12L
W 8
D 9
L 12
Played29
Goals scored (avg)1.20
Goals conceded (avg)1.50
Clean sheets2
Failed to score7
Yellow cards72
Red cards4
xG for (avg)0.44
xG against (avg)0.58
Corners for (avg)6.50
Penalties (scored/missed)2/0
BahiaMirassol
W 12
D 10
L 7
W 8
D 9
L 12
Played
29
29
Goals scored (avg)
1.50
1.20
Goals conceded (avg)
1.20
1.50
Clean sheets
8
2
Failed to score
4
7
Yellow cards
68
72
Red cards
2
4
xG for (avg)
1.86
0.44
xG against (avg)
0.96
0.58
Corners for (avg)
5.40
6.50
Penalties (scored/missed)
7/3
2/0

⏱️ Goal Timing (season)

Bahia

5
0-15
4
8
16-30
7
4
31-45
9
9
46-60
7
6
61-75
5
4
76-90
11
scored conceded

Mirassol

7
0-15
7
16-30
8
4
31-45
7
5
46-60
5
9
61-75
5
13
76-90
7
scored conceded

Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.

🏥 Injuries & Suspensions

Bahia

  • ❌ Ruan Pablo — Inactive
  • ❌ M. Sanabria — Knee Injury
  • ❌ Michel Araujo — Red Card
  • ❌ Sidney Duarte — Injury
  • ❌ Dell — Red Card
  • ❌ Caio Alexandre — Muscle Injury
  • ❌ Gilberto — Illness
  • ❌ Kanu — Hamstring Injury
  • ❌ Nicolas Acevedo — Yellow Cards
  • ❌ Willian Jose — Hamstring Injury
  • ❌ Ronaldo Strada — Injury
  • ❌ S. Ramos — Yellow Cards
  • ❌ Erick — Yellow Cards
  • ❌ Luciano Juba — Injury
  • ❌ Rodrigo — Yellow Cards
  • ❌ Leo Vieira — Injury
  • ❌ M. Moreno — Lacking Match Fitness
  • ❌ C. Olivera — Ankle Injury
  • ❌ Ze Guilherme — Yellow Cards
  • ❌ Erick Pulga — Yellow Cards
  • ❌ Ademir — Injury
  • ❌ Jean Lucas — Yellow Cards
  • ❌ Everaldo — Red Card
  • ❓ David Duarte (doubtful) — Hamstring Injury
  • ❓ Everton Ribeiro (doubtful) — Injury

Mirassol

  • ❌ Andre Luis — Inactive
  • ❌ Edson Carioca — Muscle Injury
  • ❌ Felipe Jonatan — Inactive
  • ❌ Daniel Borges — Inactive
  • ❌ Eduardo — Injury
  • ❌ Igor Carius — Injury
  • ❌ Yuri Lara — Red Card
  • ❌ Jose Aldo — Yellow Cards
  • ❌ Reinaldo — Yellow Cards
  • ❌ Negueba — Yellow Cards
  • ❌ Neto Moura — Yellow Cards
  • ❌ Igor Formiga — Muscle Injury
  • ❌ Nathan Fogaca — Inactive
  • ❌ Alex Muralha — Calf Injury
  • ❌ Alesson — Inactive
  • ❌ Walter — Yellow Cards
  • ❌ Denilson — Yellow Cards
  • ❌ Wallisson — Red Card
  • ❌ Joao Victor — Yellow Cards
  • ❓ Renato Marques (doubtful) — Injury

More: Serie A predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws