Predictions → Brazil Serie A

Botafogo vs Gremio

Botafogo
3:2
Full Time · 16 Sep 2026
Gremio

No upcoming fixture scheduled — showing the last meeting result and the pre-match predictions.

🎯 PredictLix Predictions — pre-match vs actual

MarketTipConfidenceProbabilityOddsBookmakerMarket impliedEdgeResult
Match Result (1X2) Home 85% 58.8% @1.72 — 58.5% +0.3 pp ✅
Double Chance 1X 77% 80% @1.20 — 81.6% -1.6 pp ✅
BTTS No 80% 46.9% @2.04 — 45.5% +1.4 pp ❌
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 81% 49.9% @2.17 — 44.5% +5.4 pp ❌
Correct Score 2-0 64% 7.9% @8.00 — 5.4% +2.5 pp ❌
Corners O/U 9.5 (~? exp.) Over 9.5 68% 58.7% @1.76 — 53.6% +5.1 pp ❌

⚽ Model expected goals: Botafogo 1.83 – 1.00 Gremio · expected total 2.83

Predictions made before kick-off, shown against the actual result. Odds are the best price across every bookmaker in our feed — the Bookmaker column says who offers it. Market implied = the bookmaker's probability with margin removed (proportional de-vig across all outcomes — critical on Correct Score, where the book margin is huge; for Double Chance it is derived from the de-vigged 1X2 market instead). Positive edge = the model rates this outcome higher than the market.

📈 Team Trends

Botafogo

Winless 3
BTTS
4/6
Over 2.5
2/6
Scored
4/6
Clean sheets
1/6

Gremio

Unbeaten 3 Winless 6
BTTS
4/6
Over 2.5
2/6
Scored
4/6
Clean sheets
1/6

Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.

🏠 Home vs Away Records

Botafogo at home · Gremio away — the split that matters for this fixture.

Botafogo (home)

Wins–Draws–Losses5W–6D–4L
W 5
D 6
L 4
Played15
Goals scored (avg)1.70
Goals conceded (avg)1.50
Clean sheets3
Failed to score3

Gremio (away)

Wins–Draws–Losses0W–5D–10L
D 5
L 10
Played15
Goals scored (avg)0.60
Goals conceded (avg)1.50
Clean sheets2
Failed to score7
Botafogo (home)Gremio (away)
W 5
D 6
L 4
D 5
L 10
Played
15
15
Goals scored (avg)
1.70
0.60
Goals conceded (avg)
1.50
1.50
Clean sheets
3
2
Failed to score
3
7

Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.

📈 Recent Form

Botafogo

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
12/10 Coritiba Away 1–1 D
07/10 Vasco DA Gama Home 1–2 L
19/09 Mirassol Away 0–2 L
16/09 Gremio Home 3–2 W
12/09 RB Bragantino Home 1–1 D

Gremio

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
11/10 Internacional Home 1–1 D
07/10 Remo Away 1–1 D
20/09 Palmeiras Home 0–0 D
16/09 Botafogo Away 2–3 L
12/09 Vasco DA Gama Home 1–2 L

📊 Season Comparison — Serie A

Botafogo #13 · 36 pts —  Gremio #18 · 31 pts

Botafogo

Wins–Draws–Losses9W–9D–12L
W 9
D 9
L 12
Played30
Goals scored (avg)1.40
Goals conceded (avg)1.60
Clean sheets4
Failed to score7
Yellow cards79
Red cards3
xG for (avg)0.64
xG against (avg)0.46
Corners for (avg)4.00
Penalties (scored/missed)2/0

Gremio

Wins–Draws–Losses7W–10D–13L
W 7
D 10
L 13
Played30
Goals scored (avg)1.10
Goals conceded (avg)1.30
Clean sheets6
Failed to score10
Yellow cards81
Red cards4
xG for (avg)0.27
xG against (avg)0.50
Corners for (avg)2.50
Penalties (scored/missed)1/0
BotafogoGremio
W 9
D 9
L 12
W 7
D 10
L 13
Played
30
30
Goals scored (avg)
1.40
1.10
Goals conceded (avg)
1.60
1.30
Clean sheets
4
6
Failed to score
7
10
Yellow cards
79
81
Red cards
3
4
xG for (avg)
0.64
0.27
xG against (avg)
0.46
0.50
Corners for (avg)
4.00
2.50
Penalties (scored/missed)
2/0
1/0

⏱️ Goal Timing (season)

Botafogo

9
0-15
7
6
16-30
4
2
31-45
7
15
46-60
8
3
61-75
5
10
76-90
13
scored conceded

Gremio

2
0-15
2
7
16-30
3
6
31-45
5
9
46-60
11
11
61-75
5
6
76-90
5
scored conceded

Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.

🏥 Injuries & Suspensions

Botafogo

  • ❌ J. Correa — Inactive
  • ❌ C. Ramos — Inactive
  • ❌ Marcal — Knee Injury
  • ❌ Bastos — Inactive
  • ❌ Kaio Pantaleao — Inactive
  • ❌ M. Ponte — Inactive
  • ❌ S. Rodriguez — Injury
  • ❌ Allan — Yellow Cards
  • ❌ A. Barboza — Red Card
  • ❌ C. Medina — Red Card
  • ❌ Newton — Shoulder Injury
  • ❌ Danilo — International duty
  • ❌ N. Ferraresi — International duty
  • ❌ Alex Telles — Injury
  • ❌ Nathan Fernandes — Injury
  • ❌ L. M. Villalba Jaume — Inactive
  • ❌ Junior Santos — Injury
  • ❌ Vitinho — Yellow Cards
  • ❌ Matheus Martins — Injury
  • ❌ Arthur Cabral — Injury
  • ❌ A. Montoro — Yellow Cards
  • ❌ Huguinho — Yellow Cards
  • ❌ J. Barrera — Injury
  • ❌ G. Justino — Yellow Cards
  • ❌ Paulinho — Injury
  • ❌ Warleson — Injury
  • ❌ K. Barria — Yellow Cards
  • ❌ Arthur Chaves — Inactive
  • ❌ L. Monzon — Inactive

Gremio

  • ❌ M. Braithwaite — Achilles Tendon Injury
  • ❌ M. Villasanti — Knee Injury
  • ❌ Walter Kannemann — Inactive
  • ❌ L. Perez — Inactive
  • ❌ Wagner Leonardo — Red Card
  • ❌ Arthur Melo — Injury
  • ❌ Willian — Inactive
  • ❌ Gustavo Martins — Inactive
  • ❌ Joao Pedro — Inactive
  • ❌ Marlon — Inactive
  • ❌ Caio Paulista — Loan agreement
  • ❌ E. Noriega — Inactive
  • ❌ Viery — Red Card
  • ❌ Carlos Vinicius — Yellow Cards
  • ❌ Roger — Hamstring Injury
  • ❌ J. Nardoni — Hamstring Injury
  • ❌ Riquelme — Red Card
  • ❌ Fabian Balbuena — Thigh Injury
  • ❌ C. Pavon — Yellow Cards
  • ❌ Andre Henrique — Yellow Cards
  • ❌ Gabriel Mec — Yellow Cards
  • ❌ Pedro Gabriel — Yellow Cards
  • ❌ Gabriel Grando — Inactive
  • ❌ Luis Eduardo — Inactive
  • ❌ Weverton — International duty
  • ❌ Tete — Injury
  • ❌ Dodi — Knee Injury
  • ❌ Diego Caito — Shoulder Injury
  • ❌ J. Cabral — Muscle Injury
  • ❌ Matheus Nascimento — Inactive
  • ❓ M. Monsalve (doubtful) — Injury
  • ❓ F. Amuzu (doubtful) — Inactive

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