Predictions → Brazil Serie A

Botafogo vs Vasco DA Gama

Botafogo
1:2
Full Time · 07 Oct 2026
Vasco DA Gama

No upcoming fixture scheduled — showing the last meeting result and the pre-match predictions.

🎯 PredictLix Predictions — pre-match vs actual

MarketTipConfidenceProbabilityOddsBookmakerMarket impliedEdgeResult
Match Result (1X2) Away 75% 33.6% @2.33 — 43% -9.4 pp ✅
Double Chance 12 68% 67.7% @1.30 — 74% -6.3 pp ❌
BTTS Yes 81% 49.3% @1.55 — 62.2% -12.9 pp ✅
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 81% 50.1% @2.31 — 43.2% +6.9 pp ❌
Correct Score 0-1 61% 6.2% @11.00 — 4.7% +1.5 pp ❌
Draw (value pick) Draw 60% 26.9% @3.68 — 26% +0.9 pp ❌
Corners O/U 9.5 (~? exp.) Over 9.5 61% 52.6% @1.63 — 59.4% -6.8 pp ✅

⚽ Model expected goals: Botafogo 1.37 – 1.07 Vasco DA Gama · expected total 2.44

Predictions made before kick-off, shown against the actual result. Odds are the best price across every bookmaker in our feed — the Bookmaker column says who offers it. Market implied = the bookmaker's probability with margin removed (proportional de-vig across all outcomes — critical on Correct Score, where the book margin is huge; for Double Chance it is derived from the de-vigged 1X2 market instead). Positive edge = the model rates this outcome higher than the market.

📈 Team Trends

Botafogo

Lost 2 in a row
BTTS
3/6
Over 2.5
3/6
Scored
3/6
Clean sheets
1/6

Vasco DA Gama

Unbeaten 6
BTTS
2/6
Over 2.5
3/6
Scored
4/6
Clean sheets
4/6

Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.

🏠 Home vs Away Records

Botafogo at home · Vasco DA Gama away — the split that matters for this fixture.

Botafogo (home)

Wins–Draws–Losses5W–6D–4L
W 5
D 6
L 4
Played15
Goals scored (avg)1.70
Goals conceded (avg)1.50
Clean sheets3
Failed to score3

Vasco DA Gama (away)

Wins–Draws–Losses2W–5D–7L
W 2
D 5
L 7
Played14
Goals scored (avg)1.10
Goals conceded (avg)1.70
Clean sheets1
Failed to score4
Botafogo (home)Vasco DA Gama (away)
W 5
D 6
L 4
W 2
D 5
L 7
Played
15
14
Goals scored (avg)
1.70
1.10
Goals conceded (avg)
1.50
1.70
Clean sheets
3
1
Failed to score
3
4

Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.

📈 Recent Form

Botafogo

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
07/10 Vasco DA Gama Home 1–2 L
19/09 Mirassol Away 0–2 L
16/09 Gremio Home 3–2 W
12/09 RB Bragantino Home 1–1 D
06/09 Palmeiras Home 0–0 D

Vasco DA Gama

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
10/10 Remo Home 0–0 D
07/10 Botafogo Away 2–1 W
19/09 Coritiba Home 5–0 W
15/09 Santa Fe Home 2–0 W
12/09 Gremio Away 2–1 W

📊 Season Comparison — Serie A

Botafogo #13 · 35 pts —  Vasco DA Gama #14 · 35 pts

Botafogo

Wins–Draws–Losses9W–8D–12L
W 9
D 8
L 12
Played29
Goals scored (avg)1.40
Goals conceded (avg)1.60
Clean sheets4
Failed to score7
Yellow cards79
Red cards4
xG for (avg)0.64
xG against (avg)0.46
Corners for (avg)4.00
Penalties (scored/missed)2/0

Vasco DA Gama

Wins–Draws–Losses9W–8D–12L
W 9
D 8
L 12
Played29
Goals scored (avg)1.20
Goals conceded (avg)1.40
Clean sheets4
Failed to score9
Yellow cards57
Red cards2
xG for (avg)1.63
xG against (avg)0.36
Corners for (avg)6.70
Penalties (scored/missed)2/0
BotafogoVasco DA Gama
W 9
D 8
L 12
W 9
D 8
L 12
Played
29
29
Goals scored (avg)
1.40
1.20
Goals conceded (avg)
1.60
1.40
Clean sheets
4
4
Failed to score
7
9
Yellow cards
79
57
Red cards
4
2
xG for (avg)
0.64
1.63
xG against (avg)
0.46
0.36
Corners for (avg)
4.00
6.70
Penalties (scored/missed)
2/0
2/0

⏱️ Goal Timing (season)

Botafogo

9
0-15
7
6
16-30
4
2
31-45
7
15
46-60
8
3
61-75
5
10
76-90
13
scored conceded

Vasco DA Gama

4
0-15
1
5
16-30
4
5
31-45
6
9
46-60
8
8
61-75
6
9
76-90
13
scored conceded

Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.

🏥 Injuries & Suspensions

Botafogo

  • ❌ J. Correa — Inactive
  • ❌ C. Ramos — Inactive
  • ❌ Marcal — Knee Injury
  • ❌ Bastos — Inactive
  • ❌ Kaio Pantaleao — Inactive
  • ❌ M. Ponte — Inactive
  • ❌ S. Rodriguez — Injury
  • ❌ Allan — Yellow Cards
  • ❌ A. Barboza — Red Card
  • ❌ C. Medina — Red Card
  • ❌ Newton — Shoulder Injury
  • ❌ Danilo — International duty
  • ❌ N. Ferraresi — International duty
  • ❌ Alex Telles — Injury
  • ❌ Nathan Fernandes — Injury
  • ❌ L. M. Villalba Jaume — Inactive
  • ❌ Junior Santos — Injury
  • ❌ Vitinho — Yellow Cards
  • ❌ Matheus Martins — Injury
  • ❌ Arthur Cabral — Injury
  • ❌ A. Montoro — Yellow Cards
  • ❌ Huguinho — Yellow Cards
  • ❌ J. Barrera — Injury
  • ❌ G. Justino — Yellow Cards
  • ❌ Paulinho — Injury
  • ❌ Warleson — Injury
  • ❌ K. Barria — Yellow Cards

Vasco DA Gama

  • ❌ Brenner — Inactive
  • ❌ M. Hinestroza — Inactive
  • ❌ Jair — Knee Injury
  • ❌ Paulo Henrique — Inactive
  • ❌ Cuiabano — Inactive
  • ❌ Hugo Moura — Inactive
  • ❌ C. Cuesta — Inactive
  • ❌ Mateus Carvalho — Knee Injury
  • ❌ Thiago Mendes — Yellow Cards
  • ❌ Cauan Barros — Red Card
  • ❌ Andres Gomez — Yellow Cards
  • ❌ J. Rodriguez — Inactive
  • ❌ C. Spinelli — Inactive
  • ❌ A. Saldivia — Yellow Cards
  • ❌ Adson — Inactive
  • ❌ J. Rojas — Yellow Cards
  • ❌ N. Moreira — Yellow Cards
  • ❌ Robert Renan — Yellow Cards
  • ❌ Tche Tche — Yellow Cards
  • ❌ Bruno Duarte — Injury

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