Predictions → Brazil Serie A

Vitoria vs Chapecoense-sc

Vitoria
4:0
Full Time · 07 Oct 2026
Chapecoense-sc

No upcoming fixture scheduled — showing the last meeting result and the pre-match predictions.

🎯 PredictLix Predictions — pre-match vs actual

MarketTipConfidenceProbabilityOddsBookmakerMarket impliedEdgeResult
Match Result (1X2) Home 87% 63.7% @1.57 — 65.6% -1.9 pp ✅
Double Chance 1X 76% 77.8% @1.14 — 86.7% -8.9 pp ✅
BTTS No 83% 53.2% @1.91 — 50% +3.2 pp ✅
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 85% 57.2% @2.05 — 47.7% +9.5 pp ❌
Correct Score 1-0 78% 15.8% @7.00 — 7.2% +8.6 pp ❌
Corners O/U 9.5 (~? exp.) Under 9.5 60% 52% @2.15 — 44.2% +7.8 pp ✅

⚽ Model expected goals: Vitoria 1.09 – 0.61 Chapecoense-sc · expected total 1.71

Predictions made before kick-off, shown against the actual result. Odds are the best price across every bookmaker in our feed — the Bookmaker column says who offers it. Market implied = the bookmaker's probability with margin removed (proportional de-vig across all outcomes — critical on Correct Score, where the book margin is huge; for Double Chance it is derived from the de-vigged 1X2 market instead). Positive edge = the model rates this outcome higher than the market.

📈 Team Trends

Vitoria

BTTS
3/6
Over 2.5
4/6
Scored
5/6
Clean sheets
2/6

Chapecoense-sc

Winless 4
BTTS
5/6
Over 2.5
4/6
Scored
5/6
Clean sheets
0/6

Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.

🏅 League Benchmarks — Serie A

Vitoria

3rd best clean sheets (11)

Chapecoense-sc

2nd worst attack (1.00 goals/game) Worst defence (2.00 conceded/game) 2nd best BTTS rate (83%) 2nd worst clean sheets (2)

Rank among 20 Serie A teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets — season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates — last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.

🏠 Home vs Away Records

Vitoria at home · Chapecoense-sc away — the split that matters for this fixture.

Vitoria (home)

Wins–Draws–Losses10W–1D–4L
W 10
D 1
L 4
Played15
Goals scored (avg)1.50
Goals conceded (avg)0.80
Clean sheets10
Failed to score3

Chapecoense-sc (away)

Wins–Draws–Losses1W–4D–10L
W 1
D 4
L 10
Played15
Goals scored (avg)0.70
Goals conceded (avg)1.90
Clean sheets0
Failed to score6
Vitoria (home)Chapecoense-sc (away)
W 10
D 1
L 4
W 1
D 4
L 10
Played
15
15
Goals scored (avg)
1.50
0.70
Goals conceded (avg)
0.80
1.90
Clean sheets
10
0
Failed to score
3
6

Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.

📈 Recent Form

Vitoria

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
07/10 Chapecoense-sc Home 4–0 W
20/09 Cruzeiro Home 1–3 L
13/09 Mirassol Away 2–2 D
07/09 Gremio Home 1–0 W
03/09 Vasco DA Gama Home 0–2 L

Chapecoense-sc

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
07/10 Vitoria Away 0–4 L
26/09 Atletico Nacional Away 1–1 D
19/09 Atletico-MG Away 1–1 D
12/09 Internacional Home 1–2 L
06/09 Corinthians Away 2–1 W

📊 Season Comparison — Serie A

Vitoria #12 · 36 pts —  Chapecoense-sc #20 · 18 pts

Vitoria

Wins–Draws–Losses10W–6D–14L
W 10
D 6
L 14
Played30
Goals scored (avg)1.10
Goals conceded (avg)1.40
Clean sheets11
Failed to score9
Yellow cards69
Red cards3
xG for (avg)0.47
xG against (avg)0.53
Corners for (avg)5.30
Penalties (scored/missed)4/0

Chapecoense-sc

Wins–Draws–Losses3W–9D–16L
W 3
D 9
L 16
Played28
Goals scored (avg)1.00
Goals conceded (avg)2.00
Clean sheets2
Failed to score9
Yellow cards64
Red cards2
xG for (avg)1.01
xG against (avg)1.06
Corners for (avg)3.80
Penalties (scored/missed)2/1
VitoriaChapecoense-sc
W 10
D 6
L 14
W 3
D 9
L 16
Played
30
28
Goals scored (avg)
1.10
1.00
Goals conceded (avg)
1.40
2.00
Clean sheets
11
2
Failed to score
9
9
Yellow cards
69
64
Red cards
3
2
xG for (avg)
0.47
1.01
xG against (avg)
0.53
1.06
Corners for (avg)
5.30
3.80
Penalties (scored/missed)
4/0
2/1

⏱️ Goal Timing (season)

Vitoria

2
0-15
3
4
16-30
8
10
31-45
3
7
46-60
6
6
61-75
9
11
76-90
5
scored conceded

Chapecoense-sc

5
0-15
1
11
16-30
6
6
31-45
5
14
46-60
5
11
61-75
3
9
76-90
10
scored conceded

Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.

🏥 Injuries & Suspensions

Vitoria

  • ❌ Claudinho — Knee Injury
  • ❌ Edu — Inactive
  • ❌ Fintelman — Hip Injury
  • ❌ Kauan Vitor — Inactive
  • ❌ Lucas Arcanjo — Knee Injury
  • ❌ R. Ramos — Knee Injury
  • ❌ R. Lopez — Injury
  • ❌ H. Pedro — Injury
  • ❌ Dudu — Inactive
  • ❌ Luan Candido — Inactive
  • ❌ Yuri — Inactive
  • ❌ Jamerson — Inactive
  • ❌ Renato Kayzer — Inactive
  • ❌ Riccieli — Calf Injury
  • ❌ Baralhas — Yellow Cards
  • ❌ Emmanuel Martinez — Yellow Cards
  • ❌ Camutanga — Broken Leg
  • ❌ Edenilson — Red Card
  • ❌ Matheusinho — Injury
  • ❌ Fabricio — Inactive
  • ❌ Neris — Injury
  • ❌ Nathan Mendes — Yellow Cards
  • ❌ Gabriel — Inactive
  • ❌ Caca — Inactive
  • ❌ Matheuzinho — Yellow Cards
  • ❌ Ramon — Yellow Cards
  • ❌ Anderson — Knee Injury
  • ❌ A. Cantalapiedra — Personal Reasons
  • ❌ Ze Vitor — Yellow Cards
  • ❌ Caique Goncalves — Yellow Cards
  • ❌ Walace — Hamstring Injury
  • ❌ Fabiano — Knee Injury
  • ❌ D. Tarzia — Yellow Cards
  • ❓ Marinho (doubtful) — Ankle Injury

Chapecoense-sc

  • ❌ Bruno Matias — Knee Injury
  • ❌ Mancha — Knee Injury
  • ❌ Neto Pessoa — Inactive
  • ❌ Rafael Thyere — Inactive
  • ❌ Robert Conceicao — Inactive
  • ❌ Marcos Vinicius — Inactive
  • ❌ Mauricio Garcez — Inactive
  • ❌ Camilo Reijers — Loan agreement
  • ❌ Everton — Red Card
  • ❌ Giovanni Augusto — Injury
  • ❌ Italo — Injury
  • ❌ Eduardo Doma — Red Card
  • ❌ Bruno Leonardo — Yellow Cards
  • ❌ Kauan — Inactive
  • ❌ Y. Bolasie — Yellow Cards
  • ❌ Victor Caetano — Calf Injury
  • ❌ Anderson — Injury
  • ❌ Joao Paulo — Injury
  • ❌ Max Alves — Injury
  • ❌ Rafael Carvalheira — Inactive
  • ❌ Bruno Tubarao — Inactive
  • ❌ Bruno Pacheco — Yellow Cards
  • ❌ Vinicius Balieiro — Inactive
  • ❌ Heitor — Hamstring Injury
  • ❌ Fernando — Yellow Cards

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