Predictions → Brazil Serie A

Flamengo vs Corinthians

Flamengo
2:1
Full Time · 13 Sep 2026
Corinthians

No upcoming fixture scheduled — showing the last meeting result and the pre-match predictions.

🎯 PredictLix Predictions — pre-match vs actual

MarketTipConfidenceProbabilityOddsBookmakerMarket impliedEdgeResult
Match Result (1X2) Home 92% 73.4% @1.25 — 79.6% -6.2 pp ✅
Double Chance 1X 84% 89.8% @1.02 — 93.9% -4.1 pp ✅
BTTS No 86% 58.2% @1.54 — 60.2% -2 pp ❌
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 82% 51.6% @2.17 — 43.9% +7.7 pp ❌
Correct Score 1-0 74% 13.7% @6.50 — 6.5% +7.2 pp ❌
Corners O/U 9.5 (~? exp.) Over 9.5 63% 53.8% @1.91 — 49.5% +4.3 pp ✅

⚽ Model expected goals: Flamengo 1.81 – 0.54 Corinthians · expected total 2.35

Predictions made before kick-off, shown against the actual result. Odds are the best price across every bookmaker in our feed — the Bookmaker column says who offers it. Market implied = the bookmaker's probability with margin removed (proportional de-vig across all outcomes — critical on Correct Score, where the book margin is huge; for Double Chance it is derived from the de-vigged 1X2 market instead). Positive edge = the model rates this outcome higher than the market.

📈 Team Trends

Flamengo

Unbeaten 9
BTTS
4/6
Over 2.5
3/6
Scored
6/6
Clean sheets
2/6

Corinthians

Lost 5 in a row Winless 9
BTTS
5/6
Over 2.5
4/6
Scored
5/6
Clean sheets
0/6

Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.

🏅 League Benchmarks — Serie A

Flamengo

Best attack (1.90 goals/game) 2nd best defence (0.80 conceded/game) Best clean sheets (13)

Corinthians

2nd worst attack (1.00 goals/game) 2nd best BTTS rate (83%)

Rank among 20 Serie A teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets — season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates — last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.

🏠 Home vs Away Records

Flamengo at home · Corinthians away — the split that matters for this fixture.

Flamengo (home)

Wins–Draws–Losses11W–3D–1L
W 11
D 3
L 1
Played15
Goals scored (avg)1.90
Goals conceded (avg)0.70
Clean sheets8
Failed to score1

Corinthians (away)

Wins–Draws–Losses3W–5D–7L
W 3
D 5
L 7
Played15
Goals scored (avg)1.10
Goals conceded (avg)1.50
Clean sheets4
Failed to score2
Flamengo (home)Corinthians (away)
W 11
D 3
L 1
W 3
D 5
L 7
Played
15
15
Goals scored (avg)
1.90
1.10
Goals conceded (avg)
0.70
1.50
Clean sheets
8
4
Failed to score
1
2

Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.

📈 Recent Form

Flamengo

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
11/10 Fluminense Home 1–0 W
08/10 Santos Away 2–2 D
20/09 RB Bragantino Home 2–1 W
18/09 Independiente del Valle Home 1–1 D
13/09 Corinthians Home 2–1 W

Corinthians

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
11/10 Palmeiras Away 1–4 L
07/10 Internacional Away 1–2 L
20/09 Fluminense Home 1–3 L
17/09 Estudiantes L.P. Home 0–1 L
13/09 Flamengo Away 1–2 L

📊 Season Comparison — Serie A

Flamengo #1 · 64 pts —  Corinthians #16 · 32 pts

Flamengo

Wins–Draws–Losses19W–7D–4L
W 19
D 7
L 4
Played30
Goals scored (avg)1.90
Goals conceded (avg)0.80
Clean sheets13
Failed to score2
Yellow cards64
Red cards7
xG for (avg)0.75
xG against (avg)0.11
Corners for (avg)7.10
Penalties (scored/missed)3/0

Corinthians

Wins–Draws–Losses8W–8D–14L
W 8
D 8
L 14
Played30
Goals scored (avg)1.00
Goals conceded (avg)1.30
Clean sheets10
Failed to score7
Yellow cards79
Red cards4
xG for (avg)0.78
xG against (avg)1.21
Corners for (avg)4.70
Penalties (scored/missed)0/0
FlamengoCorinthians
W 19
D 7
L 4
W 8
D 8
L 14
Played
30
30
Goals scored (avg)
1.90
1.00
Goals conceded (avg)
0.80
1.30
Clean sheets
13
10
Failed to score
2
7
Yellow cards
64
79
Red cards
7
4
xG for (avg)
0.75
0.78
xG against (avg)
0.11
1.21
Corners for (avg)
7.10
4.70
Penalties (scored/missed)
3/0
0/0

⏱️ Goal Timing (season)

Flamengo

1
0-15
12
3
16-30
5
3
31-45
4
6
46-60
15
3
61-75
10
9
76-90
12
scored conceded

Corinthians

5
0-15
4
5
16-30
5
10
31-45
2
6
46-60
9
2
61-75
3
8
76-90
10
scored conceded

Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.

🏥 Injuries & Suspensions

Flamengo

  • ❌ Danilo — Inactive
  • ❌ Lucas Paqueta — Inactive
  • ❌ Luiz Araujo — Inactive
  • ❌ S. Niguez — Inactive
  • ❌ N. de la Cruz — Inactive
  • ❌ Jorginho — Red Card
  • ❌ G. Varela — Ankle Injury
  • ❌ Bruno Henrique — Inactive
  • ❌ Leo Pereira — Yellow Cards
  • ❌ G. Plata — Muscle Injury
  • ❌ E. Pulgar — Yellow Cards
  • ❌ Alex Sandro — Injury
  • ❌ Evertton Araujo — Red Card
  • ❌ Everton — Inactive
  • ❌ J. Carrascal — Red Card
  • ❌ G. de Arrascaeta — Shoulder Injury
  • ❌ Leo Ortiz — Injury
  • ❌ Vitao — Muscle Injury
  • ❌ J. Freitas — Inactive
  • ❌ A. Valencia — Inactive
  • ❌ Samuel Lino — Yellow Cards
  • ❌ Ayrton Lucas — Thigh Injury
  • ❓ Daniel Thuram (doubtful) — Injury
  • ❓ Ryan Roberto (doubtful) — Injury

Corinthians

  • ❌ J. Martinez — Inactive
  • ❌ Hugo — Injury
  • ❌ Kaio Cesar — Injury
  • ❌ Breno Bidon — Inactive
  • ❌ Yuri Alberto — Inactive
  • ❌ M. Pereira — Injury
  • ❌ Felipe Longo — Inactive
  • ❌ A. Carrillo — Inactive
  • ❌ M. Depay — Inactive
  • ❌ Gabriel Paulista — Inactive
  • ❌ Allan — Loan agreement
  • ❌ Gui Negao — Inactive
  • ❌ Raniele — Yellow Cards
  • ❌ Joao Pedro — Inactive
  • ❌ Matheus Bidu — Yellow Cards
  • ❌ Andre Ramalho — Yellow Cards
  • ❌ Charles Rigon — Inactive
  • ❌ P. Milans — Inactive
  • ❌ Andre — Red Card
  • ❌ Hugo Souza — Suspended
  • ❌ Kayke — Knee Injury
  • ❌ Gustavo Henrique — Yellow Cards
  • ❌ Matheuzinho — Red Card
  • ❌ Vitinho — Inactive
  • ❌ J. Lingard — Personal Reasons
  • ❌ Alex Santana — Thigh Injury
  • ❌ F. Angileri — Yellow Cards
  • ❌ Z. Labyad — Knee Injury
  • ❌ R. Garro — Yellow Cards
  • ❌ Dieguinho — Inactive

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