Predictions → Brazil Serie A

Corinthians vs Fluminense

Corinthians
1:3
Full Time · 20 Sep 2026
Fluminense

No upcoming fixture scheduled — showing the last meeting result and the pre-match predictions.

🎯 PredictLix Predictions — pre-match vs actual

MarketTipConfidenceProbabilityOddsBookmakerMarket impliedEdgeResult
Match Result (1X2) Home 76% 40.8% @2.15 — 45.8% -5 pp ❌
Double Chance 1X 68% 67.7% @1.28 — 75.2% -7.5 pp ❌
BTTS No 80% 46.5% @1.71 — 54.2% -7.7 pp ❌
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 82% 51.5% @1.58 — 60.7% -9.2 pp ❌
Correct Score 1-0 67% 9.6% @6.00 — 7% +2.6 pp ❌
Corners O/U 9.5 (~? exp.) Over 9.5 64% 54.6% @1.49 — 61.7% -7.1 pp ✅

⚽ Model expected goals: Corinthians 1.08 – 1.02 Fluminense · expected total 2.10

Predictions made before kick-off, shown against the actual result. Odds are the best price across every bookmaker in our feed — the Bookmaker column says who offers it. Market implied = the bookmaker's probability with margin removed (proportional de-vig across all outcomes — critical on Correct Score, where the book margin is huge; for Double Chance it is derived from the de-vigged 1X2 market instead). Positive edge = the model rates this outcome higher than the market.

📈 Team Trends

Corinthians

Lost 4 in a row Winless 8
BTTS
5/6
Over 2.5
4/6
Scored
5/6
Clean sheets
0/6

Fluminense

Won 2 in a row
BTTS
3/6
Over 2.5
4/6
Scored
6/6
Clean sheets
3/6

Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.

🏅 League Benchmarks — Serie A

Corinthians

2nd worst attack (1.00 goals/game) 2nd best BTTS rate (83%)

Fluminense

2nd best attack (1.70 goals/game)

Rank among 20 Serie A teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets — season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates — last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.

🏠 Home vs Away Records

Corinthians at home · Fluminense away — the split that matters for this fixture.

Corinthians (home)

Wins–Draws–Losses5W–3D–7L
W 5
D 3
L 7
Played15
Goals scored (avg)1.00
Goals conceded (avg)1.10
Clean sheets6
Failed to score5

Fluminense (away)

Wins–Draws–Losses3W–6D–5L
W 3
D 6
L 5
Played14
Goals scored (avg)1.40
Goals conceded (avg)1.60
Clean sheets1
Failed to score2
Corinthians (home)Fluminense (away)
W 5
D 3
L 7
W 3
D 6
L 5
Played
15
14
Goals scored (avg)
1.00
1.40
Goals conceded (avg)
1.10
1.60
Clean sheets
6
1
Failed to score
5
2

Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.

📈 Recent Form

Corinthians

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
07/10 Internacional Away 1–2 L
20/09 Fluminense Home 1–3 L
17/09 Estudiantes L.P. Home 0–1 L
13/09 Flamengo Away 1–2 L
10/09 Estudiantes L.P. Away 1–1 D

Fluminense

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
09/10 Coritiba Home 4–0 W
20/09 Corinthians Away 3–1 W
15/09 Platense Away 1–2 L
12/09 Atletico-MG Away 1–3 L
08/09 Platense Home 2–0 W

📊 Season Comparison — Serie A

Corinthians #16 · 32 pts —  Fluminense #3 · 51 pts

Corinthians

Wins–Draws–Losses8W–8D–13L
W 8
D 8
L 13
Played29
Goals scored (avg)1.00
Goals conceded (avg)1.20
Clean sheets10
Failed to score7
Yellow cards75
Red cards4
xG for (avg)0.78
xG against (avg)1.21
Corners for (avg)4.70
Penalties (scored/missed)0/0

Fluminense

Wins–Draws–Losses14W–9D–6L
W 14
D 9
L 6
Played29
Goals scored (avg)1.70
Goals conceded (avg)1.20
Clean sheets6
Failed to score3
Yellow cards71
Red cards2
xG for (avg)0.81
xG against (avg)1.09
Corners for (avg)1.70
Penalties (scored/missed)2/0
CorinthiansFluminense
W 8
D 8
L 13
W 14
D 9
L 6
Played
29
29
Goals scored (avg)
1.00
1.70
Goals conceded (avg)
1.20
1.20
Clean sheets
10
6
Failed to score
7
3
Yellow cards
75
71
Red cards
4
2
xG for (avg)
0.78
0.81
xG against (avg)
1.21
1.09
Corners for (avg)
4.70
1.70
Penalties (scored/missed)
0/0
2/0

⏱️ Goal Timing (season)

Corinthians

5
0-15
4
4
16-30
5
10
31-45
3
4
46-60
7
2
61-75
3
8
76-90
9
scored conceded

Fluminense

6
0-15
2
1
16-30
8
5
31-45
8
6
46-60
8
8
61-75
6
10
76-90
16
scored conceded

Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.

🏥 Injuries & Suspensions

Corinthians

  • ❌ J. Martinez — Inactive
  • ❌ Hugo — Injury
  • ❌ Kaio Cesar — Injury
  • ❌ Breno Bidon — Inactive
  • ❌ Yuri Alberto — Inactive
  • ❌ M. Pereira — Injury
  • ❌ Felipe Longo — Inactive
  • ❌ A. Carrillo — Inactive
  • ❌ M. Depay — Inactive
  • ❌ Gabriel Paulista — Inactive
  • ❌ Allan — Loan agreement
  • ❌ Gui Negao — Inactive
  • ❌ Raniele — Yellow Cards
  • ❌ Joao Pedro — Inactive
  • ❌ Matheus Bidu — Yellow Cards
  • ❌ Andre Ramalho — Yellow Cards
  • ❌ Charles Rigon — Inactive
  • ❌ P. Milans — Inactive
  • ❌ Andre — Red Card
  • ❌ Hugo Souza — Suspended
  • ❌ Kayke — Knee Injury
  • ❌ Gustavo Henrique — Yellow Cards
  • ❌ Matheuzinho — Red Card
  • ❌ Vitinho — Inactive
  • ❌ J. Lingard — Personal Reasons
  • ❌ Alex Santana — Thigh Injury
  • ❌ F. Angileri — Yellow Cards
  • ❌ Z. Labyad — Knee Injury
  • ❌ R. Garro — Yellow Cards
  • ❌ Dieguinho — Inactive

Fluminense

  • ❌ G. Cano — Inactive
  • ❌ Hercules — Inactive
  • ❌ Y. Soteldo — Inactive
  • ❌ Everaldo — Inactive
  • ❌ J. Savarino — Inactive
  • ❌ Nonato — Injury
  • ❌ A. Canobbio — Red Card
  • ❌ F. Bernal — Injury
  • ❌ PH Ganso — Inactive
  • ❌ Matheus Reis — Knee Injury
  • ❌ L. Acosta — Yellow Cards
  • ❌ Martinelli — Yellow Cards
  • ❌ Alisson — Yellow Cards
  • ❌ Ignacio — Broken Hand
  • ❌ R. Castillo — Inactive
  • ❌ J. Freytes — Yellow Cards
  • ❌ Vitor Eudes — Inactive
  • ❌ John Kennedy — Red Card
  • ❌ J. Millan — Thigh Injury
  • ❌ Guilherme Arana — Injury
  • ❌ Thiago Silva — Thigh Injury
  • ❌ Guga — Yellow Cards
  • ❌ Igor Rabello — Injury
  • ❌ Samuel Xavier — Shoulder Injury
  • ❌ Hulk — Inactive
  • ❓ Jemmes (doubtful) — Inactive
  • ❓ Rene (doubtful) — Inactive

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