Predictions → Brazil Serie A

Palmeiras vs Corinthians

Palmeiras
4:1
Full Time · 11 Oct 2026
Corinthians

No upcoming fixture scheduled — showing the last meeting result and the pre-match predictions.

🎯 PredictLix Predictions — pre-match vs actual

MarketTipConfidenceProbabilityOddsBookmakerMarket impliedEdgeResult
Match Result (1X2) Home 90% 72% — — — — ✅
Double Chance 1X 85% 90% — — — — ✅
BTTS No 85% 56.4% — — — — ❌
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 84% 54.7% — — — — ❌
Correct Score 1-0 84% 19.3% — — — — ❌
Corners O/U 9.5 (~? exp.) Over 9.5 66% 56.6% — — — — ✅

⚽ Model expected goals: Palmeiras 1.53 – 0.36 Corinthians · expected total 1.89

Predictions made before kick-off, shown against the actual result. Odds are the best price across every bookmaker in our feed — the Bookmaker column says who offers it. Market implied = the bookmaker's probability with margin removed (proportional de-vig across all outcomes — critical on Correct Score, where the book margin is huge; for Double Chance it is derived from the de-vigged 1X2 market instead). Positive edge = the model rates this outcome higher than the market.

📈 Team Trends

Palmeiras

Unbeaten 10
BTTS
0/6
Over 2.5
0/6
Scored
3/6
Clean sheets
6/6

Corinthians

Lost 4 in a row Winless 8
BTTS
5/6
Over 2.5
4/6
Scored
5/6
Clean sheets
0/6

Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.

🏅 League Benchmarks — Serie A

Palmeiras

2nd best attack (1.70 goals/game) Best defence (0.70 conceded/game) Worst BTTS rate (0%) Worst Over 2.5 rate (0%) Best clean sheets (13)

Corinthians

2nd worst attack (1.00 goals/game) 2nd best BTTS rate (83%)

Rank among 20 Serie A teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets — season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates — last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.

🏠 Home vs Away Records

Palmeiras at home · Corinthians away — the split that matters for this fixture.

Palmeiras (home)

Wins–Draws–Losses10W–3D–1L
W 10
D 3
L 1
Played14
Goals scored (avg)1.70
Goals conceded (avg)0.60
Clean sheets6
Failed to score1

Corinthians (away)

Wins–Draws–Losses3W–5D–6L
W 3
D 5
L 6
Played14
Goals scored (avg)1.10
Goals conceded (avg)1.30
Clean sheets4
Failed to score2
Palmeiras (home)Corinthians (away)
W 10
D 3
L 1
W 3
D 5
L 6
Played
14
14
Goals scored (avg)
1.70
1.10
Goals conceded (avg)
0.60
1.30
Clean sheets
6
4
Failed to score
1
2

Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.

⚔️ Head-to-Head

Corinthians 4 wins · 4 draws · Palmeiras 2 wins · avg 1.3 goals · BTTS in 2 of 10

4
4
2
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
12 Apr 2026 Corinthians 0–0 Palmeiras Serie A
08 Feb 2026 Corinthians 0–1 Palmeiras Paulista - A1
31 Aug 2025 Corinthians 1–1 Palmeiras Serie A
07 Aug 2025 Palmeiras 0–2 Corinthians Copa Do Brasil
31 Jul 2025 Corinthians 1–0 Palmeiras Copa Do Brasil
12 Apr 2025 Palmeiras 2–0 Corinthians Serie A
28 Mar 2025 Corinthians 0–0 Palmeiras Paulista - A1
16 Mar 2025 Palmeiras 0–1 Corinthians Paulista - A1
06 Feb 2025 Palmeiras 1–1 Corinthians Paulista - A1
04 Nov 2024 Corinthians 2–0 Palmeiras Serie A

📈 Recent Form

Palmeiras

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
09/10 Bahia Home 1–0 W
20/09 Gremio Away 0–0 D
12/09 Sao Paulo Home 2–0 W
09/09 LDU de Quito Home 1–0 W
06/09 Botafogo Away 0–0 D

Corinthians

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
07/10 Internacional Away 1–2 L
20/09 Fluminense Home 1–3 L
17/09 Estudiantes L.P. Home 0–1 L
13/09 Flamengo Away 1–2 L
10/09 Estudiantes L.P. Away 1–1 D

📊 Season Comparison — Serie A

Palmeiras #2 · 60 pts —  Corinthians #16 · 32 pts

Palmeiras

Wins–Draws–Losses17W–9D–3L
W 17
D 9
L 3
Played29
Goals scored (avg)1.70
Goals conceded (avg)0.70
Clean sheets13
Failed to score4
Yellow cards65
Red cards5
xG for (avg)0.75
xG against (avg)0.47
Corners for (avg)8.20
Penalties (scored/missed)2/0

Corinthians

Wins–Draws–Losses8W–8D–13L
W 8
D 8
L 13
Played29
Goals scored (avg)1.00
Goals conceded (avg)1.20
Clean sheets10
Failed to score7
Yellow cards75
Red cards4
xG for (avg)0.78
xG against (avg)1.21
Corners for (avg)4.70
Penalties (scored/missed)0/0
PalmeirasCorinthians
W 17
D 9
L 3
W 8
D 8
L 13
Played
29
29
Goals scored (avg)
1.70
1.00
Goals conceded (avg)
0.70
1.20
Clean sheets
13
10
Failed to score
4
7
Yellow cards
65
75
Red cards
5
4
xG for (avg)
0.75
0.78
xG against (avg)
0.47
1.21
Corners for (avg)
8.20
4.70
Penalties (scored/missed)
2/0
0/0

⏱️ Goal Timing (season)

Palmeiras

2
0-15
8
1
16-30
9
5
31-45
6
6
46-60
8
3
61-75
9
5
76-90
7
scored conceded

Corinthians

5
0-15
4
4
16-30
5
10
31-45
3
4
46-60
7
2
61-75
3
8
76-90
9
scored conceded

Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.

🏥 Injuries & Suspensions

Palmeiras

  • ❌ Felipe Anderson — Inactive
  • ❌ Figueiredo — Inactive
  • ❌ Lucas Evangelista — Hamstring Injury
  • ❌ Paulinho — Leg Injury
  • ❌ J. Arias — Inactive
  • ❌ Mauricio — Inactive
  • ❌ Murilo — Inactive
  • ❌ Vitor Roque — Inactive
  • ❌ J. Piquerez — Injury
  • ❌ Jefte — Inactive
  • ❌ Marlon Freitas — Yellow Cards
  • ❌ Allan Elias — Yellow Cards
  • ❌ Benedetti — Ankle Injury
  • ❌ Bruno Fuchs — Hamstring Injury
  • ❌ R. Sosa — Ankle Injury
  • ❌ Andreas Pereira — Yellow Cards
  • ❌ Carlos Miguel — Yellow Cards
  • ❌ A. Giay — Yellow Cards
  • ❌ G. Gomez — International duty
  • ❌ J. Lopez — International duty
  • ❌ E. Martinez — International duty
  • ❌ A. Barboza — Yellow Cards
  • ❌ Khellven — Yellow Cards
  • ❌ Arthur Gabriel — Red Card

Corinthians

  • ❌ J. Martinez — Inactive
  • ❌ Hugo — Injury
  • ❌ Kaio Cesar — Injury
  • ❌ Breno Bidon — Inactive
  • ❌ Yuri Alberto — Inactive
  • ❌ M. Pereira — Injury
  • ❌ Felipe Longo — Inactive
  • ❌ A. Carrillo — Inactive
  • ❌ M. Depay — Inactive
  • ❌ Gabriel Paulista — Inactive
  • ❌ Allan — Loan agreement
  • ❌ Gui Negao — Inactive
  • ❌ Raniele — Yellow Cards
  • ❌ Joao Pedro — Inactive
  • ❌ Matheus Bidu — Yellow Cards
  • ❌ Andre Ramalho — Yellow Cards
  • ❌ Charles Rigon — Inactive
  • ❌ P. Milans — Inactive
  • ❌ Andre — Red Card
  • ❌ Hugo Souza — Suspended
  • ❌ Kayke — Knee Injury
  • ❌ Gustavo Henrique — Yellow Cards
  • ❌ Matheuzinho — Red Card
  • ❌ Vitinho — Inactive
  • ❌ J. Lingard — Personal Reasons
  • ❌ Alex Santana — Thigh Injury
  • ❌ F. Angileri — Yellow Cards
  • ❌ Z. Labyad — Knee Injury
  • ❌ R. Garro — Yellow Cards
  • ❌ Dieguinho — Inactive

More: Serie A predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws