Predictions → Brazil Serie A

Fluminense vs Coritiba

Fluminense
4:0
Full Time · 09 Oct 2026
Coritiba

No upcoming fixture scheduled — showing the last meeting result and the pre-match predictions.

🎯 PredictLix Predictions — pre-match vs actual

MarketTipConfidenceProbabilityOddsBookmakerMarket impliedEdgeResult
Match Result (1X2) Home 90% 71.3% @1.50 — 68.4% +2.9 pp ✅
Double Chance 1X 76% 78.6% @1.13 — 87.7% -9.1 pp ✅
BTTS Yes 81% 49.4% @1.88 — 50.9% -1.5 pp ❌
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 81% 49.9% @1.86 — 54.7% -4.8 pp ✅
Correct Score 2-1 64% 7.9% @8.75 — 5.9% +2 pp ❌
Corners O/U 9.5 (~? exp.) Over 9.5 62% 53.6% @1.56 — 64.2% -10.6 pp ❌

⚽ Model expected goals: Fluminense 1.99 – 1.05 Coritiba · expected total 3.04

Predictions made before kick-off, shown against the actual result. Odds are the best price across every bookmaker in our feed — the Bookmaker column says who offers it. Market implied = the bookmaker's probability with margin removed (proportional de-vig across all outcomes — critical on Correct Score, where the book margin is huge; for Double Chance it is derived from the de-vigged 1X2 market instead). Positive edge = the model rates this outcome higher than the market.

📈 Team Trends

Fluminense

Won 2 in a row
BTTS
3/6
Over 2.5
4/6
Scored
6/6
Clean sheets
3/6

Coritiba

Lost 2 in a row Winless 4
BTTS
4/6
Over 2.5
6/6
Scored
4/6
Clean sheets
0/6

Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.

🏅 League Benchmarks — Serie A

Fluminense

2nd best attack (1.70 goals/game)

Coritiba

Best Over 2.5 rate (100%)

Rank among 20 Serie A teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets — season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates — last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.

🏠 Home vs Away Records

Fluminense at home · Coritiba away — the split that matters for this fixture.

Fluminense (home)

Wins–Draws–Losses11W–3D–1L
W 11
D 3
L 1
Played15
Goals scored (avg)1.90
Goals conceded (avg)0.90
Clean sheets5
Failed to score1

Coritiba (away)

Wins–Draws–Losses5W–4D–6L
W 5
D 4
L 6
Played15
Goals scored (avg)1.20
Goals conceded (avg)1.90
Clean sheets4
Failed to score6
Fluminense (home)Coritiba (away)
W 11
D 3
L 1
W 5
D 4
L 6
Played
15
15
Goals scored (avg)
1.90
1.20
Goals conceded (avg)
0.90
1.90
Clean sheets
5
4
Failed to score
1
6

Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.

📈 Recent Form

Fluminense

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
09/10 Coritiba Home 4–0 W
20/09 Corinthians Away 3–1 W
15/09 Platense Away 1–2 L
12/09 Atletico-MG Away 1–3 L
08/09 Platense Home 2–0 W

Coritiba

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
09/10 Fluminense Away 0–4 L
19/09 Vasco DA Gama Away 0–5 L
12/09 Atletico Paranaense Home 3–3 D
06/09 Mirassol Home 1–2 L
31/08 Remo Away 3–2 W

📊 Season Comparison — Serie A

Fluminense #3 · 51 pts —  Coritiba #10 · 38 pts

Fluminense

Wins–Draws–Losses14W–9D–6L
W 14
D 9
L 6
Played29
Goals scored (avg)1.70
Goals conceded (avg)1.20
Clean sheets6
Failed to score3
Yellow cards71
Red cards2
xG for (avg)0.81
xG against (avg)1.09
Corners for (avg)1.70
Penalties (scored/missed)2/0

Coritiba

Wins–Draws–Losses10W–8D–11L
W 10
D 8
L 11
Played29
Goals scored (avg)1.30
Goals conceded (avg)1.60
Clean sheets6
Failed to score9
Yellow cards48
Red cards8
xG for (avg)0.43
xG against (avg)1.78
Corners for (avg)4.50
Penalties (scored/missed)1/0
FluminenseCoritiba
W 14
D 9
L 6
W 10
D 8
L 11
Played
29
29
Goals scored (avg)
1.70
1.30
Goals conceded (avg)
1.20
1.60
Clean sheets
6
6
Failed to score
3
9
Yellow cards
71
48
Red cards
2
8
xG for (avg)
0.81
0.43
xG against (avg)
1.09
1.78
Corners for (avg)
1.70
4.50
Penalties (scored/missed)
2/0
1/0

⏱️ Goal Timing (season)

Fluminense

6
0-15
2
1
16-30
8
5
31-45
8
6
46-60
8
8
61-75
6
10
76-90
16
scored conceded

Coritiba

4
0-15
2
8
16-30
4
4
31-45
8
8
46-60
8
13
61-75
7
11
76-90
7
scored conceded

Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.

🏥 Injuries & Suspensions

Fluminense

  • ❌ G. Cano — Inactive
  • ❌ Hercules — Inactive
  • ❌ Y. Soteldo — Inactive
  • ❌ Everaldo — Inactive
  • ❌ J. Savarino — Inactive
  • ❌ Nonato — Injury
  • ❌ A. Canobbio — Red Card
  • ❌ F. Bernal — Injury
  • ❌ PH Ganso — Inactive
  • ❌ Matheus Reis — Knee Injury
  • ❌ L. Acosta — Yellow Cards
  • ❌ Martinelli — Yellow Cards
  • ❌ Alisson — Yellow Cards
  • ❌ Ignacio — Broken Hand
  • ❌ R. Castillo — Inactive
  • ❌ J. Freytes — Yellow Cards
  • ❌ Vitor Eudes — Inactive
  • ❌ John Kennedy — Red Card
  • ❌ J. Millan — Thigh Injury
  • ❌ Guilherme Arana — Injury
  • ❌ Thiago Silva — Thigh Injury
  • ❌ Guga — Yellow Cards
  • ❌ Igor Rabello — Injury
  • ❌ Samuel Xavier — Shoulder Injury
  • ❌ Hulk — Inactive
  • ❓ Jemmes (doubtful) — Inactive
  • ❓ Rene (doubtful) — Inactive

Coritiba

  • ❌ Lucas Crepaldi — Inactive
  • ❌ Rodrigo Rodrigues — Ankle Injury
  • ❌ Josue — Red Card
  • ❌ Wallisson — Inactive
  • ❌ Benassi — Inactive
  • ❌ S. Gomez — Inactive
  • ❌ Pedro Morisco — Injury
  • ❌ Tinga — Injury
  • ❌ Jacy — Injury
  • ❌ Maicon — Red Card
  • ❌ Keno — Inactive
  • ❌ J. Lavega — Yellow Cards
  • ❌ Gustavo — Injury
  • ❌ Renato Marques — Red Card
  • ❌ Breno Lopes — Yellow Cards
  • ❌ Bruno Melo — Red Card
  • ❌ Fabinho — Inactive
  • ❌ Keiller — Loan agreement
  • ❌ Thiago Santos — Yellow Cards
  • ❌ Joao Pedro Chermont — Loan agreement
  • ❌ Lucas Ronier — Yellow Cards
  • ❌ Vini Paulista — Yellow Cards
  • ❌ Pedro Rangel — Inactive
  • ❌ B. Ocampo — Injury
  • ❌ Lucas Taverna — Inactive
  • ❓ Tiago Coser (doubtful) — Inactive

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